Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
078
FNUS72 KMFL 140915
FWSMFL
Spot Forecast for Johnny Buck WF...NPS
National Weather Service Miami FL
515 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Intermittent periods of showers and thunderstorms today as a low
pressure area moves across the peninsula. Most likely chances for
rain at the burn site forecast between 4-8PM. Impacts will include
heavy rain, frequent lightning and gusty, erratic winds. Outside
of these storms, winds will remain somewhat light and generally
out of the west this afternoon, then light and variable overnight.
Conditions will slightly improve on Tuesday as the area of low
pressure departs the area, but a few rounds of showers and storms
could still impact the site on Tuesday afternoon. Poor to fair
dispersion indexes forecast for today and Tuesday.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
the afternoon, then shifting to the south late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon, then gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 5 mph shifting to the west 3 to 12
mph early in the morning, then shifting to the
southwest around 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
increasing to 32 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 23 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53 68 55 50 53 57 52 75 71 80 82 86
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 10 20 40 50 80 90 90 90 70
Temp............74 75 76 80 82 84 86 86 85 84 81 79
RH..............97 97 97 91 82 74 72 70 72 74 85 88
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 6 7 9 10 12 13 13 13 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.3 2.8 2.0 1.3
Transp wind dir.S SW SW W W W W W W W SW SW
Transp wind spd.5 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 7 9 12 13
Dispersion idx..2 2 4 5 10 15 22 24 30 33 30 23
LVORI...........8 8 7 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Thunderstorms
likely in the evening. Showers likely through
the night. Chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 12 mph shifting to the south
around 5 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....12 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........86 76 86 82 64 61 45 50 58 59 61 56
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70 60 70 50 30 40 40 40 60 60 40 30
Temp............79 78 76 75 75 74 74 74 74 74 73 73
RH..............88 88 94 97 97 97 100 100 100 97 100 97
20 FT wind dir..S N N SW SW SW S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.10 9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W W W W W SW SW SW SW S S S
Transp wind spd.12 9 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Dispersion idx..14 9 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........5 5 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 8
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Thunderstorms
likely in the morning. Showers through the day.
Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the morning.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 13 late in the morning, then
increasing to 30 late in the morning increasing
to 40 late in the morning decreasing to 30.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........64 52 63 74 81 80
Weather cov.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Chc of pcpn (%).30 80 80 80 80 80
Temp............73 75 80 81 80 80
RH..............97 100 88 82 85 85
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.6 6 9 14 15 14
Mix hgt (ft)....300 400 2200 2700 1900 2200
Transport wind..S 5 S 6 S 12 S 14 S 13 S 12
Dispersion idx..2 6 30 42 32 30
LVORI...........9 8 4 3 4 4
$$
Forecaster...Torres-Vazquez
Requested by...Dylan Scott
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517887.1/MFL
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0