Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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471
FWUS46 KMFR 061011
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
211 AM PST SAT DEC 6 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   20   15   15   25   20   30   40   55   60   55   60   30   20   15   15   25
TEMPERATURE        36   33   37   38   36   37   37   39   39   38   38   38   37   34   35   35   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  37                  38                  34
WIND DIR           NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W    W    W    W   NW    N    S    S   SW
WIND (MPH)         36   36   29   27   26   25   20   27   27   26   24   24   19   14   13   14   19
WIND GUST (MPH)    58   58   48
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  7.0  7.4  7.7  7.8  7.7  7.7  7.9  7.5  7.4  7.0  7.1  7.2  7.4  7.4  7.1  7.2


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   25   15   15   20   20   30   40   65   65   60   60   30   20   10   10   30
TEMPERATURE        32   29   38   38   35   33   33   34   34   34   40   40   36   31   32   32   32
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  33                  40                  30
WIND DIR           NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W    W    W   NW    W   NW    N    E   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)         28   27   23   21   20   18   14   20   20   19   18   18   14   11   10   11   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.1  6.6  7.2  7.4  7.7  7.6  7.6  7.9  7.5  7.4  7.0  7.1  7.1  7.4  7.5  7.1  7.2


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    20   25   15   15   25   20   30   35   55   60   55   55   30   20   15   15   25
TEMPERATURE        36   33   36   37   36   37   37   39   40   38   38   38   36   34   34   35   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  37                  38                  34
WIND DIR           NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W    W    W    W   NW    N    S    S    N
WIND (MPH)         36   36   29   27   26   24   20   27   27   26   24   24   19   14   13   14   19
WIND GUST (MPH)    58   58   48
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  7.1  7.5  7.7  7.8  7.7  7.6  7.9  7.5  7.4  7.0  7.1  7.2  7.4  7.4  7.1  7.2


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   25   20   20   25   25   35   40   60   65   60   60   30   20   15   15   30
TEMPERATURE        25   24   27   28   27   28   29   28   29   28   29   30   28   27   27   27   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           28                  28                  30                  27
WIND DIR           NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W    W    W    W   NW   NW    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         60   60   54   51   48   46   41   44   46   46   42   40   35   31   29   26   33
WIND GUST (MPH)   115  115  112  112  105  100   95   82   86   93   86   78   78   72   72   54   64
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  6.9  7.4  7.6  7.8  7.7  7.7  7.9  7.5  7.4  7.0  7.0  7.2  7.4  7.4  7.1  7.1


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    30   25   25   20   25   15   25   35   45   50   50   45   25   15   15   15   25
TEMPERATURE        33   32   35   37   36   37   37   37   37   37   38   39   37   35   34   34   35
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  37                  39                  34
WIND DIR           NW   NW    W    W    W    W    W   SW    W    W    W    W   NW   NE   SE   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         28   28   23   20   19   18   16   21   21   20   19   18   14   11   11   11   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  6.0  6.7  7.1  7.3  7.2  7.2  7.6  7.3  7.1  6.8  7.1  7.2  7.2  7.2  6.9  6.9


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    30   35   20   15   20   10   25   45   60   65   60   65   20   15   15   15   25
TEMPERATURE        39   38   41   44   42   43   43   43   43   43   43   45   43   40   40   41   40
MAX/MIN TEMP                           45                  43                  45                  39
WIND DIR           NW   NW    N    N   NW    W    W    W    W    W    N    N    W    W   NW    W   NW
WIND (MPH)          5    5    6    6    5    6    4    3    4    3    1    1    3    3    3    2    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  6.4  7.0  7.4  7.6  7.5  7.7  7.9  7.6  7.4  7.0  7.2  7.3  7.3  7.3  7.2  7.2


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   20   15   15   25   15   30   45   60   65   60   60   25   15   15   15   25
TEMPERATURE        36   35   38   40   39   40   40   41   42   42   42   42   40   37   37   38   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           41                  40                  42                  36
WIND DIR           NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   SW    W    W    W    W   NW   NW    N   SE   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         24   23   20   19   18   16   13   17   17   16   14   14   12   10    9   10   13
WIND GUST (MPH)    43   41
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.1  6.1  6.8  7.3  7.4  7.4  7.7  7.8  7.6  7.4  7.0  7.2  7.3  7.3  7.4  7.2  7.2


