Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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869
FNUS54 KMEG 182131
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

.DISCUSSION...

No Fire Weather concerns are anticipated over the next seven days.
An increasingly wet and unsettled pattern will prevail over the
Mid-South this week.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-191000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            30           50
Precip Chance (%)     20                        30           90
Precip Type           Showers      None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.03         0.52
Precip Duration (hrs) 1                         1            12
Precip Begin          6 PM                      12 AM        Continuing
Precip End            12 AM                     Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-3)      71 (-4)      54           70
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+27)    57 (+10)     100          85
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SE  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SW  7 G18    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1800                      1100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  600                       400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2100                      1300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  3                     S  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW  6                     S 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1800                      2000
Category Day                       1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              61                        68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  4                      S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 10                      S 10
Dispersion Index      14           13           6            17
Stability Class       F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-191000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            50
Precip Chance (%)     20                        10           70
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.26
Precip Duration (hrs) 1                         1            9
Precip Begin          8 PM                      12 AM        Continuing
Precip End            1 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+1)      78 (+1)      59           75
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+14)    58 (+3)      100          71
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   S  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SW  5        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2000                      2400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2200                      2600
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  3                     S  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW  7                     S 13
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2100                      4800
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NW  4                     S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NW  9                     S 11
Dispersion Index      11           12           6            27
Stability Class       F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 62 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-191000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           0            20           50
Precip Chance (%)     60                        20           80
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.47
Precip Duration (hrs) 3                         1            11
Precip Begin          6 PM                      12 AM        Continuing
Precip End            2 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      55 (-3)      71 (-2)      52           69
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+47)    63 (+27)     100          82
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SW  6 G17    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  500                       300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1700                      900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  600                       400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2100                      1300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  4                     S  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW  8                     S 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2400                      2000
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              62                        65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  3                      S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N  7                      S 12
Dispersion Index      15           12           4            13
Stability Class       F            B            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 82 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
50. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-191000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            50
Precip Chance (%)     50                        10           70
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.27
Precip Duration (hrs) 2                                      6
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   6 AM
Precip End            5 AM                                   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      58 (0)       75 (0)       53           74
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+41)    58 (+21)     100          72
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SW  6 G17    NW  4        Lgt/Var      SW  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  500                       400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1700                      1400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  600                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2100                      1800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  4                     S  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW  8                     S 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2400                      3000
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              67                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NW  4                     S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NW  9                     S 10
Dispersion Index      14           13           5            20
Stability Class       E            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Cloudy. Lows around 60. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper
50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-191000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            20
Precip Chance (%)     20                                     40
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration (hrs) 1                                      2
Precip Begin          9 PM                                   6 AM
Precip End            2 AM                                   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+3)      81 (+3)      59           79
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+19)    60 (+9)      100          60
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 W  4                      S  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SW  6 G17    NW  4        Lgt/Var      S  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2400                      3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2600                      3900
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  4                      S  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  8                      S 13
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3200                      7200
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               W  5                      S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               W 11                      S 11
Dispersion Index      13           18           7            35
Stability Class       F            C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-191000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)     30                                     30
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         Showers
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 2                                      2
Precip Begin          7 PM                                   6 AM
Precip End            6 AM                                   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      60 (+5)      80 (+3)      56           80
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+40)    56 (+13)     100          53
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 W  4                      Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SW  5        NW  4        Lgt/Var      SW  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2200                      3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2600                      3700
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  4                      SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  9                      SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3200                      5500
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               W  5                      SW  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               W 11                      SW  8
Dispersion Index      12           21           5            28
Stability Class       F            C            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$