Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
134
FWUS46 KMFR 152221
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST MON DEC 15 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 75 80 85 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 42 40 42 42 41 41 41 39 40 40 40 40 40 43 38 41 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 41 36 43
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 25 24 21 21 24 25 23 21 20 14 31 43 39 37 33 29 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 71 64 61 54 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 40 40 20 20 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 50 50 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.02 0.09 0.32 0.49 0.42 0.15 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.5 10.1 9.4 8.9 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.6 8.6 7.4 6.4 6.4 6.5
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 75 80 85 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 60 60 60
TEMPERATURE 40 38 39 40 39 38 41 40 39 37 37 38 37 41 39 42 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 41 34 43
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW S S S S S S W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 18 18 17 17 18 19 17 16 16 11 24 33 28 28 25 23 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 30 30 30 30 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.01 0.04 0.22 0.34 0.37 0.14 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.6 10.1 9.4 9.0 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.7 9.7 8.6 7.4 6.4 6.4 6.5
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 75 80 85 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 65 65 60
TEMPERATURE 42 40 42 42 41 40 40 39 39 40 40 40 41 43 37 41 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 41 36 43
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 24 24 21 21 24 25 23 21 20 14 31 43 39 36 33 29 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 71 64 61 54 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 40 40 20 20 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 50 50 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.02 0.08 0.34 0.51 0.43 0.15 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.5 10.1 9.4 8.9 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.5 9.6 8.6 7.4 6.4 6.4 6.5
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 75 80 85 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 33 34 34 34 33 33 33 32 32 32 32 34 32 35 29 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 33 27 35
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W SW W SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 42 39 37 39 40 42 40 35 40 31 58 72 72 67 62 58 43
WIND GUST (MPH) 82 71 74 81 78 82 85 69 89 78 115 115 115 115 115 115 107
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 30 30 20 20 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.03 0.09 0.37 0.49 0.45 0.15 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 2.4 4.8 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.5 10.2 9.5 8.9 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.5 8.6 7.4 6.4 6.3 6.5
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 65 70 80 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 65 65 50
TEMPERATURE 41 40 42 41 40 40 40 39 39 40 40 41 40 42 38 41 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 40 36 42
WIND DIR S S SW SW SW SW S S S S SW SW SW W W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 18 14 14 14 17 17 17 13 12 11 28 32 34 28 27 23 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 30 30 10 10 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 50 50 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.22 0.26 0.28 0.15 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.2 10.4 10.1 9.4 8.9 8.8 8.7 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.5 8.7 7.3 6.4 6.4 6.5
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 75 80 85 85 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 65 65 65
TEMPERATURE 46 46 47 47 46 46 45 45 45 45 46 45 45 49 43 47 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 46 42 49
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 5 5 5 6 8 5 6 12 11 12 9 6 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 50 50 30 30 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 50 50 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.21 0.34 0.36 0.12 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.5 10.0 9.4 8.9 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.8 9.7 8.7 7.5 6.5 6.5 6.6
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 75 80 85 80 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 65 65 60
TEMPERATURE 45 44 45 45 44 44 44 43 43 43 43 44 43 46 41 44 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 44 39 46
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW S S S S S S W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 18 17 16 16 16 17 17 16 16 12 24 31 26 25 21 19 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 44 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 40 40 20 20 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 50 50 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.01 0.03 0.28 0.42 0.38 0.09 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.5 10.1 9.3 8.7 9.0 8.9 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.7 9.7 8.6 7.3 6.4 6.3 6.5
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 85 90 85 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 60 60 65
TEMPERATURE 41 41 41 39 38 38 39 40 40 41 43 43 36 33 32 35 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 41 30 37
WIND DIR SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 26 24 21 21 20 20 24 25 25 27 33 43 33 29 20 21 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 65 55 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 50 40 40 30 30 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.04 0.05 0.20 0.50 0.92 0.27 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.3 8.5 7.8 7.4 8.0 7.7 7.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 8.8 6.1 4.5 3.6 3.9 4.0
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 85 80 85 85 90 90 100 100 100 100 95 95 55 55 65
TEMPERATURE 41 40 40 38 37 37 38 39 39 40 42 42 36 33 31 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 40 30 36
WIND DIR SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 26 25 21 23 20 20 24 24 21 26 34 42 35 31 20 21 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 64 61 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 50 40 40 30 30 80 80 100 100 100 100 100 100 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.24 0.03 0.03 0.20 0.53 0.89 0.25 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.3 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 9.4 8.5 7.8 7.4 8.0 7.7 7.9 8.4 9.1 9.0 8.8 6.5 4.6 3.7 4.0 4.1
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 85 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 60 60 70
TEMPERATURE 44 43 43 43 41 40 41 43 43 43 44 46 42 38 36 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 44 34 42
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 11 9 10 10 9 8 9 10 12 16 18 26 26 18 11 9 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 40 40 30 30 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.02 0.03 0.32 0.32 0.60 0.28 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.1 9.1 8.3 8.1 8.3 8.1 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.3 9.0 7.4 5.2 4.3 4.5 4.7
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 85 90 80 95 95 100 100 100 100 100 100 60 60 70
TEMPERATURE 41 42 42 41 40 39 39 40 41 42 45 46 38 36 32 35 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 42 32 37
WIND DIR SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 27 23 21 21 20 20 23 23 25 27 32 42 36 28 20 20 19
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 44 40 55 74 71 51 37 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 50 40 40 30 30 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S R R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.25 0.05 0.05 0.22 0.44 0.84 0.27 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.3 8.4 7.8 7.4 8.0 7.7 7.8 8.6 9.0 9.1 8.8 6.2 4.5 3.7 4.0 4.2
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 90 90 90 90 75 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 60 60 65
TEMPERATURE 41 42 42 40 39 39 39 40 41 42 45 45 36 34 31 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 42 31 36
WIND DIR SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 28 23 23 23 21 20 24 25 27 28 33 41 34 27 20 20 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 64 61 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 50 40 40 30 30 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S R R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.06 0.05 0.15 0.45 0.88 0.24 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.6
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 8.9 8.1 7.5 7.2 7.8 7.4 7.6 8.4 8.9 8.9 8.7 5.6 4.2 3.4 3.7 3.9
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 12/16/25 WEDNESDAY 12/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 85 85 85 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 55 55 65
TEMPERATURE 44 44 44 43 42 42 42 42 42 43 46 48 43 41 37 39 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 43 36 41
WIND DIR SW S SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW W NW W W NW
WIND (MPH) 25 24 20 20 19 21 20 19 16 26 31 35 35 31 21 21 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 30 30 30 30 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.26 0.43 0.14 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.5 10.2 9.0 8.3 8.1 8.4 8.3 8.8 9.1 9.3 9.6 9.2 7.6 5.6 4.7 4.9 5.2
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN