Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
959
FNUS54 KMEG 162031
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Benign fire weather conditions will persist over the next 7 days.
Very high heat and humidity will occur today through Friday with
increasing rain chances into the weekend.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-170900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            20           30
Precip Chance (%)     20           10           20           30
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0                         1            2
Precip Begin          6 PM                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            10 PM                     Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      75 (+1)      96 (+1)      76           93
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-2)      49 (-6)      99           59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  4        Lgt/Var      S  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1400                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4700                      4300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1500                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5000                      4600
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  4                     S  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  8                     S  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  6000                      5600
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              90                        86
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  3                     S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW  6                     S 11
Dispersion Index      6            19           6            22
Stability Class       F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-170900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            30
Precip Chance (%)     10                        10           30
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)                                        1
Precip Begin                                                 1 PM
Precip End                                                   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      76 (+1)      97 (+1)      76           93
RH % (24h trend)      95 (-4)      50 (-2)      100          60
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1500                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4900                      4600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1600                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5100                      4800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  2                      SE  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  5                      SE  8
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3200                      6000
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              90                        84
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  2                      S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  4                      S  9
Dispersion Index      5            12           9            22
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-170900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           40
Precip Chance (%)     10           20           20           40
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.09         0.08         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            1            2
Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      74 (0)       97 (+3)      74           93
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-2)      54 (-4)      99           62
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1200                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4000                      3500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1300                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4400                      3900
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  3                     S  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  7                     S  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3900                      4800
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              89                        84
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  3                     SW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW  6                     SW 10
Dispersion Index      6            19           7            25
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-170900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            10           30
Precip Chance (%)     10           10           10           30
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            1
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         1 PM
Precip End                                      1 AM         6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      74 (0)       97 (+1)      75           93
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-2)      51 (-3)      99           59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1400                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4500                      4000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1500                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4900                      4400
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  3                      S  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  6                      S  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4500                      5200
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              89                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  3                      S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  7                      S  9
Dispersion Index      6            15           8            25
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-170900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            40
Precip Chance (%)                  10                        40
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09
Precip Duration (hrs)                                        1
Precip Begin                                                 1 PM
Precip End                                                   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      75 (0)       97 (0)       75           93
RH % (24h trend)      95 (-1)      50 (0)       100          61
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1600                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5100                      4800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1600                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5400                      5000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  3                     SE  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  7                     SE  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4800                      6000
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              89                        84
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  3                     SE  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  6                     SE  8
Dispersion Index      4            17           8            25
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-170900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            50
Precip Chance (%)     10           10           10           50
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11
Precip Duration (hrs)                                        1
Precip Begin                                                 1 PM
Precip End                                                   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      74 (0)       96 (-1)      74           92
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-2)      49 (+1)      98           58
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1400                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4600                      4600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1500                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5000                      5000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  4                     S  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  8                     S 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  6000                      7500
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              86                        83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  4                     S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  8                     S  9
Dispersion Index      8            20           9            28
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$