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   50   50   60   65   60   65   70   80   90   85   85   80   80   85   75   80
TEMPERATURE        31   29   29   31   31   31   31   32   34   34   34   34   34   34   35   35   35
MAX/MIN TEMP                           31                  31                  34                  34
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW    S
WIND (MPH)         29   26   25   23   19   14   16   21   19   20   20   19   16   18   16   17   18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   20   20   20   10   10   40   40   50   50   60   60  100  100   30   30   30
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.02      0.00      0.06      0.06      0.22      0.05      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.1       0.0       0.4       0.3       0.5       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.2                 0.4                 0.8                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.8  5.6  5.7  6.0  6.0  5.7  5.7  6.2  6.7  6.7  6.6  6.7  6.9  7.0  7.2  6.9  7.0


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   40   35   50   60   60   65   65   80   85   80   80   75   75   75   75   80
TEMPERATURE        30   28   29   31   30   30   30   31   33   33   34   34   34   34   35   34   35
MAX/MIN TEMP                           31                  30                  34                  34
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW    S
WIND (MPH)         31   26   25   24   19   14   16   21   20   20   20   19   16   17   14   17   18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   10   10   10   10   30   30   40   40   50   50   90   90   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                   S    S              S    S    S    S    R    R    S    S    R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.01      0.00      0.04      0.04      0.12      0.04      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.1       0.0       0.2       0.2       0.3       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.1                 0.2                 0.5                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.8  5.6  5.8  6.0  6.0  5.8  5.7  6.2  6.7  6.8  6.6  6.8  6.9  7.0  7.2  6.9  7.0


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   25   25   45   45   45   55   65   65   65   70   80   70   60   65   65   50
TEMPERATURE        35   32   33   36   36   36   36   37   38   36   38   39   38   37   37   36   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  36                  39                  34
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W   SW    S    S   SW    W    W    W   SW   SW    S   SE   SW
WIND (MPH)         11   12   12   11    4    2    3    5    5    8   11   10    8    4    4    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   10   10   10   10   10   10   20   20   20   20   30   30   10   10   10
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.03      0.02      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.1  5.9  6.0  6.1  6.0  5.8  6.1  6.8  7.1  6.9  6.8  6.9  7.0  7.3  7.3  6.9  6.9


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   45   40   45   50   50   60   70   80   85   85   85   80   75   80   70   70
TEMPERATURE        31   30   30   31   31   32   32   33   34   35   34   35   35   36   37   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           32                  32                  36                  36
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S
WIND (MPH)         27   26   25   23   18   14   16   20   19   21   20   19   18   18   16   17   18
WIND GUST (MPH)    51   50   44   43             33        37   40   37
PRECIP PROB (%)    30   30   30   30   20   20   60   60   60   60   80   80  100  100   40   40   30
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.01      0.01      0.01      0.05      0.05      0.13      0.05      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.1       0.1       0.3       0.2       0.3       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.2                 0.4                 0.5                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.8  5.6  5.7  5.9  5.8  5.7  5.7  6.3  6.8  6.7  6.6  6.8  7.0  7.2  7.2  6.9  7.1


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    80   55   45   50   55   55   60   75   85   90   90   85   80   85   85   75   85
TEMPERATURE        31   30   30   31   31   31   31   33   34   35   33   34   34   36   37   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           31                  31                  36                  36
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S
WIND (MPH)         27   25   25   21   18   14   14   21   19   21   20   20   19   19   17   18   19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    30   30   30   30   20   20   60   60   60   60   80   80  100  100   40   40   30
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.02      0.01      0.07      0.08      0.17      0.07      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.1       0.1       0.4       0.3       0.4       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.2                 0.5                 0.7                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.7  5.5  5.6  5.9  5.8  5.6  5.6  6.1  6.6  6.6  6.5  6.7  6.9  7.1  7.2  6.9  7.1


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    SATURDAY 12/06/25                       SUNDAY 12/07/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   25   30   35   35   40   45   40   70   85   80   65   55   50   35   35   55
TEMPERATURE        34   33   35   35   35   36   36   37   37   37   37   37   37   37   37   39   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           36                  36                  37                  37
WIND DIR            W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SE    S   SW
WIND (MPH)         26   26   26   20   20   19   18   23   23   20   18   17   14   11   12   13   18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   10   10   20   20   10   10   10
PRECIP TYPE                                                                     R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.8  5.7  6.0  6.3  6.7  6.6  6.8  7.7  7.4  7.2  6.9  7.1  7.1  7.5  7.4  7.1  7.3

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN