Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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597
FWUS46 KMFR 161101
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT THU OCT 16 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    20    5    0    5   25   65   40   40   30   25   15   10   10   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        35   34   44   46   46   41   41   42   42   42   49   51   50   42   42   42   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           48                  40                  52                  40
WIND DIR            N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N   NW   NW    N    N    N   NE
WIND (MPH)         16   18   19   18   18   16   14   12   11   11    9   11   11    9    5    8    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.9  7.4  8.0  8.1  8.0  8.1  8.1  8.8  9.3  9.4  9.5  9.2  9.6  9.7  9.4  9.5


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    20    5    0    5   25   60   35   40   30   25   10   10   10    5    5    0    5
TEMPERATURE        29   29   43   47   46   36   35   35   35   36   50   53   51   39   37   36   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           49                  33                  54                  35
WIND DIR            N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N   NW   NW    N    N   NE   NE
WIND (MPH)         12   13   14   13   13   12   11    9    8    8    6    9    8    6    5    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.9  7.4  8.1  8.2  8.1  8.1  8.2  8.8  9.4  9.4  9.3  9.1  9.6  9.7  9.4  9.5


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    25    5    0    5   25   65   40   45   30   25   15   10   10   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        35   34   41   45   46   40   41   42   42   42   47   51   50   42   41   42   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           48                  40                  52                  40
WIND DIR            N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N   NW   NW    N    N    N    N
WIND (MPH)         16   18   19   18   18   16   14   12   11   11    9   11   11    9    5    8    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.9  7.4  8.0  8.1  8.0  8.0  8.1  8.7  9.3  9.4  9.5  9.2  9.6  9.6  9.4  9.4


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    15    5    0    5   25   65   40   45   30   25   15   10   10    5    5    0    5
TEMPERATURE        29   29   37   38   37   33   32   33   34   34   41   42   40   33   32   32   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  32                  42                  31
WIND DIR            N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N   NW    N   NW   NW   NW    N    N
WIND (MPH)         32   32   32   29   28   25   23   21   18   18   17   19   19   16   10   10   13
WIND GUST (MPH)    71   64   61   55   50   47   40   43             34   40   40   34
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.0  6.9  7.4  8.0  8.1  8.0  8.0  8.2  8.9  9.3  9.4  9.4  9.2  9.7  9.6  9.4  9.5


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    20    5    0    5   20   60   30   45   40   25   20   10    5   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        33   33   40   46   46   41   40   40   40   40   48   54   52   44   42   41   40
MAX/MIN TEMP                           48                  40                  54                  40
WIND DIR           NW    N    N    N    N   NW   NW    N    N    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NE
WIND (MPH)          9    9    8    8    8    8    9   10   10    9    5    5    5    6    6    6    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.2  6.7  7.2  7.6  7.9  7.9  7.8  8.6  9.2  9.3  9.1  8.9  9.5  9.6  9.3  9.3


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    15    5    0    5   15   50   25   35   30   15   10   10   10    5    5    0    5
TEMPERATURE        39   40   48   54   54   46   46   46   46   46   55   60   58   49   48   46   47
MAX/MIN TEMP                           56                  45                  61                  45
WIND DIR           NW    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N   NW   NW    N    N    N
WIND (MPH)          4    4    3    3    4    6    6    6    6    5    3    2    2    5    5    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.8  6.6  6.8  7.6  7.9  8.1  8.0  8.1  8.7  9.5  9.4  9.1  9.3  9.9  9.8  9.5  9.6


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   10    0    5   15   65   35   40   30   30   15   15   10    5    5    0    5
TEMPERATURE        35   38   43   48   48   42   42   41   41   44   50   53   52   44   42   42   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           49                  39                  54                  39
WIND DIR           NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   SE
WIND (MPH)          5    4    5    4    3    4    5    6    6    5    4    4    3    3    4    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.7  6.5  6.8  7.5  7.8  8.1  8.0  8.1  9.0  9.5  9.3  9.0  9.2  9.8  9.8  9.6  9.6


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   SC   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   CL   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   10    0    5   45   40   60   40   45   50   20    5    5   15   10    5    5
TEMPERATURE        32   32   45   49   49   41   40   40   39   39   48   50   49   40   39   39   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           51                  37                  51                  36
WIND DIR            N    N    N   NW   NW   NW    N    N   NW    W    W    W    W    W    W   SW    S
WIND (MPH)          3    3    3    4    3    2    3    4    4    4    4    5    5    2    3    3    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.9  6.0  7.0  8.0  8.1  7.9  8.4  9.0  9.0  8.8  8.2  8.5  8.5  8.4  8.4  8.6  8.6


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   SC   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   CL   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   10    0    5   40   50   60   45   45   40   20    5    5   15    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        31   30   43   49   49   41   39   40   38   38   47   49   49   40   37   37   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           51                  37                  51                  35
WIND DIR            N    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    S
WIND (MPH)          4    3    3    4    3    3    4    5    5    4    3    5    5    2    2    3    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.9  6.0  7.0  8.1  8.3  8.0  8.2  9.0  9.1  8.8  8.3  8.5  8.6  8.7  8.5  8.6  8.6


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    10    5    5    5   20   45   40   40   35   35   15    5    5    5    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        32   30   43   50   50   42   39   38   38   37   48   53   52   42   40   39   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           52                  36                  54                  36
WIND DIR            N    N   NW    W    W   NW    N   NE    N   NW    W    W    W   NW   NW    E    E
WIND (MPH)          2    2    2    3    2    2    3    3    3    3    2    4    3    2    2    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.1  5.9  6.7  7.8  8.4  8.1  8.0  8.7  9.0  9.1  8.4  8.5  9.0  8.7  9.2  9.1  9.0


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   FW   SC   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   CL   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    10   10    0    5   35   50   50   50   45   45   25    5    5   15    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        33   32   42   47   46   40   40   40   40   39   46   48   47   39   38   39   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           48                  39                  49                  37
WIND DIR            N    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NE    E   NW   SW    W    W    W    W    S   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)          3    2    2    3    3    3    4    4    4    4    3    4    4    3    3    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.9  5.9  6.8  7.8  8.0  7.9  8.5  8.9  8.9  8.7  8.2  8.3  8.5  8.4  8.5  8.7  8.7


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   FW   SC   BK   BK   BK   SC   BK   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   CL   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    10   10    0   10   40   50   55   50   45   55   30    5    5   15   10    0   10
TEMPERATURE        32   31   43   48   47   40   39   40   39   39   46   48   47   39   37   38   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           49                  38                  49                  37
WIND DIR            N    N    N   NW   NW   NW    E   SE    W   SW    W    W    W    W    S    S   SE
WIND (MPH)          3    2    2    3    3    2    3    4    4    4    3    4    4    2    3    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.8  5.9  6.8  7.7  7.9  7.8  8.7  9.0  8.8  8.5  8.1  8.2  8.2  8.2  8.2  8.5  8.5


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    THURSDAY 10/16/25                       FRIDAY 10/17/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   FW   CL   CL   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    15   10    5    5   40   45   50   40   35   30   15   10    5   10   10    5    5
TEMPERATURE        37   35   42   46   45   41   41   42   42   41   47   49   47   40   40   41   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           47                  40                  49                  40
WIND DIR            N    N    N   NW    N   NW   NW    W    W   SW   SW   NW   NW   NW    W    S    S
WIND (MPH)          4    3    2    3    4    3    4    5    5    5    2    3    4    3    4    6    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  6.2  6.8  7.6  7.9  8.1  8.1  8.8  9.3  9.3  8.4  8.3  9.4  9.6  9.6  9.4  9.4

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN