Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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FWUS46 KMFR 182216
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
216 PM PST TUE NOV 18 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   15   10    5   10   20   40   50   60   85   95   95   90   85   65   60   45
TEMPERATURE        35   32   31   31   30   29   32   33   30   30   32   31   30   30   29   29   28
MIN/MAX TEMP                           28                  33                  30                  30
WIND DIR            E    E    E    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SE   SE    E
WIND (MPH)          4    4    3    3    4    3    4    9   12   13   14   16    8    6    3    5    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   30   30   90   90   90   90   40   40    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.05      0.31      0.37      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.3       2.6       4.2       0.5
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 2.9                 4.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.3  7.3  7.1  6.8  6.5  6.6  6.6  6.3  6.1  6.1  5.9  5.7  5.4  5.4  5.6  5.7


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   15   10    5   10   25   40   50   55   85   95   95   90   85   65   60   45
TEMPERATURE        35   29   29   29   27   27   34   34   31   30   30   30   29   28   31   31   28
MIN/MAX TEMP                           26                  34                  28                  31
WIND DIR            N    N   NE    E   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    S    E
WIND (MPH)          2    3    2    2    3    4    6    6    9   10   11   12    5    6    3    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   30   30   90   90   80   80   30   30    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.33      0.36      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.2       2.3       3.5       0.3
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 2.5                 3.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.3  7.3  7.1  6.9  6.6  6.5  6.5  6.2  6.0  6.0  5.8  5.6  5.3  5.3  5.5  5.7


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   15   10    5   15   25   45   55   65   90   95   95   90   90   65   60   45
TEMPERATURE        36   32   32   32   31   29   32   33   30   31   32   32   30   30   28   29   28
MIN/MAX TEMP                           29                  33                  29                  31
WIND DIR           SE    E    E    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SE   SE    E
WIND (MPH)          4    4    3    3    4    3    4    9   12   14   14   16    8    6    3    5    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   30   30   90   90   90   90   40   40    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.05      0.29      0.34      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.3       2.4       3.8       0.5
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 2.7                 4.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.3  7.3  7.1  6.8  6.5  6.6  6.6  6.2  6.1  6.1  5.9  5.7  5.4  5.4  5.6  5.7


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   15   10    5   10   15   25   35   55   85   95   95   90   90   65   60   45
TEMPERATURE        27   23   22   21   21   21   26   27   23   23   23   23   22   21   20   20   19
MIN/MAX TEMP                           21                  28                  21                  21
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W   SE    E    E
WIND (MPH)          8    9    6    8    9   11   11   12   13   20   23   25   14   10    6   10   16
WIND GUST (MPH)                        26   37   33                  40   42   33
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   30   30   90   90   90   90   30   30    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.32      0.38      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.4       3.3       5.0       0.5
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 3.7                 5.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.3  7.2  7.1  6.8  6.5  6.8  6.9  6.3  6.0  6.2  6.0  5.7  5.4  5.4  5.6  5.7


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   15   10    5   15   30   50   60   70   80   90   95   95   85   75   65   50
TEMPERATURE        37   33   32   30   29   29   32   33   31   32   33   33   32   30   29   30   29
MIN/MAX TEMP                           29                  33                  30                  30
WIND DIR           NE   NE   NE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   NE   NE
WIND (MPH)          3    3    3    3    3    4    6    8    9   11   13   13    5    8    8    8    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   30   30   80   80   90   90   30   30    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.18      0.25      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       1.0       2.4       0.2
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 1.0                 2.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.5  7.4  7.4  7.1  6.7  6.4  6.3  6.4  6.1  5.9  5.8  5.7  5.7  5.4  5.4  5.6  5.8


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   10   10   10   30   50   70   85   80   85   95   95   90   85   65   55   40
TEMPERATURE        42   38   38   39   38   36   39   38   37   37   38   38   37   36   34   36   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           35                  39                  36                  37
WIND DIR           NW   NW   NW    W    S    S    S   SE    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   NW   NW    N   NW
WIND (MPH)          5    5    4    2    3    4    5    6    6    6    8    4    3    5    6    8    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   30   30   90   90   80   80   30   30    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.05      0.26      0.25      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.4  7.3  7.3  7.1  6.9  6.5  6.3  6.2  6.1  5.9  5.8  5.6  5.5  5.3  5.1  5.5  5.7


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   15   15    5   15   25   40   55   60   85   95   95   90   90   70   60   40
TEMPERATURE        38   35   34   33   33   35   35   36   35   34   35   35   34   34   31   31   31
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  36                  32                  34
WIND DIR            N    N    N   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    N    N
WIND (MPH)          3    3    2    3    5    6    8    9   10   11   12   10    5    5    6    6    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   30   30   90   90   80   80   30   30    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.03      0.18      0.22      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.6       1.8       0.2
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.7                 2.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.4  7.3  7.2  7.1  6.9  6.6  6.5  6.5  6.2  6.0  5.9  5.7  5.6  5.2  5.1  5.5  5.6


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   35   10    5    5   10   20   20   55   75   90   85   95   90   60   55   45
TEMPERATURE        36   33   31   31   30   30   37   39   37   33   34   33   32   31   30   32   32
MIN/MAX TEMP                           29                  39                  31                  33
WIND DIR            N   NE    E    E    E   SE   SE    S   SE   SE    S    S    S   SE    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)          4    3    4    5    6    8    8    6    8    9   10   12    6    3    5    9    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   20   20   70   70   70   70   20   20   10
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02      0.12      0.05      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.7       0.5       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.7                 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.9  6.6  6.3  6.2  6.3  6.3  6.6  7.0  6.9  6.4  6.1  5.6  5.2  5.1  5.2  5.6  5.8


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   30   10   10   10   25   40   25   55   70   90   85   95   90   60   55   45
TEMPERATURE        36   33   31   30   29   29   35   37   35   32   33   32   31   30   30   32   31
MIN/MAX TEMP                           29                  37                  30                  32
WIND DIR           NE   NE    E    E    E   SE   SE    S   SE   SE    S    S   SE   SE    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)          4    3    3    3    4    5    6    5    8    9   10   11    6    4    6    9    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   20   20   70   70   70   70   20   20    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.10      0.03      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.6       0.3       0.2
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.6                 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.6  6.4  6.2  6.2  6.1  6.4  6.8  6.9  6.4  6.0  5.7  5.3  5.2  5.2  5.6  5.8


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   30   15   15   20   25   20   25   50   65   90   80   95   90   65   65   50
TEMPERATURE        39   35   34   32   31   31   37   42   39   36   36   35   34   33   32   35   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  42                  33                  36
WIND DIR           NW   NE   NE   NE   NE    E   SE    S   SE   SE    S   SW    W   NW   NW   NW    N
WIND (MPH)          2    3    6    8    6    5    6    6    5    5    6    4    3    4    3    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   20   20   80   80   70   70   20   20    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02      0.15      0.10      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.3       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.9  6.7  6.6  6.6  6.5  6.5  6.7  6.6  6.3  5.8  5.4  5.3  5.0  5.0  5.6  5.8


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   35   10    5    5   10   15   20   50   70   85   80   95   90   60   55   45
TEMPERATURE        34   33   32   32   32   31   36   39   37   35   35   35   33   32   31   32   31
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  39                  32                  32
WIND DIR            N   NE    E    E   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)          3    3    4    5    6    6    6    8    8   10   10   13    8    3    5    8    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   20   20   70   70   70   70   30   30   10
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02      0.12      0.07      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.5       0.6       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.5                 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.8  6.5  6.2  6.1  6.0  6.1  6.5  6.8  6.7  6.4  6.1  5.5  5.2  5.0  5.1  5.6  5.8


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   35   10    0    5    5   15   20   50   70   85   80   95   90   60   50   45
TEMPERATURE        35   33   31   32   32   32   37   40   38   35   35   35   34   33   31   33   32
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  40                  32                  33
WIND DIR            N   NE    E    E   SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE    S    S   SE   SE    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)          3    3    3    5    6    8    8    9    8    9   10   13    8    3    5    9    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   20   20   70   70   70   70   30   30   10
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02      0.10      0.05      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.3       0.5       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.3                 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.7  6.4  6.0  5.9  5.8  5.9  6.5  6.8  6.7  6.4  6.1  5.5  5.2  5.0  5.1  5.6  5.8


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/19/25                      THURSDAY 11/20/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   25   20    5    0   10   15   35   55   80   95   85   95   75   60   55   40
TEMPERATURE        34   33   33   34   34   34   37   38   38   37   36   36   35   34   34   33   32
MIN/MAX TEMP                           32                  39                  34                  34
WIND DIR            N   NE   NE    E   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    E    E
WIND (MPH)          4    3    2    4    5    6    5    6    8    9    9   10    3    5    5    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   20   20   90   90   70   70   20   20    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.19      0.07      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.6       0.2
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.7  6.6  6.5  6.6  6.6  6.3  6.3  6.5  6.7  6.5  6.0  5.5  5.2  4.8  4.9  5.3  5.6

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN