Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
180
FWUS46 KMFR 132221
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST THU NOV 13 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 90 85 80 75 35 35 40 25 15 25 25 20 10 25 40
TEMPERATURE 36 33 32 32 33 30 31 33 32 30 30 33 33 33 39 43 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 35 30 44
WIND DIR S S S S S SE SE S S SW S N N N N N NW
WIND (MPH) 17 18 20 18 16 12 9 5 3 3 5 5 6 6 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 80 50 30 20 5 0 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.62 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.5 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.2 6.5 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.9 6.3 6.4 6.0 6.0 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.8 8.5 8.7
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 85 75 65 35 35 30 15 15 20 25 20 15 25 40
TEMPERATURE 37 33 32 31 31 31 33 34 32 27 29 30 29 29 41 44 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 36 27 45
WIND DIR S SE SE SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE E NE N N N N
WIND (MPH) 13 14 16 13 11 10 8 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 80 50 30 20 5 5 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.49 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.2 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.2 6.3 6.0 6.0 6.3 6.5 7.0 7.8 8.5 8.7
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 80 80 35 40 40 25 15 25 25 20 15 30 40
TEMPERATURE 36 34 33 33 33 31 30 32 32 29 31 33 33 34 38 42 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 35 29 44
WIND DIR S S S S S SE SE S S W NW N N N N N NW
WIND (MPH) 17 18 20 18 16 12 9 5 3 3 5 5 8 8 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 80 60 30 20 5 0 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.59 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.2 6.5 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.9 6.3 6.4 6.0 6.0 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.8 8.5 8.7
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 80 75 60 30 30 35 20 15 25 25 20 10 30 35
TEMPERATURE 27 25 23 24 23 22 24 24 24 20 22 24 24 25 31 33 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 26 20 33
WIND DIR S S S S S SE SE S SE SW S W W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 21 23 25 23 19 17 12 9 4 5 8 8 9 9 6 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 80 50 30 20 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.68 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 6.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 7.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.3 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.9 6.0 6.4 6.4 6.0 6.0 6.3 6.5 6.9 7.8 8.5 8.7
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC FW SC SC FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 85 85 80 55 35 40 35 15 25 35 25 15 25 35
TEMPERATURE 37 35 33 33 32 31 31 33 33 31 31 32 33 33 38 43 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 35 31 44
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W N N NE NE N
WIND (MPH) 18 21 24 21 18 14 10 8 4 4 5 5 6 8 5 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 80 50 20 20 10 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.59 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.2 6.5 6.2 5.9 5.8 5.9 6.3 6.4 6.1 6.0 6.5 6.6 6.8 7.8 8.5 8.7
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 90 90 65 50 30 20 15 20 25 20 15 25 40
TEMPERATURE 42 40 40 39 39 39 38 39 39 35 36 37 37 38 45 49 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 41 35 51
WIND DIR S S S S S SE S S S W N N N N NE NE N
WIND (MPH) 12 13 12 11 8 6 5 3 2 2 4 4 4 4 3 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 80 60 40 30 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.68 0.18 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.0 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.8 6.1 6.2 5.9 5.9 6.2 6.5 7.0 7.6 8.4 8.6
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 80 85 75 75 50 35 25 20 15 20 25 25 15 25 40
TEMPERATURE 39 37 35 35 35 35 34 36 35 32 33 34 34 36 41 45 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 37 32 45
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S NW N N N NW
WIND (MPH) 12 14 18 16 12 10 8 5 3 3 4 5 5 4 4 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 80 50 30 20 10 5 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.41 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.0 6.5 6.1 6.0 5.8 5.9 6.3 6.2 5.9 5.8 6.2 6.4 6.7 7.5 8.4 8.6
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK SC BK SC SC SC SC SC FW SC BK SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 70 65 45 55 30 35 35 30 30 25 40 55 45 25 35
TEMPERATURE 41 38 37 35 34 32 35 38 37 33 33 33 33 33 39 44 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 39 32 45
WIND DIR S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW S SW SE SE SW W
WIND (MPH) 9 9 11 10 8 6 6 5 3 2 3 4 4 4 3 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 30 20 20 20 30 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.6 6.2 5.9 6.2 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.4 7.1 7.0 7.4 8.4 8.5
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC FW SC BK SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 80 75 55 55 35 35 35 30 25 25 40 60 40 25 30
TEMPERATURE 40 38 35 34 33 31 33 37 37 33 32 31 32 31 38 43 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 38 30 44
WIND DIR S S S S S S S SW SW W SW SW SW S SE S NW
WIND (MPH) 10 10 11 10 9 8 6 5 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 30 20 20 20 30 20 20 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 7.8 7.1 6.6 6.2 5.9 6.1 6.7 6.8 6.5 6.4 6.4 7.0 6.9 7.3 8.3 8.4
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 60 65 50 50 40 35 15 10 20 15 25 50 20 25 30
TEMPERATURE 45 41 39 38 36 34 37 42 41 36 34 34 33 33 40 46 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 43 32 48
WIND DIR S S S S S SE SE S SW S SE E E E E NE N
WIND (MPH) 8 9 10 10 9 8 6 4 2 2 3 4 5 4 3 2 1
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 10 20 20 20 20 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S R
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 7.4 6.8 6.3 6.0 5.8 6.1 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.6 6.6 7.3 8.2 8.4
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC FW SC BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 55 55 50 55 50 45 35 35 25 20 40 55 35 25 35
TEMPERATURE 42 40 37 36 35 33 36 39 38 34 34 34 34 34 39 44 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 39 33 44
WIND DIR S S S S S S S SW SW SW S S SE SE SE W NW
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 10 9 8 6 4 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 30 30 30 30 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 20 20 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.6 7.0 6.5 6.1 5.9 6.1 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.4 7.0 7.0 7.4 8.4 8.4
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC FW SC BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 55 55 55 55 55 50 45 45 30 25 50 55 40 30 35
TEMPERATURE 42 40 38 36 35 34 36 39 38 35 34 34 34 34 40 44 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 40 34 45
WIND DIR S S S S SW S S SW SW SW S S S SE SE W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 10 9 9 6 5 4 3 2 4 5 5 4 2 2 1
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 30 30 30 30 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 20 20 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.5 6.2 5.9 6.1 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.4 7.1 7.1 7.6 8.5 8.4
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 11/14/25 SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 60 55 40 50 35 20 10 10 20 20 15 30 50 20 25 30
TEMPERATURE 40 37 36 35 34 34 36 39 37 34 34 35 36 36 39 43 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 39 34 43
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SW S S S SE SE NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 13 18 17 13 13 10 4 3 3 5 6 6 6 3 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 20 20 10 20 10 10 10 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.1 6.4 6.1 6.0 5.8 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.8 6.7 7.0 8.2 8.3
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN