Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 280755
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Spot Forecast for MM44...USFS
National Weather Service Miami FL
355 AM EDT Thu May 28 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on May 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Relatively light southeasterly flow will become southerly through
the day. Storms will develop in the vicinity of the wildfire location
early this afternoon and could be slow to move eastward. Heavy rain
will be possible in storms that develop and linger. Storms should come
to an end by this evening. Dispersions will peak in the Fair to Generally
Good range today.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers with thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 42 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon decreasing to 30 late in the
                    afternoon decreasing to 19.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  59  63  52  54  55  68  62  69  73  73  85
Weather cov.....                    SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  30  40  60  70  80  80
Temp............72  73  76  79  84  85  87  87  88  87  85  87
RH..............100 97  97  94  80  75  70  70  66  68  75  70
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   6   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   10  10  12  13  14  15  14  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.1 2.0 3.0 3.9 4.1 4.1 3.7 3.1 2.3 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   10  10  10  9   9   9   9   8
Dispersion idx..3   4   12  23  39  46  39  37  33  31  27  19
LVORI...........9   9   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers with
                    thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to
                    6 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the northeast around 5 mph late in the evening
                    shifting to the southeast around 3 mph
                    overnight shifting to the south.
Dispersion index....10 decreasing to 2 early in the evening.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77  66  78  78  81  70  55  68  40  45  48  40
Weather cov.....DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).80  80  60  40  30  30  20  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............84  82  80  76  75  74  73  73  72  72  71  71
RH..............80  85  88  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  W   NW  NW  NE  NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..12  7   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........4   4   6   9   9   10  10  10  10  9   10  10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 5 mph shifting to the northwest
                    6 to 7 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 19 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 35 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    24 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  47  37  47  31  28  24  37  51  41  39  59
Weather cov.....                            CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  0   0   0   10  40  70  70  70  70
Temp............71  70  73  77  82  84  87  88  89  89  88  89
RH..............100 100 100 100 85  77  68  66  61  61  66  64
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.3   3   2   2   3   6   7   8   10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.4 4.1 4.7 4.9 4.7 4.0 3.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..2   2   4   7   15  22  30  35  39  39  35  24
LVORI...........10  10  9   7   4   3   3   2   1   1   3   2

$$
Forecaster...Harrigan
Requested by...R. Draper
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614508.2/MFL
.DELDT 05/28/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0