Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
861
FWUS46 KMFR 122221
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST WED NOV 12 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 95 95 95 100 100 95 95 95 85 80 75 75 60 55 45
TEMPERATURE 37 37 39 40 41 39 37 38 36 32 32 33 32 31 31 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 39 30 35
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S W
WIND (MPH) 17 23 25 31 32 33 29 32 41 34 32 26 21 14 12 12 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 67 55 51 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 50 70 80 90 100 100 90 90 90 70 70 40 40 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R R R R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.97 2.33 1.99 0.59 0.10 0.05 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 1.6 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 8.0 8.6 8.9 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.2 8.7 8.1 7.2 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.5 6.9 7.5
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 90 90 95 100 100 95 95 90 85 80 75 75 60 55 45
TEMPERATURE 38 40 40 41 43 40 40 40 37 33 33 33 32 31 34 36 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 40 31 37
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE S SE SE S S S NW
WIND (MPH) 19 24 27 32 34 34 31 32 31 25 24 20 16 11 9 9 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 50 70 80 90 100 100 90 90 90 70 70 40 40 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.82 2.04 1.60 0.43 0.08 0.04 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.9 8.5 8.9 9.3 9.3 9.2 9.1 8.6 8.0 7.2 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.5 6.8 7.5
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 95 95 95 100 100 95 95 95 90 80 75 75 60 55 45
TEMPERATURE 37 37 39 40 40 40 38 39 37 33 34 35 33 32 31 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 40 30 35
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S W
WIND (MPH) 13 19 21 27 27 29 27 31 42 34 32 27 21 16 13 12 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 47 48 44 48 67 55 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 50 70 80 90 100 100 90 90 90 70 70 40 40 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R R R R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.91 2.25 1.86 0.56 0.11 0.04 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 8.0 8.6 8.9 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.2 8.7 8.0 7.2 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.9 7.5
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 90 90 95 100 100 95 90 90 85 75 75 70 60 55 45
TEMPERATURE 28 31 31 33 34 31 31 30 28 24 25 26 25 25 24 24 24
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 31 24 25
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S SW S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 28 34 41 47 48 48 44 44 74 60 54 49 37 31 24 21 17
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 58 71 81 85 82 75 75 115 115 105 74 58 61 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 50 70 80 90 100 100 90 90 90 60 60 40 40 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.25 1.44 3.82 2.56 0.68 0.10 0.07 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 7.6 17.0 13.2 5.2 0.9 0.6 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 8.9 30.2 6.1 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 8.0 8.6 9.0 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.3 8.8 8.1 7.3 6.9 6.6 6.4 6.6 6.9 7.6
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 90 95 95 95 100 95 90 90 80 75 75 70 60 55 45
TEMPERATURE 38 38 39 40 39 39 37 39 37 35 33 34 32 32 31 34 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 40 31 35
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SE SE S SE SE S S S NW
WIND (MPH) 24 27 27 34 36 35 31 29 33 29 26 21 16 16 12 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 55 57 57 48 47 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 30 60 70 80 90 100 90 90 90 60 60 40 40 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.53 1.61 1.63 0.61 0.11 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.9 8.4 8.6 9.0 9.2 9.3 9.2 8.7 8.0 7.2 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.9 7.4
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 90 95 95 95 95 100 95 95 95 90 85 80 80 60 50 40
TEMPERATURE 43 43 45 46 46 44 44 44 42 39 38 38 37 37 37 40 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 45 36 43
WIND DIR S SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 12 16 19 21 23 23 21 24 14 11 11 10 9 8 6 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 70 80 90 100 100 90 90 90 70 70 40 40 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.29 1.50 3.00 1.95 0.52 0.14 0.05 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.9 8.6 8.8 9.3 9.3 9.0 8.9 8.5 7.8 7.1 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.5 7.3
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 85 90 95 95 95 95 90 90 80 80 70 70 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 40 40 40 42 42 42 41 42 39 35 34 34 33 36 34 37 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 43 32 38
WIND DIR S S SE S S S S S S S S SE S S S S NW
WIND (MPH) 24 26 29 35 36 36 34 33 23 21 23 17 13 11 10 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 55 57 57 54 50 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 50 70 80 90 100 100 90 80 80 70 70 40 40 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.55 1.68 1.00 0.32 0.09 0.04 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.8 8.5 8.9 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 8.5 7.8 7.2 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.4 6.6 7.4
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 55 80 65 85 75 85 85 95 95 80 80 70 70 70 75 75
TEMPERATURE 45 41 40 40 41 40 41 41 40 36 35 34 33 32 32 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 41 32 36
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW S SE S W W
WIND (MPH) 13 19 19 26 28 29 29 26 19 19 14 16 16 13 14 16 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 40 20 50 60 80 90 90 50 50 50 50 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.05 0.06 0.19 0.16 0.02 0.03 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 7.9 8.2 8.6 9.4 9.7 9.6 9.3 8.8 8.4 7.9 7.5 7.1 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.3
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 60 85 75 95 85 85 90 90 90 75 75 70 75 70 75 70
TEMPERATURE 44 40 39 39 40 40 40 41 39 36 35 34 33 32 31 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 41 32 35
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE SE SE S SE SE S SW S SE S W W
WIND (MPH) 12 17 17 25 26 26 27 25 20 19 14 16 16 12 14 16 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 40 30 50 60 80 90 90 50 50 50 50 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.07 0.10 0.27 0.20 0.02 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.9 8.2 8.6 9.3 9.7 9.6 9.3 8.9 8.5 8.0 7.6 7.1 6.9 7.0 7.3 7.4
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 70 70 70 90 75 85 80 90 90 70 70 65 65 65 70 65
TEMPERATURE 47 43 43 44 43 43 43 45 43 39 38 37 36 35 34 37 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 46 35 40
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SW SW S S S S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 10 13 18 20 24 21 21 19 13 11 11 11 10 10 9 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 20 20 20 60 60 70 80 80 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.26 0.11 0.01 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.7 8.7 8.6 9.2 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.7 8.1 7.6 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.1
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 70 65 85 70 85 85 90 90 80 80 70 70 70 75 70
TEMPERATURE 46 42 41 42 42 42 42 43 41 38 36 36 35 34 32 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 43 33 36
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E SE S SE SE W W W
WIND (MPH) 12 17 20 25 27 25 25 23 19 19 14 14 16 13 14 16 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 48 43 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 40 30 50 60 80 90 90 60 60 50 50 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.17 0.16 0.03 0.04 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 7.9 8.3 8.6 9.3 9.6 9.5 9.2 8.8 8.3 7.8 7.4 7.0 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.2
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 60 60 85 70 90 85 95 95 85 85 75 75 70 75 75
TEMPERATURE 47 42 42 42 42 42 43 43 41 38 36 36 34 34 32 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 43 33 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SE E S SW S S NW W W
WIND (MPH) 11 17 20 26 27 26 26 25 17 19 14 14 18 14 16 17 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 40 30 50 60 80 90 90 60 60 50 50 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.17 0.20 0.04 0.04 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 7.9 8.0 8.5 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.2 8.8 8.3 7.9 7.4 7.1 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 55 65 70 85 80 70 80 90 90 65 65 60 65 60 65 60
TEMPERATURE 43 41 41 42 43 43 42 43 39 35 36 36 35 36 34 36 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 43 34 38
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SE SE N S NE S S SW N
WIND (MPH) 23 25 32 34 39 39 34 28 24 19 21 17 13 13 12 9 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 58 58 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 20 30 40 60 40 70 80 80 30 30 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.11 0.44 0.46 0.20 0.05 0.04 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.7 8.5 9.3 9.6 9.6 9.2 9.0 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.1
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN