437
FXUS62 KMFL 091126
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
626 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 625 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

    - Calm and comfortable weather early this week.

- High rip current risk continues for Broward and Palm Beaches.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 209 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

Calm weather will continue for all of South Florida early this week
as surface high pressure and an upper level ridge remain fully in
control over the area. Easterly flow will occur from the western
Atlantic, potentially resulting in some harmless clouds streaming
over the east coast metro, but nothing more than that. High
temperatures today will reach the mid to upper 70s across the region
with highs tomorrow reaching the upper 70s to low 80s for most
areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 209 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

Heading into late this week, a pattern shift looks to take place but
it still does not appear to be overly impactful. Looking at latest
analysis of ensemble data, a strong shortwave trough is projected to
advect eastward which will weaken the ridge and eventually force the
ridge out of the area. However, even with this trough providing
forcing for ascent, moisture advection looks to be lacking and the
trough itself will lose some of its power as it breaks down the
ridge in its approach to South Florida. Therefore, rain chances are
still very low to non-existent for this time frame.

As we approach next weekend, a much deeper synoptic scale trough is
anticipated to develop and strengthen in the lee of the Rockies
before it sweeps into the Eastern Seaboard. This will provide more
of a large scale forcing mechanism that may be enough to force some
light rain shower activity. Even with this stronger trough, guidance
is not keen on deep moisture advection occurring, so shower activity
would be expected to be more of the benign variety at this time.

Daily high temperatures will stabilize after mid-week to being in
the upper 70s to low 80s across the region each day. Similarly,
overnight lows each night will stabilize to being in the 50s
across SW Florida and low 60s for the east coast metro.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

VFR prevails through the period. Light winds early this morning
become ESE at 5-10 kts by the early afternoon for the east coast
and westerly winds at KAPF. Light winds then return again
overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 209 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

Improved conditions today and through the early week period across
the Atlantic waters as seas begin to fall. Most of the Atlantic will
see seas of 3-5 feet with isolated areas seeing seas up to 6 feet.
Winds will be lighter at a light to gentle flow. Gulf seas remain at
1-2 feet or less early this week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 209 AM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

A high risk for rip currents continues for the Broward and Palm
beaches today and tomorrow along with a moderate risk for the
Miami beaches. This risk could remain elevated for several days as
an ongoing northeasterly swell occurs.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            73  59  75  60 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     76  53  77  53 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        75  57  77  58 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        74  57  76  58 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  73  58  74  60 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  73  59  75  60 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   75  57  77  58 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  74  56  76  58 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       74  57  76  58 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           73  54  76  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Redman
LONG TERM....Redman
AVIATION...99