Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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783
FWUS46 KMFR 131326
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
526 AM PST THU NOV 13 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)        100  100   95   95   95   95   90   65   60   60   50   45   35   20   20   15
TEMPERATURE             38   38   39   36   34   33   34   32   31   32   33   33   31   32   34   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  30                  34                  31
WIND DIR                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    S    S    S   SE    E    E
WIND (MPH)              33   29   32   41   27   20   31   17   19   14   11    8    5    4    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)         50             67   44        49
PRECIP PROB (%)        100  100   90   90   80   60   30   30   30   20   20    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.42      1.82      0.67      0.11      0.05      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.1       3.6       1.0       0.4       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.1                 4.6                 0.4                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.3  9.5  9.0  8.2  7.5  6.9  6.6  6.4  6.2  6.4  6.9  6.6  6.6  6.9  7.7  7.8


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)        100  100   90   95   90   90   85   65   60   60   45   40   30   15   15   15
TEMPERATURE             39   40   40   37   33   32   33   32   31   34   35   33   28   29   30   29
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  30                  36                  27
WIND DIR                SE   SE   SE    S    S   SE    S   SE   SE   SE    S    S    S    E   NE   NE
WIND (MPH)              34   31   32   31   21   19   23   12   14   10    9    5    3    3    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)         51
PRECIP PROB (%)        100  100   90   90   80   60   30   30   30   20   20    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.26      1.49      0.52      0.09      0.04      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.3       0.5       0.3       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.8                 0.3                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.3  9.5  9.0  8.1  7.4  6.9  6.6  6.4  6.2  6.4  6.9  6.6  6.7  6.9  7.7  7.8


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)        100  100   95   95   95   95   90   70   65   60   55   45   35   20   20   15
TEMPERATURE             38   38   39   37   34   34   34   33   31   31   33   33   31   32   34   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  29                  34                  31
WIND DIR                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    S    S    S   SE    E    E
WIND (MPH)              29   27   31   42   27   20   31   16   19   14   11    8    5    4    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)         48   44   48   67   44        49
PRECIP PROB (%)        100  100   90   90   80   60   30   30   30   20   20    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.38      1.72      0.65      0.12      0.05      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.1       2.8       0.8       0.4       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.1                 3.6                 0.4                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.3  9.5  9.0  8.2  7.4  6.9  6.6  6.4  6.2  6.4  6.9  6.6  6.7  6.9  7.7  7.8


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)        100  100   95   95   95   85   80   60   55   60   50   45   30   20   20   15
TEMPERATURE             31   31   32   28   26   25   25   23   24   24   25   24   23   24   25   25
MAX/MIN TEMP                           32                  22                  26                  23
WIND DIR                 S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)              48   44   44   74   54   47   55   21   37   32   20   12   11   13   11    8
WIND GUST (MPH)         82   75   75  115  115  115  115        89   85   46        32   39
PRECIP PROB (%)        100  100   90   90   80   50   30   30   30   20   20    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE              S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 2.15      2.20      0.74      0.09      0.06      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                12.8      12.8       7.3       1.0       0.6       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                         25.6                 8.3                 0.6                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.4  9.5  9.1  8.3  7.5  6.9  6.7  6.4  6.3  6.4  6.9  6.5  6.6  6.8  7.7  7.8


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)        100  100   95   95   95   85   85   85   80   60   50   40   30   15   15   20
TEMPERATURE             39   39   40   38   36   35   35   34   32   32   34   34   32   32   33   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           41                  32                  34                  32
WIND DIR                 S    S    S   SE    S   SE    S    S   SE    S    S    S   SW    S   NE   NE
WIND (MPH)              35   31   29   33   25   20   26   19   17   14    9    6    4    4    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)         57   48   47   50
PRECIP PROB (%)        100  100   90   90   70   50   20   30   30   20   20    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.96      1.36      0.62      0.08      0.02      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.2       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.2                 0.1                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.3  9.6  9.1  8.2  7.4  6.9  6.7  6.3  6.1  6.5  7.0  6.8  6.7  6.9  7.6  7.7


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)        100  100   95   95   95   95   95   85   75   60   50   40   20   15   15   20
TEMPERATURE             45   45   47   43   41   41   40   40   39   39   40   40   37   38   38   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           47                  37                  42                  37
WIND DIR                SE    S   SE   SE    S    S   SE    S    S    S    S    S    N    N    N    N
WIND (MPH)              23   21   24   14   12   11    6    8    4    5    3    3    2    3    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)        100  100   90   90   80   60   40   30   30   20   20    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 1.87      1.70      0.51      0.15      0.05      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.3  9.4  8.9  8.0  7.3  6.8  6.6  6.3  6.2  6.3  6.7  6.8  6.7  6.9  7.7  7.8


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)        100  100   90   95   85   85   85   75   70   60   45   35   25   15   20   20
TEMPERATURE             41   42   42   39   37   36   36   36   36   35   36   37   34   34   34   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  33                  38                  33
WIND DIR                 S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE    S   SE    S    S    S    S    E   NE    N
WIND (MPH)              36   34   33   23   18   18   18   13   12   10    9    6    4    3    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)         57   54   50
PRECIP PROB (%)        100  100   90   90   80   50   30   30   30   20   20    5    5    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.05      0.98      0.38      0.13      0.04      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.2       0.3       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.5                 0.1                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.3  9.4  8.9  8.2  7.4  6.8  6.6  6.4  6.2  6.3  6.8  6.9  6.7  6.9  7.7  7.7


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)         75   75   90   90   90   70   60   60   60   65   65   40   45   45   30   45
TEMPERATURE             40   41   43   41   39   37   36   34   32   36   38   36   34   33   32   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  32                  38                  31
WIND DIR                SE   SE   SE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    W    W    W   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)              29   29   26   19   16   16   12   11   11   10    5    4    5    4    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)         47   47
PRECIP PROB (%)         50   60   80   90   50   30   10   40   40   50   50   20   20   10   10   10
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    R    S         S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.03      0.12      0.16      0.01      0.02      0.02      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.6  9.5  9.3  8.6  8.0  7.5  6.9  6.5  6.1  6.5  6.9  6.9  7.0  7.1  7.9  8.0


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)         85   75   90   95   95   80   70   60   60   65   65   45   40   40   30   45
TEMPERATURE             39   40   41   40   38   36   35   33   31   34   37   36   32   32   31   32
MAX/MIN TEMP                           41                  30                  38                  30
WIND DIR                SE   SE    S   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    W    W    W    N   SE
WIND (MPH)              26   27   25   20   16   14   12   11   11    9    5    4    4    4    4    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)         50   60   80   90   50   30   10   40   40   40   40   10   10    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    R    S         S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.07      0.20      0.19      0.02      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.5  9.4  9.3  8.7  8.0  7.5  7.0  6.5  6.2  6.5  6.9  7.0  7.0  7.1  7.8  7.9


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)         90   85   80   90   80   60   45   55   55   60   60   45   30   30   20   30
TEMPERATURE             46   45   47   45   41   40   38   36   33   37   42   41   36   35   33   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           47                  33                  43                  31
WIND DIR                SE   SE   SE   SW    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SW   SW    W    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)              21   21   19   13   11    8    9   10    6    6    3    4    2    2    3    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)         60   80   70   80   50   30   20   30   30   40   40   10   10    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.03      0.20      0.11      0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.5  9.5  9.2  8.5  7.8  7.2  6.7  6.4  6.2  6.5  6.8  7.0  7.1  7.2  7.7  7.9


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)         80   75   85   90   80   70   50   65   65   65   65   45   45   40   25   40
TEMPERATURE             42   43   44   42   40   38   37   35   33   36   38   37   35   34   34   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           44                  33                  38                  33
WIND DIR                SE   SE   SE   SE    S    S    S    S   SW    S   SW    W    W   SW   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)              25   25   23   19   14   14   13   11   10   11    5    5    5    5    5    4
WIND GUST (MPH)         43             40
PRECIP PROB (%)         50   50   90   90   50   40   20   50   50   50   50   30   30   20   20   10
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.12      0.18      0.02      0.03      0.01      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.6  9.5  9.2  8.6  8.0  7.4  6.8  6.4  6.1  6.4  6.9  7.0  7.1  7.2  7.9  8.0


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)         80   75   90   90   85   75   50   65   65   65   65   50   50   40   30   45
TEMPERATURE             43   43   44   42   40   38   37   35   33   36   38   37   35   33   34   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           44                  33                  38                  33
WIND DIR                 S    S    S   SE    S    S    S    S   SW    S    W    W    W   SW   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)              26   26   25   17   14   16   12   11    9   11    5    5    6    5    5    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)         50   50   90   90   50   40   20   50   50   50   50   30   30   20   20   10
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.01      0.11      0.22      0.02      0.03      0.01      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.6  9.5  9.2  8.7  8.1  7.4  6.9  6.4  6.1  6.4  6.8  6.9  7.1  7.2  7.9  8.1


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 11/13/25                       FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER             OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)         75   70   80   85   70   60   40   55   55   35   35   30   35   35   20   30
TEMPERATURE             41   41   42   40   38   37   36   35   34   36   38   38   35   35   35   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           42                  34                  39                  35
WIND DIR                 S    S    S   SE    E   SE   SE    S   SE    S    S    S   NE    E    E   SE
WIND (MPH)              39   34   28   24   17   19   14   16   12   10    6    3    2    4    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)         58   51
PRECIP PROB (%)         50   50   70   80   30   20   20   30   30   20   20   10   10    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE              R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.20      0.42      0.21      0.03      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)       9.5  9.4  8.8  8.3  7.3  6.7  6.4  6.2  6.2  6.3  6.7  6.9  7.1  7.2  7.8  7.9

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN