Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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806
FWUS46 KMFR 112221
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST TUE NOV 11 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   70   30   50   70   85   90   65   80   85   95   95  100  100  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        43   41   41   40   39   39   41   40   39   39   40   41   40   39   37   36   33
MIN/MAX TEMP                           38                  42                  37                  40
WIND DIR           SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         18   19   23   25   24   28   29   32   33   36   42   44   48   49   49   36   41
WIND GUST (MPH)                                  48   51   54   58   67   72   78   79   79   58   67
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   60   60   90   90  100  100  100  100   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.02      0.25      0.92      1.46      0.79
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.4       2.7
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 3.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.9  8.8  8.9  8.7  8.5  8.1  7.9  8.0  7.8  7.7  8.2  8.6  8.5  8.4  8.0  6.9  6.5


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   75   30   50   75   80   80   60   75   80   95   95  100  100  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        43   39   38   36   35   37   42   41   39   39   40   41   41   40   40   39   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           34                  43                  39                  40
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         13   14   17   19   18   21   23   24   25   27   32   34   37   39   37   26   31
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                           51   57   58   57
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   50   50   90   90  100  100  100  100   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.21      0.83      1.44      0.77
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.8  8.8  8.8  8.7  8.4  8.0  7.9  7.9  7.7  7.7  8.1  8.5  8.5  8.4  7.9  6.9  6.5


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   70   30   45   70   90   85   65   80   85   95   95  100  100  100  100   90
TEMPERATURE        43   42   42   41   39   40   39   39   38   39   39   41   40   39   37   36   32
MIN/MAX TEMP                           38                  42                  37                  40
WIND DIR           SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         18   19   23   25   24   28   31   32   33   36   42   44   48   50   49   36   42
WIND GUST (MPH)                                  48   51   54   58   67   72   78   79   79   58   67
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   60   60   90   90  100  100  100  100   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.02      0.23      0.87      1.37      0.75
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.3       2.4
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 2.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.8  8.8  8.9  8.7  8.5  8.1  7.9  7.9  7.8  7.7  8.1  8.5  8.5  8.4  8.0  6.9  6.5


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   70   35   45   75   85   85   60   75   80   95   95  100  100  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        35   31   32   31   30   32   32   32   31   33   34   36   36   33   31   29   25
MIN/MAX TEMP                           30                  35                  32                  33
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         29   31   33   36   37   39   40   44   44   50   63   72   72   77   78   69   74
WIND GUST (MPH)    55   58   55   62   67   69   74   79   81   89  107  115  115  115  115  115  115
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   50   50   90   90  100  100  100  100   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.01      0.01      0.03      0.32      1.54      1.58      0.85
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       1.6       8.8      10.7       7.4
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.1                10.4                18.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.9  8.8  8.9  8.8  8.5  8.1  8.0  8.0  7.8  7.8  8.2  8.6  8.5  8.4  8.0  6.9  6.6


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   90   65   70   80   95   95   75   80   80   90   90  100  100  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        44   42   42   40   40   40   40   41   40   40   41   42   40   40   38   37   34
MIN/MAX TEMP                           39                  42                  37                  40
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         13   14   17   19   19   21   23   25   26   27   32   36   39   40   40   28   33
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                           55   61   61   61        50
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   40   40   90   90  100  100  100  100   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.03      0.03      0.18      0.57      0.95      0.48
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.3
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.8  8.7  8.7  8.6  8.3  8.0  7.9  8.0  7.7  7.6  8.1  8.4  8.5  8.5  8.0  7.0  6.5


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   FW   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   65   20   30   70   90   90   55   80   90   95   95  100  100  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        50   47   47   45   44   45   46   45   44   43   44   45   44   43   40   39   36
MIN/MAX TEMP                           43                  47                  42                  44
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE    S   SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE    S   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)          5    5    8    8    8    8   10   13   12   17   19   23   20   18   16   21   16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0   10   20   10   60   60  100  100  100  100  100  100   80
PRECIP TYPE                                       R         R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.04      0.36      1.23      1.14      0.54
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.7  8.7  8.8  8.6  8.3  7.9  7.7  7.7  7.6  7.7  8.1  8.4  8.5  8.3  7.8  6.8  6.4


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   SC   FW   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   45   20   40   75   90   90   55   80   80   95   95  100  100  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        48   45   44   42   41   43   43   43   42   42   41   42   41   40   37   36   34
MIN/MAX TEMP                           41                  44                  39                  41
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SE    S    S    S    S   SE   SE    S   SE    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         13   14   17   18   18   21   24   25   26   29   34   36   42   43   39   26   26
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                      51   55   64   65   58
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   50   50  100  100  100  100  100  100   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.02      0.19      0.77      0.92      0.39
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.3
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.6  8.3  8.0  7.8  7.8  7.6  7.7  8.1  8.4  8.5  8.3  7.7  6.7  6.4


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   BK   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   65   70   65   65   75   55   35   50   80   90   85   95   95  100  100   95
TEMPERATURE        46   41   40   38   37   38   42   45   44   41   40   40   41   40   40   39   36
MIN/MAX TEMP                           37                  47                  39                  41
WIND DIR           SW   SW    S    S    S   SE    S    S    S   SE    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         16   16   17   18   17   17   19   23   21   24   27   31   32   27   35   28   19
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                50        54
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5   10   10   50   50   80   80   70   70   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                           R    R    R    R    R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.02      0.12      0.15
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.5  8.5  8.6  8.5  8.3  8.1  8.2  8.3  7.9  7.9  8.8  8.9  8.5  8.0  7.1  6.7


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   BK   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   75   75   65   75   70   55   40   55   85   90   90   95   95  100  100   95
TEMPERATURE        45   40   38   36   35   36   40   44   44   40   40   40   40   40   39   38   36
MIN/MAX TEMP                           35                  46                  39                  40
WIND DIR           SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         14   14   17   18   17   17   19   21   20   21   26   28   29   26   34   29   20
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                47        51
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5   10   10   40   40   70   70   60   60   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                           S    R    R    R    R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.03      0.03      0.12      0.14
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.6  8.6  8.6  8.7  8.6  8.4  8.1  8.3  8.3  7.9  7.9  8.7  8.8  8.4  8.0  7.2  6.8


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   60   60   55   70   90   95   90   90   65   85   80   95   95  100  100   90
TEMPERATURE        49   43   42   40   38   39   43   48   47   44   44   45   45   43   42   43   40
MIN/MAX TEMP                           37                  50                  42                  45
WIND DIR            S    S   SE   SE   SE    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S   SW
WIND (MPH)          6    8    9    9    9   11   13   12   11   16   20   21   24   20   17   16   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    5    5    5   10    5   10   10   30   30   70   70   70   70   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                           R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.02      0.16      0.14
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.6  8.7  8.6  8.6  8.4  8.1  7.9  8.1  7.9  7.7  7.9  8.4  8.8  8.4  7.9  6.9  6.6


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   SC   BK   OV   OV   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   70   55   40   55   70   70   65   80   70   85   80   95   95  100  100   95
TEMPERATURE        46   43   42   42   40   41   44   47   45   43   42   43   43   42   40   38   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           40                  48                  40                  42
WIND DIR           SW    S    S    S    S   SE   SE    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S   SW
WIND (MPH)         16   16   17   19   17   17   19   21   21   21   26   31   27   27   36   29   18
WIND GUST (MPH)                                  36                  44   48   48   48   64   51   40
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    5    5    5   10   10   20   20   50   50   80   80   60   60   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.03      0.02      0.12      0.13
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.5  8.5  8.5  8.4  8.2  8.0  8.1  8.1  7.8  8.0  8.8  8.9  8.5  8.0  7.0  6.6


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    95   75   55   40   55   70   65   50   70   60   80   80   95   95  100  100   95
TEMPERATURE        46   43   42   42   40   40   44   47   46   43   42   43   43   42   40   39   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           40                  48                  41                  42
WIND DIR           SW   SW    S    S    S   SE   SE    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SW
WIND (MPH)         16   16   17   19   17   16   17   21   20   21   26   32   28   27   35   29   14
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                          54
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    5    5    5   10   10   20   20   50   50   90   90   60   60   80
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.04      0.02      0.10      0.13
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  8.4  8.4  8.4  8.4  8.3  8.0  8.1  8.2  7.9  8.0  9.0  8.9  8.5  8.0  7.0  6.7


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   90   80   75   90   95   70   70   70   65   85   85  100  100   95   95   90
TEMPERATURE        47   45   46   44   43   44   45   47   45   41   42   43   43   41   40   38   33
MIN/MAX TEMP                           43                  47                  40                  42
WIND DIR           SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         12   13   16   17   16   17   20   23   25   28   35   39   39   39   35   23   23
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                      54   58   58   58   54
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5   20   20   60   60   90   90   90   90   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.04      0.11      0.31      0.14
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.7  8.7  8.6  8.7  8.5  8.1  7.9  8.2  8.0  8.0  8.8  8.8  8.8  8.4  7.5  6.5  6.3

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN