Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
133
FWUS46 KMFR 131101
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 90 90 90 75 65 40 45 45 30 40 45 55 55 45 50 50
TEMPERATURE 27 26 27 30 33 32 34 35 34 32 37 37 37 32 33 33 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 32 39 31
WIND DIR SW S S E E E E NE NE NE E N N N N N NW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 8 6 8 13 13 9 6 5 6 4 4 6 5 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 80 90 90 60 50 20 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.20 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.8 0.9 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.2 5.2 6.0 6.3 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 7.0 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.5 7.2 7.0
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 90 90 90 70 60 25 35 40 30 40 40 55 50 45 50 50
TEMPERATURE 27 28 32 34 34 32 30 31 29 29 39 39 37 31 30 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 29 41 27
WIND DIR S S SE SE E E E NE NE NE SE W N N N N NW
WIND (MPH) 4 6 9 6 8 12 12 8 5 5 6 4 4 6 5 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 80 80 90 60 40 20 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.19 0.06 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.9 6.3 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.7 7.8 7.6 7.5 7.2 7.0
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 95 90 90 75 65 40 40 40 30 40 45 55 55 50 55 55
TEMPERATURE 28 27 26 30 33 32 34 34 34 32 35 36 36 32 33 33 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 32 38 31
WIND DIR SW S S E E E E NE NE NE E SE NE N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 6 6 8 14 13 10 9 6 6 4 4 6 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 80 90 90 60 40 20 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.20 0.06 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.5 0.8 0.1 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.1 5.2 5.9 6.3 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.5 7.2 7.0
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK SC SC SC BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 90 90 90 70 65 45 55 55 30 35 40 55 50 45 45 50
TEMPERATURE 17 18 20 23 25 24 24 25 25 24 28 29 28 25 26 25 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 24 29 24
WIND DIR SW S S SE E E E E NE E E N N N N N NW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 9 6 10 14 13 6 5 5 5 5 6 9 8 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 80 90 90 60 50 20 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.21 0.07 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.8 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.0 1.1 0.3 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.2 5.2 6.1 6.4 6.7 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.2 7.0
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW SC SC SC SC SC BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 95 90 90 75 65 35 25 45 30 35 35 45 55 45 50 50
TEMPERATURE 30 29 29 32 34 34 34 33 32 31 34 39 39 37 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 31 40 33
WIND DIR SW S S SE E E E NE NE NE E N N NW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 6 9 9 6 8 11 10 10 9 9 6 6 8 12 10 6 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 70 70 80 50 40 5 5 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.15 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.1 5.2 6.0 6.4 6.7 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.3 6.9 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.3 7.1 6.9
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC BK SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 95 95 90 80 60 50 25 35 30 45 45 50 45 50 55 55
TEMPERATURE 35 38 35 36 38 36 38 37 35 37 41 45 43 36 36 36 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 33 47 34
WIND DIR W S SE E N N E N NW NW NE NE NE NE W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 4 5 5 6 4 5 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 4 3 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 80 80 90 60 40 20 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.18 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.0 5.0 5.7 6.0 6.4 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.5 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.1 6.9
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 90 90 90 75 60 55 30 30 20 35 35 40 40 40 40 40
TEMPERATURE 31 36 32 34 35 34 34 34 35 37 38 42 41 35 36 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 32 42 32
WIND DIR SW S SE SE SE SE SE N NW NW E NE NW NW NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 9 8 6 8 11 5 5 5 8 6 6 5 6 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 80 80 60 40 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.16 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.8 6.0 6.4 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.1 7.0
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC FW FW SC FW SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 75 65 60 70 65 60 55 35 20 10 25 25 25 25 30
TEMPERATURE 28 27 29 34 37 35 35 35 34 34 39 44 44 38 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 33 45 33
WIND DIR S SE E E E E E E E E E E N N N NW W
WIND (MPH) 6 8 17 20 19 24 20 18 14 14 12 9 8 9 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 60 50 30 20 20 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.7 5.0 6.2 6.7 6.4 6.3 5.8 5.8 5.8 6.6 7.3 7.6 7.5 7.2 6.9 6.7
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC FW CL FW SC FW SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 80 70 55 65 65 55 45 15 5 5 25 25 25 25 25
TEMPERATURE 28 26 29 33 36 35 33 34 33 32 37 43 43 37 35 33 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 32 44 31
WIND DIR S SE E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N NW W
WIND (MPH) 8 9 14 18 17 19 17 13 11 10 8 8 8 9 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.8 5.0 6.3 6.7 6.6 6.4 5.9 5.8 5.7 6.7 7.3 7.5 7.5 7.3 6.9 6.7
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW SC FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 65 55 40 45 45 40 35 30 20 25 20 25 35 30
TEMPERATURE 32 30 32 38 41 40 39 38 36 35 41 47 46 40 37 36 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 35 48 34
WIND DIR SW E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N NW
WIND (MPH) 6 6 8 12 13 18 18 14 13 12 11 8 8 9 9 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 60 40 30 20 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.0 4.9 5.0 6.3 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.0 6.0 6.6 7.3 7.6 7.5 7.3 7.0 6.7
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 70 55 40 40 35 25 20 15 15 10 25 20 25 25 30
TEMPERATURE 29 28 30 34 36 35 35 35 34 34 39 43 43 37 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 33 44 33
WIND DIR S SE E E E E E E E E E NE N NE N NW W
WIND (MPH) 6 8 12 16 14 17 17 14 12 11 9 6 8 5 5 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 40 30 10 20 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.7 5.0 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.9 6.6 7.2 7.5 7.4 7.1 6.8 6.7
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 65 50 35 40 30 15 5 5 10 10 25 25 25 20 25
TEMPERATURE 28 27 29 34 36 34 34 34 34 34 40 44 44 38 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 33 45 33
WIND DIR S SE E E E E E E SE SE E NE N NE NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 5 8 14 17 14 16 16 13 12 12 9 6 8 4 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 40 30 10 20 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.7 4.6 4.9 6.1 6.4 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.5 7.2 7.5 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.6
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 10/13/25 TUESDAY 10/14/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK SC SC FW CL FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 90 65 60 40 40 20 5 5 10 10 20 20 25 30 20
TEMPERATURE 32 31 30 35 37 36 37 36 36 34 40 42 41 36 37 37 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 34 43 35
WIND DIR SW E NE E NE E E E E SE E NE N NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 8 11 14 13 12 9 9 5 5 9 12 9 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 80 70 30 20 10 5 0 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.21 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.2 4.8 4.7 5.9 6.5 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.7 7.2 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.0
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN