536
FNUS74 KMEG 161913
FWSMEG

Spot Forecast for Baldwyn SAR...DeSoto County
National Weather Service Memphis TN
213 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms are expected mainly
through this evening, then decreasing in coverage and intensity
for the remainder of the night. Additional showers and
thunderstorms are epxected on Tuesday mainly during the afternoon
and evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of rain......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...59 percent.
Chance of lightning.59 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Heat index..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Rainfall amount.....0.10 inches.
Visibility..........10 decreasing to 6 late in the afternoon.
Dewpoint............74.

TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........56     48
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE LIKELY
Chc of rain (%).50     60
Chc of thdr (%).50     60
Chc of ltng (%).50     60
Temp............83     82
Dewpoint........75     74
RH..............77     77
Heat index (F)..M      M
20 ft wind......S 7    S 7
20 ft wind gust.11     12
Surface wind....S 8    S 8
Surface wnd gst.14     15
Visibility (sm).10     6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of rain......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...63 percent.
Chance of lightning.63 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Heat index..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Rainfall amount.....0.17 inches.
Visibility..........6 increasing to 10 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Dewpoint............72.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     49     66     69     64     71
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Chc of rain (%).60     60     30     40     30     30
Chc of thdr (%).60     50     30     30     20     20
Chc of ltng (%).60     50     30     30     20     20
Temp............81     76     73     72     72     71
Dewpoint........74     73     71     71     71     71
RH..............79     90     93     97     97     100
Heat index (F)..M      M      M      M      M      M
20 ft wind......S 7    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.12     10     10     10     11     11
Surface wind....S 8    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6
Surface wnd gst.15     13     13     13     14     14
Visibility (sm).6      6      10     10     10     10

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
                    then showers with thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of rain......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...71 percent.
Chance of lightning.71 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Heat index..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Rainfall amount.....0.24 inches.
Visibility..........10 decreasing to 6 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 10 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 6 late in the morning increasing to 10.
Dewpoint............72.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........66     63     88     79     71     75
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of rain (%).40     40     60     90     70     70
Chc of thdr (%).20     20     30     30     70     70
Chc of ltng (%).20     20     30     30     70     70
Temp............70     73     75     78     78     80
Dewpoint........70     72     73     74     74     74
RH..............100    97     94     88     88     82
Heat index (F)..M      M      M      M      M      M
20 ft wind......S 6    S 7    SW 7   SW 7   SW 7   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.12     13     14     14     14     14
Surface wind....S 8    S 8    S 9    SW 10  SW 10  SW 9
Surface wnd gst.15     16     18     17     18     18
Visibility (sm).10     10     10     6      6      6

$$
Forecaster...Chaskelson
Requested by...Ben McMinn
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2516052.0/MEG
.DELDT 06/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nws.memphis@noaa.gov