Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
509
FWUS46 KMFR 172221
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST MON NOV 17 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 50 55 30 20 25 10 15 20 20 25 25 20 30 25 40 75
TEMPERATURE 30 30 30 32 32 31 35 37 35 31 30 30 29 27 31 33 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 37 27 33
WIND DIR E E NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 10 10 10 5 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 4 5 5 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.6 7.5 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.1 5.8 6.3 6.5 6.5
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 45 55 35 30 25 10 20 20 20 25 25 25 30 30 40 75
TEMPERATURE 31 28 28 28 27 27 37 37 35 29 29 28 27 28 35 34 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 39 26 35
WIND DIR E NE NE NE N N N NW N N N NE E SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 4 8 6 4 5 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 6 6 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.9 7.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.7 6.2 5.9 6.3 6.5 6.5
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 55 55 30 20 25 10 15 20 20 25 25 20 30 30 45 75
TEMPERATURE 30 30 31 32 32 32 34 36 35 32 31 30 30 28 30 32 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 37 27 33
WIND DIR E NE NE NE N NE NE NE N N N NW N SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 9 11 10 10 5 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 6 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.5 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.1 5.9 6.3 6.5 6.5
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC FW FW SC FW SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 50 55 35 25 30 15 25 20 20 25 25 20 25 25 40 75
TEMPERATURE 22 22 22 23 23 23 27 28 25 23 22 22 22 22 25 25 22
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 29 22 25
WIND DIR E E E E NE NE NE N N N N NW W S S S S
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 9 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 5 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.6 7.4 7.0 6.8 6.5 5.9 5.7 6.3 6.5 6.5
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 55 45 35 35 10 20 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 35 65
TEMPERATURE 32 31 31 31 31 30 34 37 36 33 32 32 31 29 32 34 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 38 29 34
WIND DIR E NE N N N N NE N N N N NW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 5 6 5 3 3 4 6 9 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 5 5 5 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 7.0 7.5 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.2 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC BK FW FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 50 55 25 20 25 10 10 10 10 20 20 30 45 40 45 75
TEMPERATURE 37 36 36 36 36 36 40 44 42 37 37 36 35 34 38 39 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 45 33 40
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW SW S SE S S
WIND (MPH) 3 4 5 6 5 4 4 4 5 5 3 2 3 2 4 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.1 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.2 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.4
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC FW FW SC SC SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 65 45 35 50 30 20 20 25 30 20 25 35 30 40 70
TEMPERATURE 34 32 32 33 33 34 37 38 36 35 33 32 33 33 35 37 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 39 30 37
WIND DIR E NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW W S S SE S S
WIND (MPH) 4 5 6 6 5 4 3 5 5 5 4 3 4 5 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.1 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.5
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC SC SC FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 50 35 25 30 35 25 30 45 35 15 10 10 20 15 30 60
TEMPERATURE 35 33 33 31 31 30 35 37 35 30 29 29 28 27 35 38 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 37 27 39
WIND DIR SE E SE S N W W W N NE NE E E SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 5 2 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 5 6 8 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.8 6.5 5.9 5.5 5.4 5.1 5.1 5.8 6.4 6.5
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC FW SC SC FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 40 35 25 25 35 25 35 45 45 20 10 20 25 15 30 55
TEMPERATURE 34 32 31 30 30 29 34 37 35 31 29 28 27 26 33 37 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 37 26 37
WIND DIR SE E NE NW NW N SW W N N NE E E SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 4 3 2 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 5 8 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.6 7.0 6.8 6.3 5.6 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.7 6.4 6.5
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK FW SC SC SC SC BK BK SC FW FW SC FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 55 25 35 45 30 30 55 55 35 20 25 30 25 30 60
TEMPERATURE 38 35 34 34 33 31 34 38 37 33 31 30 29 28 36 42 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 39 28 42
WIND DIR NE NW NW NE N N NW W NW N NE NE NE E SE S S
WIND (MPH) 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 5 6 5 6 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 10 10 5 5 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.9 6.7 6.3 5.9 5.6 5.0 5.0 5.7 6.4 6.6
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 65 35 45 45 35 45 50 45 25 10 15 20 15 30 60
TEMPERATURE 34 34 34 33 32 31 33 34 33 31 30 30 30 28 35 39 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 35 28 40
WIND DIR N N N NW N NE NW NW N NE E E SE SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 4 3 3 4 3 4 6 6 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.2 5.7 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.9 5.7 6.4 6.5
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 65 35 50 45 35 45 45 35 15 5 10 20 10 30 60
TEMPERATURE 35 34 33 33 32 31 33 35 34 30 30 30 30 28 36 40 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 35 28 41
WIND DIR N N N W N NE NW NW N NE SE SE SE SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 6 6 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.0 5.5 5.1 5.0 4.8 4.8 5.7 6.4 6.4
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE TUESDAY 11/18/25 WEDNESDAY 11/19/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV SC BK BK BK BK BK BK SC FW SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 80 45 55 55 55 55 55 50 40 25 25 30 25 35 65
TEMPERATURE 33 33 33 34 34 34 35 35 33 32 32 33 33 31 35 38 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 36 30 38
WIND DIR N N N S N N N NW NW NW NE SE SE S S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 6 5 3 4 3 3 5 6 5 2 4 5 8 8 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 50
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 5.4 5.2 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.8 6.4 6.6
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN