236
FNUS72 KMFL 150900
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Johnny Buck WF...NPS
National Weather Service Miami FL
500 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected again both today
and tomorrow, with a highly similar forecast setup for both days.
For today, highest chances for rain showers and storms will be
after 11am up through the early evening. Winds will be generally
light out of the south except when thunderstorms are nearby, to
which gusty and erratic winds will be possible. Conditions settle
overnight and then scattered activity occurs again tomorrow.
Dispersions today will be in the fair category.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 34 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 25 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  55  57  55  69  66  67  67  72  80  85  86
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  20  20  40  70  90  80  80  80  60  50
Temp............73  72  75  79  81  82  83  83  83  82  81  81
RH..............93  100 97  91  85  79  77  74  74  77  79  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   9   12  13  14  15  15  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 1.1 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..2   2   6   10  20  30  35  38  33  32  29  25
LVORI...........7   8   8   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms through the night.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
                    10 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........78  67  63  62  46  29  36  23  27  33  41  42
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH         SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH         SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  30  20  10  10  20  20  20  20  30  30
Temp............81  81  79  77  77  77  76  76  76  75  74  75
RH..............79  79  88  90  90  90  94  90  94  97  100 97
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  9   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   9   10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   7   6   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   10
Dispersion idx..17  10  2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   6
LVORI...........3   4   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 51 late in the morning.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........47     49     40     62     73     72
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).40     70     70     70     50     50
Temp............75     78     83     86     85     85
RH..............97     94     85     72     75     72
20 FT wind dir..E      SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..5      5      7      8      8      7
20 FT wind gust.12     14     17     18     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....300    500    2200   3200   3100   3500
Transport wind..SE 9   SE 8   S 14   S 16   S 15   S 14
Dispersion idx..5      8      38     55     48     46
LVORI...........7      7      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Redman
Requested by...Dylan Scott
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517887.2/MFL
.DELDT 07/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0