Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
456
FWUS46 KMFR 072212
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
211 PM PST SUN DEC 7 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 10 15 40 60 40 10 20 40 30 40 40 40 45 30 40 60
TEMPERATURE 37 35 34 34 34 34 40 42 41 38 38 39 38 38 42 44 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 43 36 44
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 20 18 12 9 12 13 13 16 21 21 23 24 26 28 25 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.1 7.2 7.7 8.4 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.0 8.2 8.1 8.4 9.3 9.4
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 10 15 35 60 40 10 20 35 30 40 35 40 45 35 45 60
TEMPERATURE 35 32 30 30 29 30 40 42 39 35 34 34 33 33 42 44 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 44 31 45
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N N NW W SW SW W W NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 16 13 10 6 10 10 10 12 14 16 17 18 19 21 19 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.7 8.3 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.0 8.2 8.1 8.3 9.3 9.4
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 10 15 40 60 40 15 25 45 35 40 40 40 45 35 45 60
TEMPERATURE 37 34 34 33 34 34 38 41 40 38 38 39 38 37 41 43 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 42 36 44
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 20 18 12 9 12 13 13 16 21 21 23 24 25 27 25 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.1 7.2 7.7 8.4 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.0 8.2 8.1 8.4 9.3 9.4
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 15 20 40 65 40 15 25 40 30 40 35 40 45 35 45 65
TEMPERATURE 27 26 25 25 26 27 31 33 31 29 29 29 29 28 33 35 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 34 28 35
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W W W W W NW W W W NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 35 33 25 20 26 27 23 32 43 35 41 42 46 48 41 29 32
WIND GUST (MPH) 72 69 57 54 61 61 41 71 88 71 85 85 93 95 79 55 58
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.7 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.2 7.7 8.4 8.2 8.6 8.5 8.0 8.2 8.1 8.3 9.3 9.4
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW SC BK SC FW FW BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 15 15 35 55 35 20 20 55 40 45 50 45 50 40 50 60
TEMPERATURE 37 34 33 33 33 34 38 42 40 38 37 37 37 37 40 43 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 43 36 44
WIND DIR W W NW NW W NW NW NW W SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 16 13 10 6 9 11 10 12 16 16 18 19 20 21 19 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.6 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.6 8.2 8.3 8.6 8.6 8.1 8.3 8.0 8.4 9.3 9.4
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 5 15 30 60 40 10 10 30 35 40 35 40 45 35 35 60
TEMPERATURE 43 40 39 39 39 39 42 48 46 43 43 43 42 42 44 49 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 49 41 50
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W S SW W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 5 6 6 6 5 5 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.7 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.6 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.3 9.2 9.4
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 15 20 30 60 40 15 10 25 35 35 35 40 50 35 45 60
TEMPERATURE 40 37 36 36 36 38 42 45 43 41 40 40 40 40 44 47 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 46 38 47
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N N NW NW SW SW SW SW W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 16 14 10 6 10 11 11 13 14 17 17 18 19 21 20 16 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 0 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.8 7.6 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.8 8.4 8.3 8.6 8.6 8.0 8.2 8.1 8.3 9.3 9.4
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 90 90 80 80 75 75 65 70 70 75 85 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 34 35 35 34 34 34 35 37 37 37 36 35 35 35 36 38 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 37 34 40
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 20 17 17 14 17 20 19 18 23 23 27 26 29 32 29 25 24
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 70 40 40 60 50 50 40 40 50 50 60 60 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S R R R S R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.07 0.10 0.09 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.2 7.5 8.0 8.1 8.1 8.2 7.8 8.3 8.1 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.6
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 85 85 75 75 75 70 65 70 65 70 80 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 34 34 33 33 33 33 34 37 37 36 35 34 34 34 36 37 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 37 33 39
WIND DIR W W SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 20 16 16 13 16 19 18 17 23 23 27 26 29 32 31 25 24
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 70 40 30 50 50 50 30 30 40 40 60 60 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S R R S R S R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.2 7.8 8.3 8.0 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.7
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 80 85 80 60 50 65 60 40 50 50 55 60 70 75 75
TEMPERATURE 38 37 36 36 35 34 37 42 42 38 37 36 36 35 38 42 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 43 34 43
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 11 9 11 11 12 11 10 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 30 20 20 30 20 20 10 10 20 20 30 30 60 60 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.3 7.4 8.0 8.2 8.1 8.3 8.1 7.8 8.0 8.2 9.4 9.4 9.7
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 85 85 85 70 70 70 70 60 65 65 75 80 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 34 35 36 36 36 36 36 37 37 38 37 37 37 37 36 38 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 38 36 41
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW
WIND (MPH) 19 18 17 13 18 20 18 18 23 24 27 26 29 32 29 24 23
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 47 50 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 30 70 50 60 70 60 50 50 50 60 60 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R S R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.2 7.5 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.4 7.9 8.2 8.6 8.8 9.4 9.5 9.6
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 85 85 80 85 75 75 70 75 75 85 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 34 35 36 36 36 36 35 37 37 38 37 37 37 37 36 39 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 38 37 41
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 19 19 18 16 19 21 19 18 24 25 28 27 31 33 29 25 24
WIND GUST (MPH) 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 30 70 50 60 70 60 50 50 50 60 60 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.0 7.2 7.6 8.1 8.1 8.3 8.4 7.9 8.4 8.9 9.1 9.4 9.4 9.6
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 12/08/25 TUESDAY 12/09/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK SC SC BK SC SC SC BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 55 60 65 45 30 55 40 25 45 50 60 60 60 65 65
TEMPERATURE 36 37 36 36 36 36 39 41 39 39 39 39 39 37 39 40 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 41 37 41
WIND DIR W W SW W W SW W W SW SW SW SW W SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 16 16 11 9 13 13 13 16 16 18 20 20 21 24 24 18 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 10 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.4 7.6 8.1 8.2 8.1 8.7 8.2 8.3 8.2 8.3 9.3 9.4 9.7
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN