Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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593
FNUS54 KMEG 162031
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Light winds and high humidity will persist through mid-week.
Shower and thunderstorm chances will gradually decrease after
mid-week. Hot and humid conditions will persist into the weekend
with temperatures rising into the lower to middle 90s.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-170900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70           20           0            30
Precip Chance (%)     70           40           10           30
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.18         0.08         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 3            2                         1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing                1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      71 (-2)      88 (+4)      74           90
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+3)     61 (-11)     97           59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SW  5                     SW 11 G20
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  4         SW  7        S  6         SW 13 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1000                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3300                      4300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1100                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3600                      4600
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     SW 13
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 29
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5500                      18200
Category Day                       3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              80                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  5                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 11                     SW 21
Dispersion Index      11           23           24           64
Stability Class       E            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-170900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 70           50           0            20
Precip Chance (%)     70           50           20           20
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.20         0.13         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 3            2                         1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing                1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      71 (-1)      87 (+4)      74           89
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     68 (-5)      100          59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SW  4                     S  8 G18
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  4         SW  6        S  5         SW  9 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1000                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3200                      3900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1100                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3400                      4100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  6                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 24
Vent Index (m2/s)                  6600                      13200
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              80                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  6                     SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 14                     SW 20
Dispersion Index      14           29           17           60
Stability Class       D            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-170900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70           70           30           30
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           30           30
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.25         0.28         0.05         0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 5            7            1            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      70 (-3)      84 (0)       70           89
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+1)      72 (+1)      100          64
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  5                      SW  8 G19
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  6        S  4         SW 10 G20
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2100                      3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2500                      3700
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4000                      12100
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  9                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 19                     SW 22
Dispersion Index      11           26           15           51
Stability Class       E            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-170900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70           70           40           20
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           40           20
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.21         0.25         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 4            7            1            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      69 (-3)      84 (0)       70           89
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     72 (+3)      100          62
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  5                      SW  8 G18
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  4         SW  6        S  5         SW 10 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2100                      3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2400                      3700
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  6                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 14                     SW 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4200                      11000
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  9                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 19                     SW 21
Dispersion Index      12           30           14           50
Stability Class       D            B            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-170900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70           50           30           0
Precip Chance (%)     70           80           30           10
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
Precip Amount         0.35         0.53         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 4            5            0
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
Temp (24h trend)      70 (-1)      86 (+2)      71           89
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+3)     74 (0)       100          63
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  5                      S  7 G17
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  5         SW  6        S  5         SW  9 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2400                      3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2600                      3800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  7                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5600                      12000
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              78                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 17                     S 19
Dispersion Index      14           31           17           49
Stability Class       D            C            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-170900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70           70           40           20
Precip Chance (%)     70           80           40           20
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.17         0.35         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 4            8            1            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      69 (-1)      84 (-2)      70           89
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     73 (+3)      100          59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  5                      S  6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  6        S  4         SW  7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1800                      3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2200                      4100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  8                     SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5600                      10400
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              76                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  9                     SW  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 21                     SW 17
Dispersion Index      11           37           12           48
Stability Class       E            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            2            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$