Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
106
FWUS46 KMFR 141101
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 40 15 20 30 40 15 10 10 15 15 15 10 15 10 15 15
TEMPERATURE 31 31 37 39 40 36 33 34 33 32 38 40 39 33 33 34 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 31 41 31
WIND DIR NE NE NE E N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
WIND (MPH) 11 8 5 4 5 6 5 6 8 6 8 9 13 11 10 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.4 6.9 7.6 7.8 7.6 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.4 6.8 7.0 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.5
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 15 20 30 30 20 10 10 15 15 20 15 10 10 15 15
TEMPERATURE 27 27 38 42 42 34 31 29 29 30 39 42 39 31 30 29 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 28 43 27
WIND DIR N NE NW N N N N N NW W W W NW NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 4 4 3 4 5 5 4 6 9 10 9 8 6 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.3 6.8 7.6 7.8 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.8 7.0 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.8 6.5
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 40 15 20 25 45 20 15 15 25 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
TEMPERATURE 32 31 35 38 40 35 33 33 32 31 35 38 38 33 33 34 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 31 40 31
WIND DIR NE NE NE E NE N N NW NW NW W W NW NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 12 9 6 5 5 6 5 5 6 5 8 8 12 11 10 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.4 6.9 7.5 7.8 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.4 6.8 7.0 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.8 6.5
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 40 15 20 40 30 15 5 10 15 10 15 10 10 10 15 15
TEMPERATURE 21 22 27 27 29 26 24 24 24 25 29 29 28 24 24 24 24
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 24 29 22
WIND DIR NE NE NE E NE NE N N N N N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 11 10 6 5 8 9 9 11 13 14 17 18 25 24 20 19 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 33 27 34 58 64 73 77 78 70 62 59
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.4 7.0 7.6 7.8 7.6 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.8 6.9 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.5
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 15 15 25 20 10 5 15 25 10 10 10 10 10 10 15
TEMPERATURE 31 30 34 40 42 37 34 34 33 32 39 42 41 36 33 33 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 32 43 31
WIND DIR N N NE N N NW NW NW NW W W NW NW NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 13 13 9 8 8 8 8 9 8 6 8 9 11 10 9 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 5.9 6.6 7.3 7.6 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.8 7.1 7.5 7.0 6.7 6.7 6.3
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 10 10 10 20 25 25 30 25 25 25 20 10 10 10 25
TEMPERATURE 36 37 43 49 49 42 38 37 37 37 43 47 46 39 39 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 35 49 37
WIND DIR NW NW N N N NW NW W SW S S S W NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 8 6 9 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.3 6.6 7.3 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.8 7.3 7.5 7.3 6.8 6.9 6.7
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 35 15 10 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 15 15 10 10 15 25
TEMPERATURE 32 34 37 42 43 38 35 35 34 36 40 43 43 36 35 34 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 32 44 31
WIND DIR NW N N N NW NW N NW NW NW W N NW N N N N
WIND (MPH) 10 11 9 6 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 9 9 8 6 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.2 6.6 7.3 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.7 7.0 7.3 7.5 7.3 6.8 6.9 6.6
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW CL CL FW CL FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 35 15 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 5 5 10 10 10 15
TEMPERATURE 29 29 34 41 43 37 33 33 32 32 42 44 43 35 33 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 31 45 30
WIND DIR E E E E E E E E NW W W W NW NW N NE NW
WIND (MPH) 14 14 14 9 9 10 9 4 5 6 9 11 11 10 8 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.2 5.9 6.8 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.7 7.2 7.3 6.8 6.4 6.0 5.6
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW CL FW CL FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 35 15 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 5 5 10 10 15 15
TEMPERATURE 28 28 33 40 41 36 32 32 31 31 41 43 42 35 32 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 30 44 29
WIND DIR NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE NW NW W NW NW NW NW N NW
WIND (MPH) 12 12 10 8 9 10 8 5 8 9 10 12 11 10 8 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.2 6.0 6.8 7.2 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.7 7.2 7.3 6.9 6.4 6.0 5.6
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 35 10 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 15 20
TEMPERATURE 30 29 36 45 47 41 36 34 32 31 42 46 45 38 35 32 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 31 47 30
WIND DIR NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NW W W W NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 12 13 12 8 5 8 8 6 5 3 8 9 6 5 4 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.2 6.0 6.9 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.6 6.8 7.1 6.7 6.6 6.3 5.8
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 15 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 5 5 10 10 10 15
TEMPERATURE 30 30 35 41 42 37 33 33 33 32 41 42 41 35 33 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 32 43 30
WIND DIR E E E E NE E E E S SW W W NW NW NE E E
WIND (MPH) 11 11 10 6 5 8 8 5 5 5 9 11 11 10 8 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 29
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.2 6.0 6.8 7.2 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.1 6.8 6.4 6.1 5.7
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 15 10 10 5 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 15 10 10 15
TEMPERATURE 30 30 35 42 43 37 33 33 33 32 41 43 42 35 32 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 32 44 30
WIND DIR E E E E E SE SE SE S S W W W W E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 9 9 6 5 6 8 5 5 5 8 10 11 10 8 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.3 5.1 6.0 6.7 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.1 6.5 6.8 7.0 6.9 6.3 6.0 5.6
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 10/14/25 WEDNESDAY 10/15/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW CL CL FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 15
TEMPERATURE 33 32 37 41 42 38 36 37 36 35 41 42 41 35 34 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 35 43 33
WIND DIR NE E E E N N NE NW NW W NW NW NW N N N N
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 3 6 6 8 11 12 11 9 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 6.0 6.3 7.0 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.7 7.0 6.9 6.5 6.4 6.1
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN