Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
895
FNUS54 KMEG 162031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Minimum relative humidity is forecast to range from 40 to
50 percent through midweek. Due to dry and warm soils, nighttime
fog formation is not expected. A cold frontal passage will bring
a chance of wetting rainfall late Thursday into early Friday.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-170900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 20 20
Precip Type None Tstms Showers None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 76 (-1) 95 (-6) 71 94
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+5) 56 (+13) 100 51
AM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NW 4 N 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3900 4700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1300 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4200 5000
Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 4 NW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 NW 6
Vent Index (m2/s) 5200 4500
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 89 82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NW 5 N 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NW 11 N 8
Dispersion Index 10 27 7 18
Stability Class F B F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-170900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 10
Precip Type None Tstms None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 77 (-1) 100 (-1) 73 99
RH % (24h trend) 82 (-3) 43 (+2) 99 44
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1500 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4900 5100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5100 5300
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 NW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 NW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 7500 4800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 95 83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 7 NE 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 15 NE 10
Dispersion Index 10 31 8 19
Stability Class F A F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 100. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-170900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 20
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 75 (+1) 95 (-5) 70 92
RH % (24h trend) 91 (0) 57 (+14) 100 51
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3400 4400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3800 4800
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 4 NW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) W 9 NW 6
Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 4500
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 88 80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NW 5 N 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NW 10 N 8
Dispersion Index 9 27 7 17
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-170900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 20
Precip Type None Tstms Showers None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0 1
Precip Begin 1 PM 6 PM
Precip End 5 PM 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+2) 97 (-2) 71 95
RH % (24h trend) 84 (-9) 50 (+7) 100 49
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4200 5000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4600 5400
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 NW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 NW 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 7000 6400
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 93 82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 7 N 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 16 N 9
Dispersion Index 9 28 6 22
Stability Class F B F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-170900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+1) 100 (0) 75 99
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-13) 42 (-1) 96 44
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2000 1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6400 6000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 1900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6700 6300
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 NW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 NW 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 10000 7600
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 97 86
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 6 N 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 14 N 9
Dispersion Index 10 31 7 24
Stability Class F B F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 100. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-170900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 10 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+3) 99 (0) 74 96
RH % (24h trend) 82 (-13) 42 (0) 99 45
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2000 1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6600 6000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2200 2000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7100 6400
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 NW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 NW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 11000 8000
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 96 85
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 7 N 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 15 N 9
Dispersion Index 8 34 5 23
Stability Class F B F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. North winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$