Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
291
FWUS46 KMFR 181011
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
211 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 10 15 30 30 25 25 25 35 45 50 65 90 95 95 85
TEMPERATURE 31 31 35 37 36 31 32 32 31 30 32 32 31 29 31 31 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 29 33 28
WIND DIR NE NE NE E NE E SE SE S SW S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 8 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 8 11 14 20 24 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.31
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 7.0 7.3 7.6 7.6 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.6
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 15 15 30 30 25 20 25 35 45 50 65 85 95 95 85
TEMPERATURE 27 27 37 39 35 29 29 28 27 27 34 34 31 29 29 29 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 25 34 26
WIND DIR N N N NE N N NE E SE S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 5 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 5 6 8 9 12 16 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 70 70 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.33
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.9 7.2 7.6 7.6 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 10 15 30 30 20 25 25 40 50 55 70 90 95 95 85
TEMPERATURE 32 32 34 37 36 32 33 32 31 30 31 32 30 29 31 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 29 33 27
WIND DIR NE NE NE E NE E SE SE S SW S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 8 5 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 8 11 14 20 24 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.29
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.6 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.6
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 15 20 35 30 25 20 20 30 40 45 65 85 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 22 22 27 28 27 24 23 22 21 22 25 26 24 21 22 23 22
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 21 28 19
WIND DIR E E E E E SE SW SW SW W SW S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 11 11 8 4 5 6 5 8 10 8 8 10 12 18 26 29 29
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 48 55 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.32
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 7.0 7.3 7.7 7.7 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.9 6.9 6.4 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.6
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 15 10 30 25 20 20 25 40 50 45 70 80 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 30 30 35 39 37 33 32 32 31 30 32 33 31 31 32 33 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 30 33 28
WIND DIR NE NE NE E NE N NE E SE S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 9 6 4 5 4 4 4 3 4 5 8 12 12 17 23 23 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.18
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.8 7.2 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 15 10 20 15 20 20 40 65 70 65 75 85 95 95 85
TEMPERATURE 35 36 41 44 42 38 38 37 36 37 38 38 36 36 37 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 35 39 35
WIND DIR NW N N N NW NW NW W SW S S S S S SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 9 9 6 6 8 6 5 4 3 5 6 8 9 9 12 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE S R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.26
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.3 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.7 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.5
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC FW SC SC SC FW SC SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 45 30 15 25 30 30 25 25 40 50 50 60 85 95 95 85
TEMPERATURE 33 34 37 39 37 34 33 33 33 34 35 36 34 33 33 34 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 31 36 31
WIND DIR N N N N N N NE E S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 8 5 5 6 4 4 4 5 8 9 12 13 18 21 20 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.18
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.4 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.5
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW BK SC FW FW SC FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 15 20 55 50 20 20 25 20 20 25 55 75 90 85 80
TEMPERATURE 30 29 35 37 36 31 30 29 29 29 35 39 37 33 32 31 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 27 39 29
WIND DIR N NE E N E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 6 4 8 5 5 5 8 11 10 10 14 17 14 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 6.1 6.5 6.9 7.0 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.6 6.1 5.6 5.4
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 30 15 25 50 45 20 20 30 40 30 30 55 70 90 85 85
TEMPERATURE 29 28 35 38 36 31 29 28 28 27 33 37 35 31 30 30 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 26 37 28
WIND DIR NW NW E NE E NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 3 3 4 5 4 6 4 4 5 8 11 10 9 13 16 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 70 70 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.2 6.6 7.1 7.1 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.3 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.0 5.6 5.4
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 35 20 25 55 45 25 20 30 40 25 30 55 65 90 80 80
TEMPERATURE 32 31 35 39 39 34 32 31 30 29 35 41 40 35 34 34 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 29 42 31
WIND DIR NW NE W W NW N NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 3 3 3 6 4 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 6 10 13 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.4 6.6 7.1 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.5 6.7 6.6 6.4 5.8 5.6 5.3
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC BK BK FW FW FW FW FW FW BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 30 20 30 55 55 20 10 20 20 15 25 55 75 90 80 80
TEMPERATURE 32 31 34 35 34 32 31 31 31 30 35 39 37 34 33 33 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 29 39 30
WIND DIR N NE E N NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 9 11 11 10 13 16 14 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 5.9 6.3 6.6 6.7 6.4 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.1 5.6 5.3
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC BK BK FW FW FW FW FW FW BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 30 20 35 55 60 20 10 20 20 15 20 55 75 90 80 80
TEMPERATURE 31 31 34 35 34 31 31 31 31 30 36 40 38 34 33 33 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 29 40 31
WIND DIR NW NE E N NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 6 9 12 12 10 14 17 16 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.7 6.1 6.4 6.4 6.2 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.8 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.5 6.2 5.6 5.3
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC BK BK SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 50 40 45 55 55 45 25 25 25 25 30 65 75 95 85 85
TEMPERATURE 34 33 35 34 34 32 33 34 34 34 36 39 37 34 34 34 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 32 39 32
WIND DIR N N N N NE NE NE E SE S S S S SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 4 3 3 6 5 5 3 5 5 6 8 9 11 16 23 21 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.19
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.3 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.8 6.5 5.9 5.6 5.3
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN