Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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023
FNUS72 KMFL 161206
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Brighton RX...Seminole Tribe of Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
806 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Increasing shower and thunderstorm chances through the morning as
activity moves northwest across southern Florida. Gusty wind,
frequent lightning, and torrential rainfall are the primary
hazards with any thunderstorms that move near the area.
Directional variability is possible with gusts from showers and
thunderstorms. Dispersion values will be fair to good through most
of the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....27 increasing to 55 late in the morning increasing
                    to 62 early in the afternoon decreasing to 49
                    decreasing to 35 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   12  12  11  14  30  36  33  31  31
Weather cov.....            SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  50  50  70  70  50  50
Temp............78  82  84  86  87  88  89  88  87  86
RH..............94  85  82  77  72  72  68  70  70  72
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  14  15  16  16  17  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.3
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  16  17  17  17  16  16  15  14  13
Dispersion idx..27  38  50  59  63  63  60  53  44  35
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   2   1   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (10-20 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....20 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  60  55  45  35  30  16  4   6   11  14  26
Weather cov.....LKY LKY SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  70  20  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............84  82  80  78  78  78  77  77  77  77  76  76
RH..............74  79  85  91  91  91  94  94  94  94  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..7   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.16  14  13  13  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..24  15  6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   6   7   7

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 20 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 31 late in the morning increasing
                    to 46 late in the morning increasing to 51
                    decreasing to 36 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 28.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........31     17     24     39     58     65
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0      50     50     50     70     70
Temp............77     79     86     88     88     86
RH..............94     97     80     75     72     77
20 FT wind dir..E      SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..5      5      6      7      7      7
20 FT wind gust.13     13     13     14     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1400   2500   3100   2900   2300
Transport wind..SE 9   E 12   SE 14  SE 14  SE 13  SE 13
Dispersion idx..5      20     42     52     39     33
LVORI...........7      5      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Garcia
Requested by...Mike Lightsey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518106.0/MFL
.DELDT 07/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0