Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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759
FNUS72 KMFL 210820
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Unit 13 Rx...FWCC
National Weather Service Miami FL
420 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather conditions are expected through the early afternoon
before some late day showers and storms will likely pop up around
the area. Most of this activity should avoid the site but some
rain is definitely possible between 2-6 PM. Winds will also be
gusty for another day, which is likely to lead to excellent
dispersion indices above 70-80 which can result in uncontrollable
fire behavior. Winds will decrease for tomorrow, allowing
dispersions to fall back into the good range and conditions will
be mostly dry again tomorrow at least through the early afternoon
hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....35 increasing to 74 late in the morning, increasing
                    to 84 early in the afternoon, decreasing to 49 late
in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  25  28  29  30  37  45  53  62
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20  30
Temp............81  86  88  91  92  93  93  93  94
RH..............91  77  70  62  58  56  54  54  53
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  16  15  15  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.7 3.7 4.6 5.4 5.8 5.6 4.9 3.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  16  17  15  14  12  10  10  9
Dispersion idx..35  56  74  84  83  74  66  49  33
LVORI...........4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....29 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58  51  50  50  52  40  36  43  30  31  14  25
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  20  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............91  89  86  82  80  79  78  77  76  75  74  74
RH..............58  61  70  77  82  85  88  90  90  94  97  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.13  10  8   7   6   5   5   5   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
Dispersion idx..29  16  4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 42 late in the morning, decreasing
                    to 33 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  7   8   12  14  16  12  19  14  22  36  26
Weather cov.....                                    CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  50  40  30
Temp............73  72  75  80  85  88  90  91  92  92  92  93
RH..............97  100 100 91  80  70  64  60  58  58  58  56
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   8   10  10  9   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.6 3.7 4.5 5.1 5.4 5.4 5.1 4.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
Dispersion idx..3   3   7   12  26  38  46  44  46  45  39  33
LVORI...........7   8   8   5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Redman
Requested by...Jacob Hammar
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2617821.0/MFL
.DELDT 07/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0