079
FNUS72 KMFL 180939
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Boy Scout Camp Rx...NPS
National Weather Service Miami FL
539 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Light easterly winds this morning will increase after sunrise and remain
breezy at the burn site throughout the remainder of today. Dispersions
will increase with the winds with values remaining in the generally good
range. With the strong easterly breeze, isolated to scattered shower activity
will develop throughout the course of today briskly moving along in the breeze.
Brief changes in the intensity and direction of winds could occur in and around
this activity. Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 16 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....35 increasing to 59.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  49  48  43  36  54  52  49  50
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  85  86  87  88  88  88  88  89
RH..............79  70  65  63  61  63  61  61  59
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.23  24  23  23  23  23  24  24  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  18  20  20  18  17  17  17  17
Dispersion idx..35  48  60  60  59  57  58  58  59
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0200, then 1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....50 decreasing to 9 early in the evening.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  40  22  32  24  32  27  26  31  33  32  32
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  10  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............87  86  83  82  81  80  80  79  79  78  78  78
RH..............63  65  72  74  79  82  82  85  88  88  88  88
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  10  8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.23  22  21  22  21  21  20  20  20  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  15  14  13  13  13  13  12  12  12
Dispersion idx..53  47  11  10  10  9   9   7   7   6   7   8
LVORI...........1   1   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely in the morning. Showers through the day.
                    Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1100, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1400, then 16-25 strikes until 1700, then 9-15
                    strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 22 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 61.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........33     37     38     43     49     43
Weather cov.....S CHC  DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     30     30     50     50
LAL.............2      2      2      3      4      4
Temp............77     80     86     87     87     87
RH..............90     88     72     68     68     65
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..8      8      10     13     13     13
20 FT wind gust.20     20     23     24     25     25
Mix hgt (ft)....700    800    2000   2600   2700   2700
Transport wind..E 13   E 16   E 18   E 21   E 22   E 22
Dispersion idx..9      17     44     60     64     65
LVORI...........5      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Hadi
Requested by...Chris Hericks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416235.2/MFL
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0