695
FXUS62 KMFL 092054
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
354 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 350 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

  - Hazardous boating conditions expected today as winds surge
    behind the frontal passages.

  - Isolated showers and a few thunderstorms could develop this
    afternoon across southeast Florida and the Atlantic waters.

  - Drier conditions return on Thursday.

.UPDATE...
Issued at 350 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

Overcast conditions persist across South Florida late this
afternoon with off and on showers impacting parts of the east
coast metro areas. These general conditions are expected to
continue heading into the overnight hours, with a gradual
reduction in shower coverage by the early nighttime hours. No
significant changes to the forecast this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

A stalled cold front over the Florida Straits will continue to
influence conditions across the region over the next couple of days.
While northerly flow behind the boundary will usher in a noticeable
cooler and drier airmass aloft today, lingering low-level moisture
and modest instability over the local waters and southeast FL will
support periods of showers and a few isolated thunderstorms today
and tomorrow. Coverage should remain generally isolated to scattered
in nature, and focused over the local Atlantic waters and the East
Coast metro. Given the drier air aloft, any convection that develops
is expected to remain low-topped and weak.

Temperatures will remain comfortable through the period, with
afternoon highs in the low-mid 70s, and overnight lows dropping
to the upper 50s across the interior and down to the mid 60s along
the coasts. Comfortable temperatures will also be likely on
Tuesday, with highs topping off in the mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

A reinforcing dry cold front is forecast to sweep south across
the area on Thursday, finally pushing the stationary front over
the FL Straits south, and driving another surge of dry air across
the region. This dry front corresponds to a faster and weaker
solution that ensemble guidance has begun to lock onto for the
late-week upper trough moving across the Eastern US. This will
result in generally quiet and seasonable weather through the end
of the work week and into the first half of the weekend. Expect
highs each day in the mid to upper 70s and lows in the mid 50s
over the interior, and mid 60s along the coasts.

Confidence in the forecast begins to decrease late in the weekend
and into next week. Some ensemble members hint at a developing
upper- level disturbance over the Gulf that could slide eastward
over the peninsula, potentially increasing moisture along the
column and leading to a slight uptick in rain chances. While
uncertainty remains regarding timing and intensity, went with the
prevailing NBM guidance for the end of the period, with PoPs in
the 20-30% range.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 103 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

Generally VFR conditions expected to prevail through the period,
although some bouts of MVFR ceilings are possible, particularly
Wednesday morning.  A few isolated showers could move across the
east coast, but confidence remains low regarding any potential
impacts to terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

Northerly winds between 15-20 kts will prevail across all local
waters today, resulting in hazardous boating conditions. Seas will
also build today, reaching the 7-9 ft range across the Atlantic
waters, and 3-5 ft range across the Gulf waters. Small Craft
Advisories are in effect through this evening. Conditions will
gradually improve overnight into Wednesday as winds relax. A few
thunderstorms could be likely over the Atlantic waters today and on
Wednesday, with locally higher winds and seas possible.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

High risk of rip currents will be possible for all East Coast
beaches today as breezy winds and swell develop across the local
atlantic waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            68  79  57  75 /  30  10   0   0
West Kendall     65  82  54  77 /  30  10   0   0
Opa-Locka        67  81  56  77 /  30  10   0   0
Homestead        67  82  57  77 /  30  10   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  67  79  57  74 /  30  10   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  67  79  57  74 /  30  10   0   0
Pembroke Pines   67  82  56  77 /  30  10   0   0
West Palm Beach  67  79  55  74 /  20  10   0   0
Boca Raton       67  80  56  76 /  30  10   0   0
Naples           62  76  57  77 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ168.

     High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ650-651-
     670-671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION...99