Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
047
FWUS46 KMFR 161011
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
211 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 90 95 95 100 100 95 95 85 75 75 70 70 60 55
TEMPERATURE 38 35 35 36 33 32 33 32 31 30 28 30 29 28 29 30 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 28 31 28
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S SE S SW N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 6 10 16 19 24 25 37 32 19 8 5 5 6 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 61 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 60 80 80 100 100 100 80 80 60 60 30 30 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.77 0.65 0.78 0.99 0.54 0.08 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.9 5.4 7.4 4.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.3 12.8 4.8 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 8.6 7.9 7.5 7.3 7.2 6.8 6.4 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.9
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 90 95 95 100 100 95 95 85 80 75 65 65 60 60
TEMPERATURE 35 35 36 37 33 32 32 30 29 29 31 31 29 27 27 27 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 27 31 24
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 6 10 11 14 18 19 29 24 14 6 4 5 5 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 60 80 80 90 100 100 80 80 60 60 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.69 0.47 0.59 0.86 0.43 0.08 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.3 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 5.0 3.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 8.6 7.9 7.5 7.3 7.2 6.8 6.3 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.0 4.9
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 90 90 95 100 100 100 95 95 85 75 75 70 65 60 55
TEMPERATURE 38 37 34 36 33 32 33 33 32 30 28 30 29 28 29 30 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 28 31 27
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S SE S S N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 9 13 16 19 24 26 37 32 19 9 4 5 6 6 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 61 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 60 80 80 100 100 100 80 80 70 70 30 30 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.77 0.63 0.75 0.94 0.50 0.08 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.7 4.7 6.2 3.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.1 10.9 4.1 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 8.6 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2 6.8 6.3 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.9
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 90 90 100 100 100 95 90 85 75 75 75 70 65 65
TEMPERATURE 30 30 28 29 25 24 24 23 22 22 20 21 20 20 20 21 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 20 22 19
WIND DIR W SW W W SW SW S S S S S W SE NE W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 11 14 24 29 36 37 47 44 25 10 9 11 14 9 10 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 62 63 94 80 46 31 42
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 60 80 80 100 100 100 80 80 60 60 30 30 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.58 0.46 0.68 1.03 0.53 0.10 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.8 3.2 6.2 10.3 5.3 1.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.0 16.5 6.3 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 8.7 8.0 7.6 7.4 7.3 6.9 6.4 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.9
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 90 95 95 95 95 95 90 85 80 80 75 65 65 70
TEMPERATURE 38 37 36 38 34 34 34 33 31 31 29 30 29 29 30 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 29 31 28
WIND DIR S SW SW SW S S S S S SE SE SE SW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 11 20 21 19 19 17 20 28 25 14 12 5 5 8 10 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 50 80 70 90 90 100 80 80 70 70 30 30 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R S R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.31 0.25 0.40 0.62 0.30 0.04 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 3.3 1.8 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 8.9 7.8 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.7 6.3 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.1 4.9
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 90 90 95 100 100 100 100 95 85 80 70 55 60 50 50
TEMPERATURE 43 43 42 42 40 39 40 38 37 36 36 36 35 34 35 34 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 35 37 33
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SE SE SE N N N NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 6 13 14 12 13 14 12 14 8 6 4 5 8 8 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 60 80 80 100 100 100 80 80 70 70 30 30 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.47 0.39 0.66 0.96 0.48 0.05 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 8.8 8.0 7.6 7.4 7.1 6.7 6.3 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.8
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 90 90 95 100 95 95 90 85 75 70 65 70 65 65
TEMPERATURE 40 41 39 40 37 36 35 34 33 34 32 32 32 31 31 31 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 31 34 29
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE N N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 12 12 12 13 19 18 28 21 13 4 4 8 8 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 50 70 70 90 100 100 80 80 60 60 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.21 0.11 0.25 0.54 0.28 0.05 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 2.2 1.7 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 8.8 8.0 7.7 7.5 7.2 6.7 6.2 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.0 4.8
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 75 85 95 95 95 95 90 95 90 90 75 80 75 70 75
TEMPERATURE 38 36 38 39 36 35 35 34 33 31 32 33 32 30 30 30 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 31 33 27
WIND DIR S W W SW SW S S S SE S S W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 10 12 13 16 14 13 14 20 16 11 8 6 4 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 70 70 90 80 100 90 90 80 80 60 60 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE R R S R S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.09 0.13 0.16 0.12 0.06 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 8.5 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.1 6.6 5.6 6.2 6.0 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.1 4.9
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 70 85 95 95 90 95 95 95 90 90 75 75 70 65 75
TEMPERATURE 36 35 37 38 36 35 34 33 31 30 31 32 31 30 29 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 30 32 27
WIND DIR S W W SW SW S S S SE SE S SW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 12 12 13 16 14 13 13 20 16 10 6 5 4 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 70 70 90 80 90 90 90 80 80 50 50 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.06 0.11 0.18 0.10 0.05 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 8.5 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.1 6.6 5.7 6.1 6.0 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.4 5.1 5.0
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 75 95 95 95 90 95 95 95 85 85 80 80 75 65 80
TEMPERATURE 39 37 41 43 40 39 38 37 34 34 32 34 34 32 32 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 32 36 29
WIND DIR S SW W W SW S S S SE SW W W W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 8 10 8 8 11 10 9 5 3 3 8 6 4 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 60 70 90 70 90 80 80 80 80 50 50 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.09 0.05 0.11 0.07 0.06 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 8.3 7.5 7.4 7.6 7.4 7.0 6.4 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.0 4.9
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 70 90 95 100 90 95 95 95 90 90 80 85 80 70 80
TEMPERATURE 39 38 38 39 36 36 37 35 33 33 31 32 31 31 31 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 31 34 28
WIND DIR SE SW W SW SW S S S S SE SW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 11 11 13 16 14 13 13 19 14 10 8 8 5 5 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 20 80 70 100 80 100 90 90 90 90 70 70 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE R R S R S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.11 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.05 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 8.4 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.6 5.5 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.9
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 70 90 95 100 95 95 95 95 90 90 80 90 85 70 80
TEMPERATURE 40 38 38 39 37 36 37 36 34 33 32 33 32 31 31 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 32 34 28
WIND DIR SE SW W SW SW S S S S S SW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 11 10 13 17 14 13 13 18 16 11 9 8 5 5 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 20 80 70 100 80 90 90 90 90 90 70 70 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.11 0.19 0.18 0.14 0.05 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 8.5 7.6 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.7 5.6 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.1 4.9
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 45 80 95 95 95 95 95 95 90 75 80 80 80 80 75 80
TEMPERATURE 41 39 40 40 38 36 37 35 33 32 31 32 31 30 31 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 31 34 29
WIND DIR SW W SW SW S S S S SE SE SE N NW N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 8 9 12 13 17 18 20 19 9 8 8 8 6 6 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 50 50 70 90 90 100 80 80 60 60 30 30 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE S R R S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.05 0.17 0.36 0.23 0.08 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.9 1.8 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.1 7.1 7.7 7.5 7.4 7.0 6.4 5.3 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.7
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN