Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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499
FWUS46 KMFR 121101
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   25   50   95   70   85   90   75   85   85   90   95   90   90   85   70   80
TEMPERATURE        32   32   38   37   35   31   31   30   29   26   25   26   28   27   30   30   29
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  25                  28                  27
WIND DIR            N    N   NW   NW    W   NW    W   SE   SW    S    S   SE    E    E    E    E   NE
WIND (MPH)         12   12   10   12   13    6    8    8   10   10   13   17   11   17   18   13   10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5   10   10   10   40   40   80   80   80   80   70   70   50   50   40
PRECIP TYPE                                       S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.05      0.24      0.54      0.27      0.08
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.5       2.5       5.5       2.6       0.7
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.5                 8.0                 3.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.7  5.7  6.1  6.0  6.1  6.1  6.0  5.9  5.6  5.2  5.2  5.4  5.6  5.7  5.7  5.6  5.3


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   25   50   95   70   80   85   80   85   85   90   95   90   85   85   70   80
TEMPERATURE        26   27   39   39   36   29   29   30   27   28   30   31   31   29   28   28   27
MAX/MIN TEMP                           41                  26                  31                  26
WIND DIR            N    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW    E    S    S   SE    E   NE   NE   NE    E    N
WIND (MPH)         10   10    8   10   11    4    5    5    8    6   10   13    9   17   17   14    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5   10   10   10   40   40   80   80   80   80   70   70   50   50   40
PRECIP TYPE                                       S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.04      0.20      0.48      0.25      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.3       1.7       4.1       1.9       0.5
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.3                 5.8                 2.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.7  5.6  6.0  5.9  6.0  6.0  5.9  5.9  5.5  5.1  5.1  5.4  5.5  5.7  5.7  5.6  5.3


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   25   50   95   70   85   90   70   85   90   90   95   90   90   85   75   80
TEMPERATURE        32   32   35   36   35   31   31   31   29   26   25   25   27   26   29   29   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  25                  28                  26
WIND DIR            N    N    N   NW    W   NW    W   NW   SW    S    S   SE    E    E    E    E   NE
WIND (MPH)         12   11    9   12   13    6    8    9   10   11   13   17   12   17   18   13   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5   10   10   10   40   40   80   80   80   80   70   70   60   60   50
PRECIP TYPE                                       S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.04      0.22      0.52      0.26      0.08
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.4       2.2       5.1       2.3       0.6
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.4                 7.3                 2.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.7  5.6  6.1  6.1  6.0  6.1  5.9  5.9  5.6  5.1  5.2  5.4  5.5  5.7  5.7  5.6  5.3


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   30   55   95   70   80   90   85   85   85   90   95   90   85   80   70   80
TEMPERATURE        23   24   30   27   24   21   21   21   19   18   17   19   20   18   19   20   19
MAX/MIN TEMP                           30                  17                  20                  18
WIND DIR           NW   NW   NW    W    W    W   SW    W   SW   SW    S    S   SE    E   SE   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)         21   21   19   21   23   11   11   14   18   16   20   28   18   25   24   19   16
WIND GUST (MPH)    43   41   41   48   43             34   36        41   55   36   43   41        33
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5   10   10   10   40   40   80   80   80   80   70   70   50   50   40
PRECIP TYPE                                       S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.07      0.24      0.56      0.30      0.09
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.1       0.8       2.7       6.3       3.2       0.9
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.9                 9.0                 4.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.7  5.7  6.0  5.9  6.1  6.1  6.0  6.0  5.7  5.2  5.2  5.5  5.6  5.7  5.8  5.6  5.3


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   25   60   80   75   80   90   70   85   85   90   90   85   90   75   75   80
TEMPERATURE        30   29   36   38   36   33   33   32   31   29   27   28   29   29   31   31   30
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  28                  30                  29
WIND DIR           NW   NW    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   SW    S    S    S   SE    E   NE   NE   NE    N
WIND (MPH)         12   11    8    9   12   11    5    9    9   11   16   16   13   17   18   13    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0   10   20   20   50   50   80   80   90   90   70   70   50   50   40
PRECIP TYPE                             S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.03      0.13      0.34      0.20      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.2       1.2       2.9       1.4       0.3
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.2                 4.1                 1.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.6  5.5  6.1  6.0  5.7  5.7  5.7  5.6  5.4  5.1  5.2  5.4  5.7  5.8  5.8  5.7  5.3


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    10   15   40   85   70   75   70   70   85   85   90   95   90   85   85   80   85
TEMPERATURE        36   37   43   46   43   38   38   37   35   37   34   34   35   33   35   35   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           48                  33                  37                  32
WIND DIR            N    N    N    N    N   NW   NW   NW    S   SE   SE   SE    S   NE   SE   SE    E
WIND (MPH)          9    8    8   10   11   14   10    3    4    4    8    6    5    5    9    8    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0   10   10   10   40   40   80   80   90   90   70   70   60   60   50
PRECIP TYPE                                       S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.16      0.44      0.25      0.09
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.3       1.8       0.7       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 2.1                 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.7  5.5  5.9  6.2  6.1  5.9  5.8  5.7  5.5  5.0  5.0  5.2  5.3  5.4  5.5  5.5  5.2


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    30   35   45   90   65   85   80   85   85   85   90   95   90   90   85   70   80
TEMPERATURE        32   35   37   39   38   33   33   34   33   31   29   30   30   28   30   31   30
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  29                  31                  28
WIND DIR            N    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   SW    S    S   SE   SE    E   NE    E   NE    N
WIND (MPH)         13   12   10   12   12   13    9    5    6    9   14   16   11   12   17   14    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   10   10   40   40   80   80   90   90   70   70   50   50   40
PRECIP TYPE                                       S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.15      0.32      0.21      0.05
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       1.3       2.7       1.5       0.4
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.1                 4.0                 1.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.7  5.5  5.9  6.2  6.1  5.9  5.8  5.7  5.5  5.1  5.1  5.3  5.4  5.4  5.5  5.5  5.2


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   85   90   85   90   95   95   95   95   90   85   80   70   65   60   65   60
TEMPERATURE        31   29   31   32   32   30   31   30   29   27   29   33   34   33   34   32   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           34                  27                  35                  30
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW    S    S   SE    E    E    E    E    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)         17   13   12   13   12   12   12   11    6    8   13   18   21   23   24   19   16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   20   30   50   80   80   90   90   90   90   70   70   30   30   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.05      0.25      0.30      0.21      0.11      0.01      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.4       2.5       3.3       2.5       0.9       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.4                 5.8                 3.4                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.1  4.9  5.3  5.6  5.7  5.5  5.4  5.1  4.9  4.7  5.0  5.8  6.2  6.1  5.9  5.7  5.4


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    80   85   85   85   85   90   95   95   95   90   85   80   70   70   60   70   65
TEMPERATURE        30   27   30   31   31   30   30   30   28   26   28   32   33   32   33   31   30
MAX/MIN TEMP                           33                  26                  34                  29
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW    S    S   SE    E    E    E    E   NE   NE   NE
WIND (MPH)         18   13   12   12   12   12   11   11    8    8   11   16   18   18   17   13   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   10   30   50   70   70   90   90   90   90   70   70   30   30   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE         S         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.03      0.15      0.21      0.20      0.12      0.02      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.3       1.6       2.3       2.3       1.2       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.3                 3.9                 3.5                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.1  4.9  5.4  5.7  5.7  5.6  5.5  5.2  5.1  4.8  5.0  5.8  6.2  6.2  6.0  5.7  5.4


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   85   90   90   75   90   95   90   95   95   90   85   70   70   55   50   60
TEMPERATURE        34   31   33   36   36   34   34   34   32   31   32   36   39   37   35   35   32
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  30                  39                  31
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W    W    W   SW    S   SE    E    E    E    E    E    E   NE
WIND (MPH)         11    8    6    9   11   10    8    5    6    5    9   11   10   14   14   12   13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5   20   20   60   60   90   90   90   90   80   80   50   50   30   30   20
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.10      0.20      0.17      0.20      0.04      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.4       1.1       1.4       0.8       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 1.5                 2.2                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.4  5.1  5.4  5.6  5.5  5.4  5.5  5.3  5.0  4.9  5.0  5.6  5.9  5.9  5.9  5.8  5.5


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   85   90   90   90   95   95   95   95   95   85   85   70   65   55   50   55
TEMPERATURE        31   30   30   30   30   30   31   31   29   28   28   31   33   32   33   32   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           32                  27                  34                  30
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW    S    S   SE    E    E    E    E    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)         17   12   12   12   12   11   11    9    6    8   11   16   17   20   21   18   13
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                     37   41
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   20   30   70   90   90   90   90   90   90   80   80   40   40   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.04      0.22      0.25      0.18      0.11      0.02      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.3       1.9       2.3       1.8       0.7       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.3                 4.2                 2.5                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.1  4.9  5.3  5.5  5.5  5.4  5.3  5.0  4.8  4.7  5.0  5.7  6.1  5.9  5.8  5.6  5.4


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   80   90   90   95  100   95   95   95   95   85   85   65   65   55   45   55
TEMPERATURE        30   29   30   30   30   30   30   29   28   27   28   32   34   33   33   32   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           32                  27                  34                  30
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW    S    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)         16   12   13   12   12   11   11    9    4    8   11   16   18   20   21   19   13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   20   30   70   90   90   90   90   90   90   80   80   40   40   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.05      0.24      0.26      0.17      0.06      0.01      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.5       2.2       2.5       1.8       0.4       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.5                 4.7                 2.2                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.0  4.9  5.2  5.5  5.5  5.4  5.2  4.9  4.7  4.6  4.9  5.7  6.1  5.9  5.8  5.6  5.3


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 10/12/25                         MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    80   80   80   85   70   85   95   90   90   90   90   85   85   75   65   50   50
TEMPERATURE        33   33   33   34   34   31   33   35   31   30   27   28   29   30   31   32   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           35                  29                  30                  30
WIND DIR           NW    N   NW    W   NW   NW   SW    S    S   SE   SE   SE    E    E    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)         13   11   11   12   11   12    9   10    6    8   11   14    9   16   18   13   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5   10   20   50   50   80   80   90   90   70   70   50   50   30   30   20
PRECIP TYPE                        S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.04      0.15      0.22      0.20      0.03      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.3       1.2       2.1       1.8       0.2       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 1.5                 3.9                 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.5  5.1  5.4  5.5  5.7  5.7  5.7  5.5  5.2  4.8  4.7  5.1  5.4  5.6  5.7  5.6  5.4

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN