Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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407
FWUS46 KMFR 022301
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
301 PM PST SUN NOV 2 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5   20   25   30   65   55   70   90  100   90   90   90   95   95   95
TEMPERATURE        47   43   45   44   44   41   41   41   39   36   35   34   33   34   32   33   32
MIN/MAX TEMP                           41                  41                  32                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         10   12   20   21   20   17   21   27   29   32   27   25   28   31   25   27   35
WIND GUST (MPH)                                       44   48   51   44        47   50        44   62
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   50   50   80   80   80   80  100  100   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.12      0.22      0.22      0.47
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.1       0.0       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.2                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  8.2  8.5  8.5  8.3  8.3  8.9  8.9  8.6  8.4  8.5  8.7  9.0  8.9  8.5  8.7  8.7


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   BK   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5   15   15   30   65   50   70   90  100   90   90   90   95   95   90
TEMPERATURE        44   38   37   36   36   35   41   41   37   33   34   33   33   33   35   35   33
MIN/MAX TEMP                           34                  42                  33                  35
WIND DIR            E   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          8    9   14   14   14   12   16   20   21   24   20   19   21   23   18   20   26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5   50   50   80   80   80   80  100  100   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.12      0.20      0.23      0.50
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  8.2  8.4  8.4  8.2  8.3  9.0  8.9  8.5  8.4  8.5  8.7  9.0  8.8  8.6  8.7  8.8


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5   25   30   35   60   65   70   90  100   90   90   90   95   95   95
TEMPERATURE        46   43   44   44   44   41   40   40   38   36   35   34   33   34   31   32   32
MIN/MAX TEMP                           41                  41                  32                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         10   12   20   21   20   17   21   27   29   32   27   25   28   31   25   28   35
WIND GUST (MPH)                                       44   48   51   44        47   50             62
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   50   50   80   80   80   80  100  100   60
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.12      0.22      0.20      0.43
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.1       0.0       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.2                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  8.2  8.5  8.5  8.3  8.3  8.8  8.9  8.5  8.4  8.4  8.7  9.0  8.8  8.5  8.6  8.6


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5   10   10   25   50   55   70   90  100   90   90   85   95   95   90
TEMPERATURE        38   35   36   36   34   34   34   33   32   29   28   27   26   27   25   26   25
MIN/MAX TEMP                           34                  34                  25                  28
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         20   23   31   33   33   33   39   46   50   54   51   42   50   50   44   43   55
WIND GUST (MPH)    50   51   51   57   61   69   81   86   96  105  113   85  107  100   96   79   98
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5   10   60   60   80   80   80   80   90   90   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02      0.13      0.25      0.22      0.48
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.6       1.4       1.0       2.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.1                 2.0                 3.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.2  8.5  8.5  8.2  8.4  9.2  9.0  8.6  8.5  8.6  8.8  9.0  8.9  8.7  8.8  8.9


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   BK   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0   15   45   50   55   70   70   70   95   95   85   90   90   90   90   90
TEMPERATURE        45   42   43   43   42   41   41   41   39   38   36   36   35   34   33   34   33
MIN/MAX TEMP                           41                  41                  34                  36
WIND DIR            E   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          8   10   16   16   16   16   18   23   23   25   23   20   21   23   23   21   27
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   50   50   70   70   70   70   80   80   50
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.06      0.17      0.12      0.23
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.2  8.4  8.5  8.3  8.4  8.6  8.7  8.5  8.3  8.2  8.5  8.9  8.8  8.4  8.5  8.4


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5   15   30   55   65   60   70   95  100   95   85   90   95   95   90
TEMPERATURE        52   47   48   46   45   45   46   46   43   42   41   40   40   41   40   41   40
MIN/MAX TEMP                           44                  46                  39                  42
WIND DIR           NE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE
WIND (MPH)          3    5    8    8    6    6   11   13   13   12   12   10    8    9    9    9   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5   60   60   80   80   80   80  100  100   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.09      0.15      0.17      0.36
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.1  8.1  8.3  8.2  8.0  8.2  8.9  9.0  8.4  8.3  8.5  8.7  9.0  8.8  8.5  8.6  8.8


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   BK   BK   SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5   15   30   50   55   50   70   95  100   95   85   90   95   95   90
TEMPERATURE        49   44   44   44   43   43   43   43   41   39   38   38   37   38   36   36   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           41                  43                  37                  38
WIND DIR           NE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE    S
WIND (MPH)          6   10   14   14   14   12   16   21   21   24   20   18   21   23   20   20   25
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    5    5    5   60   60   80   80   70   70   90   90   70
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.09      0.14      0.12      0.29
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  8.0  8.2  8.1  7.9  8.2  9.2  9.0  8.4  8.3  8.6  8.7  8.9  8.7  8.7  8.8  9.2


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   20   10   10   30   55   65   90   95  100  100   95   80   85   80   85   95
TEMPERATURE        40   36   37   37   37   36   39   39   40   38   38   36   35   35   37   39   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           35                  41                  34                  40
WIND DIR            E    E   SE    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         12   14   14   17   20   19   19   25   25   26   26   25   21   20   23   20   24
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   10   20   40   40   90   90   90   90   40   40   60   60   80
PRECIP TYPE                                  R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02      0.15      0.09      0.01      0.09
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.7  6.8  7.8  7.7  7.6  8.1  9.6  9.1  8.4  8.0  7.5  7.4  7.4  7.6  7.9  8.4  8.6


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   15   10   15   30   55   60   90   95  100  100   90   80   85   80   85   95
TEMPERATURE        39   35   36   35   35   34   39   40   39   38   37   36   35   34   36   38   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           34                  41                  34                  39
WIND DIR            E    E    E    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          9   12   14   17   20   19   19   25   26   27   25   24   20   21   23   20   23
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   10   20   30   30   90   90   90   90   40   40   70   70   80
PRECIP TYPE                                  S    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.15      0.10      0.01      0.10
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.8  6.9  8.0  7.7  7.7  8.2  9.7  9.2  8.5  8.1  7.7  7.5  7.5  7.6  8.0  8.5  8.6


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    10   10   10    5   15   35   50   90   85  100  100   90   90   85   80   90   95
TEMPERATURE        45   40   39   39   38   36   43   46   46   43   43   42   41   40   40   43   41
MIN/MAX TEMP                           36                  48                  40                  44
WIND DIR           NE    E    E   SE    S    S    S   SW   SW    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S   SE
WIND (MPH)          9   11   11   10   10   10   12   16   18   23   19   13   12   12   13   13   13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   80   80   80   80   40   40   70   70   60
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.04      0.00      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.2  7.9  7.8  7.7  7.7  7.8  9.2  8.9  8.5  8.1  8.0  7.8  7.7  7.9  8.1  8.7  9.0


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   25   10   15   35   55   65   80   95  100  100   90   80   80   80   85   95
TEMPERATURE        41   38   39   41   40   39   40   40   39   38   38   37   36   36   38   40   39
MIN/MAX TEMP                           38                  41                  36                  41
WIND DIR            E    E   SE    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          9   16   16   17   20   17   21   25   25   26   27   26   21   20   24   21   25
WIND GUST (MPH)                                       43   44   43   44   43        37   51   43   42
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   20   30   50   60   90   90   90   90   30   30   60   60   70
PRECIP TYPE                             S    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.03      0.16      0.12      0.00      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.7  6.9  7.6  7.5  7.6  8.1  9.5  9.0  8.4  7.9  7.5  7.4  7.3  7.5  7.9  8.4  8.6


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   30   15   20   40   60   65   80   95  100  100   90   80   75   80   80   95
TEMPERATURE        41   38   38   40   40   39   39   39   39   38   38   37   36   36   39   41   40
MIN/MAX TEMP                           38                  40                  35                  42
WIND DIR            E    E   SE    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          9   16   16   17   20   17   23   25   24   27   27   28   24   19   20   19   26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    5   20   30   50   60   90   90   90   90   30   30   60   60   80
PRECIP TYPE                             S    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.04      0.20      0.14      0.00      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.4  7.6  7.4  7.5  8.2  9.6  9.1  8.3  7.8  7.3  7.2  7.2  7.4  7.8  8.3  8.4


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                                        MONDAY 11/03/25                         TUESDAY 11/04/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    10   10   10    5   20   60   65   80   90   95   90   80   90   80   80   90   90
TEMPERATURE        44   42   44   45   43   42   42   42   41   38   38   38   37   37   37   38   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           42                  42                  36                  40
WIND DIR            E   SE    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE
WIND (MPH)          9   12   13   14   14   13   18   23   25   28   24   20   17   23   28   26   25
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5   10   10   20   60   60   60   60   20   20   60   60   70
PRECIP TYPE                                            R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.10      0.04      0.01      0.12
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.4  7.9  7.9  7.8  7.8  9.5  9.5  9.1  8.5  8.1  8.1  7.9  8.0  8.1  8.2  8.7  9.4

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN