Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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811
FNUS72 KMFL 180830
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Caracara Prairie Rx Burn...Collier County
National Weather Service Miami FL
430 AM EDT Tue Aug 18 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Hot and dry conditions expected today. Light westerly
winds this morning increasing to around 10 mph this afternoon. Max
dispersions will be generally good to very good. Min RH values this
afternoon will fall into the mid 40 percent range.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 37 late in the morning increasing
                    to 51 early in the afternoon increasing to 61
                    decreasing to 49 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  11  14  9   6   9   8   4   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............81  87  90  93  95  97  97  98  96
RH..............91  75  66  58  53  48  46  45  48
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   6   7   8   8   9   10
20 FT wind gust.6   8   10  12  14  15  18  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.2 3.1 3.6 4.2 4.7 4.5 4.2 4.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   9   10  12  13  13  13
Dispersion idx..9   20  32  41  51  63  58  50  48
LVORI...........5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....39 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   6   6   11  12  11  15  11  13  20  24  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............93  91  86  84  82  81  80  79  78  78  77  77
RH..............54  58  68  72  79  82  85  91  94  91  94  94
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.21  18  16  14  12  10  9   8   8   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..39  26  7   6   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  24  19  20  23  30  31  33  36  45  41  39
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20  40  40
Temp............77  76  78  83  88  91  93  95  95  95  95  92
RH..............94  97  97  85  75  66  60  56  56  55  55  60
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   9   9   10  12  13  14  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.5 3.5 4.2 5.0 5.7 5.2 4.6 4.1
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   9   10
Dispersion idx..3   3   6   11  22  31  36  43  48  50  50  48
LVORI...........7   8   7   5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Fisher
Requested by...Julie Motkowicz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619865.1/MFL
.DELDT 08/18/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0