Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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654
FWUS46 KMFR 221017
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
216 AM PST SAT NOV 22 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        CL   SC   FW   CL   FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   30    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   35   30   25   40   35   30   45   55
TEMPERATURE        34   34   40   43   40   36   37   38   38   36   39   39   35   30   30   30   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           44                  36                  40                  25
WIND DIR            N    N   NE    N    N    N    N   NW   NW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)          9   10    9    6    6    4    5   13   17   18   18   16   17   20   24   18   20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   10   10    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  6.4  6.9  7.5  7.4  7.1  7.1  6.8  6.5  6.2  6.2  6.9  6.8  6.3  5.9  5.4  4.8


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        CL   SC   FW   CL   FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   30    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   30   30   30   40   35   30   45   55
TEMPERATURE        26   27   40   44   39   32   31   31   29   29   39   41   35   29   28   27   25
MAX/MIN TEMP                           45                  27                  42                  23
WIND DIR           NE   NE   NE   NE   NE    N    N   NW   NW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W   NW    N
WIND (MPH)          6    6    6    4    4    3    5    9   10   10   13   11   12   16   18   14   16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  6.3  6.7  7.4  7.4  7.1  7.1  6.7  6.5  6.4  6.2  6.9  6.8  6.3  5.9  5.4  4.8


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        CL   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   25    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   35   30   25   40   35   30   45   55
TEMPERATURE        33   34   38   41   39   37   36   38   38   37   38   39   35   30   30   30   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  36                  40                  25
WIND DIR           NE    N   NE   NE    N    N    N   NW    W   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         10   10    9    6    6    4    4   10   13   16   18   16   17   20   24   18   20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   10   10    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  6.4  6.9  7.4  7.4  7.1  7.1  6.8  6.5  6.2  6.2  6.9  6.8  6.3  5.9  5.4  4.8


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        CL   SC   FW   CL   FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   30   10    5    5    5    5    5   20   30   30   30   45   40   35   50   60
TEMPERATURE        27   26   33   36   31   29   29   29   29   29   32   31   26   22   21   21   19
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  29                  32                  18
WIND DIR            N    N    N    N    N    N   NW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)         18   17   14   12   12    9   10   14   20   25   32   28   28   41   46   39   42
WIND GUST (MPH)    44   37   33   29                       37   55   69   64   58  102  105   93  105
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   10   10    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  6.5  7.0  7.6  7.4  7.1  7.1  6.9  6.6  6.2  6.1  6.8  6.8  6.3  5.9  5.4  4.8


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        CL   FW   FW   CL   FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   20   10    5    5    5    0    5   20   40   35   25   35   30   30   45   60
TEMPERATURE        31   31   37   42   39   35   34   36   35   35   38   40   35   31   29   29   27
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  34                  41                  25
WIND DIR           NE   NE   NE   NE   NE   NW   NW    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)          6    8    6    5    5    5    4    5    8    9   12   10   11   16   17   14   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   20   20   10   10    0
PRECIP TYPE                                                                     S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  6.1  6.6  7.0  7.0  6.9  6.8  6.6  6.4  6.1  6.5  6.9  6.8  6.2  5.8  5.3  4.7


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        CL   SC   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   30   10    5    5    5    0    5   15   30   30   25   30   30   25   40   50
TEMPERATURE        38   38   44   48   45   42   42   42   42   41   44   46   41   37   36   35   32
MAX/MIN TEMP                           49                  41                  47                  31
WIND DIR           SE    W   SE    E    W    W   SE    S    W    S    S   SW   NW    W   NW   NW    N
WIND (MPH)          4    3    2    2    3    3    4    2    1    4    4    4    3    4    4    6    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   10   10    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  6.3  6.4  6.7  7.0  6.9  6.9  6.8  6.6  6.3  6.2  6.9  6.8  6.4  6.0  5.4  4.9


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        CL   SC   FW   CL   FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   35   10    5    5    5    5    5   15   35   30   30   35   35   35   45   60
TEMPERATURE        34   36   42   46   44   40   39   40   40   41   43   43   39   34   32   30   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           47                  38                  43                  27
WIND DIR           NE   NE   NE    N    N    N    N    W    W   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)          8    8    6    5    5    4    3    6    9   10   12   11   10   13   17   13   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  6.2  6.5  7.0  7.1  6.9  6.9  6.7  6.6  6.3  6.1  6.8  6.8  6.4  5.9  5.4  4.8


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   20   10   10    5    5   10   20   50   60   55   70   85   85   75   70   60
TEMPERATURE        31   30   40   43   39   32   32   31   31   31   35   37   33   31   29   27   24
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  30                  38                  21
WIND DIR            E    E   SE    W    W    S    S    S   SW    S   SW    W   SW    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          9    8    5    5    5    6    8   10   13   16   20   14   18   21   18   21   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   50   50   80   80   40   40   20
PRECIP TYPE                                                           S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.08      0.10      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.5       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.9  5.9  6.6  7.1  7.1  6.8  6.6  6.2  6.1  5.7  5.7  6.1  6.1  5.7  4.9  4.2  3.7


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   20   15   10    5    5   10   20   50   65   50   65   75   75   70   65   60
TEMPERATURE        29   28   38   41   38   31   31   30   30   29   35   36   32   30   28   26   22
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  29                  37                  20
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE   SW   SW   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    W   SW    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          9    6    5    5    5    5    8   10   13   16   20   16   18   21   19   23   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   50   50   80   80   30   30   20
PRECIP TYPE                                                           S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.08      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.4       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.8  5.8  6.5  7.0  7.1  6.8  6.5  6.2  6.0  5.7  5.8  6.1  6.1  5.7  4.9  4.2  3.7


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   BK   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   20   15   10    5    5    5   15   35   55   40   60   75   85   85   70   70
TEMPERATURE        29   29   37   45   42   35   33   33   32   31   38   42   37   35   33   32   29
MAX/MIN TEMP                           47                  31                  43                  26
WIND DIR            E    E   SE    E   SE   SE    S   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)          6    6    5    5    4    6    5    4    6    6    8   10   10   11   11    9    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   30   30   70   70   30   30   10
PRECIP TYPE                                                           S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.07      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.9  5.7  6.3  6.8  6.9  6.7  6.7  6.5  6.2  5.9  5.9  6.3  6.3  6.0  5.3  4.6  4.0


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    25   20   10    5    5    5   10   20   50   60   50   75   85   90   85   75   70
TEMPERATURE        34   33   40   43   40   36   36   36   35   34   37   36   32   31   30   28   25
MAX/MIN TEMP                           44                  34                  37                  23
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    W    W    S    S   SW   SW    S   SW    W   SW    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          8    6    6    5    6    6    8   10   13   16   20   14   18   20   18   21   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   70   70   90   90   60   60   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                           S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.07      0.10      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.4       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.8  5.9  6.5  7.0  7.0  6.8  6.6  6.3  6.0  5.7  5.8  6.1  6.1  5.7  4.9  4.2  3.7


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    30   20   10    5   10    5   10   20   55   60   55   80   90   90   85   75   65
TEMPERATURE        34   33   40   43   40   35   35   35   35   34   36   36   32   31   29   28   25
MAX/MIN TEMP                           44                  34                  37                  22
WIND DIR           SE   SE    S    W    W    S    S    S   SW    S   SW    W   SW    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          8    6    6    5    6    6    8   11   14   17   21   14   18   21   18   21   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   70   70   90   90   60   60   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                           S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.09      0.11      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.6       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.7  5.9  6.6  7.1  7.1  6.8  6.6  6.2  5.9  5.6  5.7  6.0  6.0  5.5  4.7  4.0  3.5


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 11/22/25                       SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   25   15    5    5   10   10   10   35   45   45   60   70   85   85   80   80
TEMPERATURE        36   37   43   45   42   40   40   40   39   38   39   39   35   33   33   32   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           46                  38                  40                  29
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE   NW    W    N    S   SW   SW    S   SW    W    W    W   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)          9    6    6    4    5    5    6    8   11   13   18   12   13   17   18   18   16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   20   20   50   50   10   10    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                           S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  6.3  6.6  7.0  7.0  6.9  6.8  6.5  6.4  5.8  5.6  6.3  6.4  6.1  5.5  4.8  4.2

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN