Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
358
FWUS46 KMFR 152221
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST SAT NOV 15 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 55 65 85 85 90 85 85 100 100 95 95 90 90 80 75 65
TEMPERATURE 44 41 41 40 38 36 34 36 32 32 33 33 32 31 29 30 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 38 29 31
WIND DIR NE NE E S S S S S S S S S SE SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 10 9 6 6 9 10 10 9 9 12 14 14 12 9 6 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 30 70 60 70 70 100 100 100 100 70 70 60 60 20
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.61 1.06 0.79 0.84 0.93 0.44 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.2 4.6 5.8 7.2 3.8 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 6.8 13.0 4.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 10.0 10.0 9.8 8.8 8.0 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.4 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 50 60 85 85 90 80 85 95 95 95 95 90 90 80 75 65
TEMPERATURE 44 39 39 38 35 35 35 36 33 32 32 31 29 29 31 32 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 36 27 32
WIND DIR NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 8 8 8 9 10 9 9 12 14 13 13 6 5 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 30 60 60 60 70 100 100 90 90 70 70 50 50 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.48 0.94 0.56 0.61 0.75 0.37 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.3 2.4 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 5.7 2.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 10.0 10.0 9.8 8.8 7.9 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.4 5.7 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.5
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 55 60 85 85 95 85 90 100 100 95 95 90 90 80 75 65
TEMPERATURE 44 41 41 40 38 37 33 36 33 32 33 34 32 31 29 31 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 38 29 32
WIND DIR NE NE E SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S SE SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 10 9 6 6 9 10 10 9 8 11 12 12 10 8 6 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 30 70 60 70 70 100 100 100 100 80 80 60 60 20
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.57 1.07 0.74 0.81 0.88 0.41 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.9 4.9 6.2 3.3 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 5.9 11.1 3.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 10.0 10.0 9.8 8.8 7.9 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.4 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 55 65 80 85 90 80 85 95 95 95 95 90 90 80 75 70
TEMPERATURE 35 33 33 32 29 29 26 28 24 24 25 25 23 23 21 21 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 30 21 23
WIND DIR E E SE S S S S S S S S S S W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 9 10 10 13 16 16 13 13 17 20 19 17 10 8 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 20 60 60 70 70 100 100 90 90 70 70 60 60 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.39 0.80 0.55 0.75 1.09 0.45 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 1.3 5.5 4.9 6.7 10.6 4.7 0.7
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 10.4 17.3 5.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.9 10.0 9.8 8.9 8.1 7.4 7.2 7.0 7.0 6.8 6.5 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.5 5.5
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 50 55 75 85 90 80 85 100 100 95 95 90 85 80 75 70
TEMPERATURE 45 43 41 41 39 37 35 37 34 34 34 34 32 31 30 31 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 39 29 31
WIND DIR NE E SE S S S S S S S S S S SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 12 17 18 17 14 14 16 17 14 12 10 8 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 30 70 60 70 70 100 100 90 90 80 80 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R S R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.21 0.42 0.29 0.51 0.62 0.23 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.6 1.2 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 3.9 1.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.0 8.0 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.3 5.9 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 60 55 85 90 95 90 90 100 100 95 95 90 90 80 70 60
TEMPERATURE 51 48 48 46 43 43 41 42 39 39 40 39 37 37 36 37 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 44 35 37
WIND DIR NW W SE S S S S S S S S S SE SE S W NW
WIND (MPH) 4 3 5 6 11 11 11 10 9 10 11 9 6 4 4 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 30 60 60 60 70 100 100 100 100 80 80 60 60 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.23 0.68 0.47 0.88 1.15 0.38 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 10.0 10.0 9.8 9.1 8.0 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.3 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.4 5.4
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 55 55 75 80 90 80 85 100 100 95 95 90 90 80 70 65
TEMPERATURE 47 44 43 43 40 40 38 40 36 36 35 35 33 34 31 33 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 42 31 34
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SE S SW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 4 6 10 10 12 13 13 11 11 14 16 13 10 5 6 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 20 50 50 50 70 100 100 90 90 70 70 50 50 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.13 0.29 0.12 0.26 0.52 0.25 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.3 8.2 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.6 6.3 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.4
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 35 40 35 50 75 65 75 100 100 95 95 90 90 85 85 75
TEMPERATURE 46 40 40 39 37 37 38 39 36 35 35 34 32 31 30 31 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 40 30 32
WIND DIR E E SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW S S SW NW W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 11 12 9 8 10 11 10 10 9 10 10 8 6 8 8 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 30 10 10 40 100 100 90 90 80 80 80 80 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.10 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.6 9.3 9.5 9.4 8.5 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.3 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.4
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 40 45 40 55 80 65 80 100 100 95 95 90 90 85 85 70
TEMPERATURE 45 39 39 38 36 35 37 38 36 34 34 33 31 30 30 31 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 39 29 32
WIND DIR E E SE SE SW SW SW SW SW SW S S SW W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 9 9 8 6 9 11 10 9 9 9 9 6 8 6 8 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 30 20 10 40 100 100 90 90 80 80 80 80 50
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.08 0.15 0.19 0.12 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.7 9.4 9.5 9.4 8.5 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.4 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 25 50 45 55 80 80 85 100 100 95 95 90 90 80 80 80
TEMPERATURE 48 42 41 40 39 38 39 41 40 38 38 36 34 33 32 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 42 31 35
WIND DIR NE NE NE E S S SW S S S S S E W W W W
WIND (MPH) 8 8 8 5 6 10 9 9 9 10 11 6 4 6 8 6 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 20 30 20 20 30 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.12 0.08 0.11 0.11 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 9.3 9.7 9.8 9.3 8.5 7.9 7.3 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.3 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 35 45 35 55 70 60 80 100 100 95 95 90 90 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 46 42 41 41 40 38 38 39 36 36 36 35 33 31 30 31 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 40 29 32
WIND DIR E SE SE SE S SW SW SW S S S S S NW W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 9 9 6 8 9 9 9 8 9 10 8 6 6 6 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 20 20 10 40 100 100 100 100 90 90 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R S R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.13 0.21 0.16 0.14 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.7 9.3 9.5 9.4 8.4 7.7 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.7 6.2 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.3
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER CL SC SC SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 40 40 30 50 70 50 80 100 100 95 95 90 90 90 90 75
TEMPERATURE 46 42 41 41 40 38 39 40 37 36 36 35 33 31 30 31 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 41 29 31
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW S SW S SW SW NW W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 8 6 9 9 9 9 8 8 9 8 8 6 6 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 20 20 10 40 100 100 100 100 90 90 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.13 0.25 0.17 0.15 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.5 9.1 9.4 9.4 8.4 7.6 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.7 6.2 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.3
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 30 40 35 60 60 60 85 100 100 95 90 90 85 75 75 75
TEMPERATURE 46 43 43 43 41 40 40 40 37 36 36 35 33 32 30 30 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 42 29 32
WIND DIR SE SE S S S S S S S S S S W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 9 8 8 9 10 9 9 9 12 13 11 9 11 11 9 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 20 10 10 60 100 100 90 90 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.07 0.23 0.38 0.20 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.0 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 9.2 9.8 9.6 9.2 8.5 7.8 7.5 7.4 7.1 6.7 6.1 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.1
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN