Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
466
FNUS54 KMEG 160831
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Light south/southwest winds and high humidity will persist into at
least the middle of the work week. Shower and thunderstorm
chances are in the 50-60% range each afternoon and evening in a
summertime convective pattern. Hot and humid conditions will
return late week with temperatures rising into the lower to middle
90s.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 80 80 20
Precip Chance (%) 80 80 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.17 0.11 0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 7 3 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-4) 71 (0) 89
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+10) 99 (+1) 61
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 SW 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 S 4 SW 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2600 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 3600
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 6 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 5400 6600
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 6 SW 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 13 SW 16
Dispersion Index 30 16 33
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70 70 30
Precip Chance (%) 80 80 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.14 0.23 0.04
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 3 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-5) 71 (0) 88
RH % (24h trend) 74 (+8) 100 (+1) 67
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 6 S 4 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2600 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s) 5600 8000
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 SW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 15 SW 19
Dispersion Index 34 19 38
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-162100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70 90 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 90 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.19 0.32 0.13
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 4 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 86 (-2) 70 (0) 87
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+7) 100 (+1) 66
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 S 4 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2800 2300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3100 2700
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 6 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s) 6000 6400
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 11 SW 20
Dispersion Index 30 11 37
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-162100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70 70 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 80 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.17 0.28 0.15
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 5 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-3) 70 (0) 87
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+8) 100 (0) 67
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 S 4 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2800 2300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3200 2700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s) 7000 6400
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 22
Dispersion Index 35 12 42
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70 70 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 70 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.14 0.28 0.15
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 4 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-3) 70 (-1) 86
RH % (24h trend) 74 (+5) 100 (+1) 72
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 SW 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 S 5 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2700 2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 3100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 7200
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 SW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 15 SW 21
Dispersion Index 39 16 48
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70 60 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 60 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.18 0.21 0.25
Precip Duration (hrs) 4 5 9
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+1) 69 (-1) 85
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+2) 100 (0) 68
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 6 S 4 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2900 2400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3300 2900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 SW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s) 6000 8100
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 20
Dispersion Index 33 10 44
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$