524
FXUS62 KMFL 121139
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
639 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 638 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

  - Hazardous marine and beach conditions will continue today
    while gradually improving.

  - Temperatures will slowly moderate over the coming week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

A weaker, but still present eastern CONUS trough will remain in
place through the period. At the surface, high pressure will
center over the eastern Gulf and result in a more maritime
easterly low-level flow pattern. This will increase dewpoints and
moderate overnight lows, while the less anomalous temperatures
aloft will allow for diurnal mixing to warm temperatures through
the middle and upper 70s by Thursday. Even with these changes,
we`ll still remain a few degrees below normal on the lows and
highs through Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

The upper-level pattern will become more progressive late this
week through the weekend. Global ensembles have some large
differences wrt the timing of a large northern stream shortwave
and just how amplified the trough/ridge pattern becomes. However,
it appears that there aren`t many sensible weather differences
(Temp/Precip) regardless of the evolution. At this time, expect
heights across Florida to increase and become mostly zonal by
early next week. At the surface, high pressure will continue to
dominate, with low-level flow veering from easterly to more
southerly as the ridge axis shifts.

All of this will mean continued moderating of high and low temps
to near and then above average, and no rain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF. NNE winds will peak
around 10 knots this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Winds should subside below Advisory level for Gulf and Atlantic
waters by sunrise. It will probably take most of the day for seas
along the Gulf Stream to fall below Advisory levels though. Beyond
today, generally ENE winds will prevail around 10-15 knots through
the end of the week. Wind should calm even more by the weekend as
high pressure settles south.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 232 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

As easterly winds and elevated seas and surf slowly subside, a
high risk of rip currents will still exist across Atlantic beaches
through today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            76  65  79  65 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     77  61  79  61 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        77  64  79  65 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        77  64  79  64 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  74  65  77  65 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  75  65  78  65 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   78  64  81  65 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  75  63  79  64 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       77  64  79  64 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           77  57  79  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ630-
     650-651-670-671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Harrigan
LONG TERM....Harrigan
AVIATION...99