Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
078
FWUS46 KMFR 171006
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
206 AM PST MON NOV 17 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 85 90 60 55 60 50 45 50 35 40 45 35 20 15 10
TEMPERATURE 31 29 28 29 29 27 28 30 30 29 32 32 31 28 28 29 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 27 33 26
WIND DIR S SE SE E E E NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 28 27 14 13 10 12 17 20 11 9 6 6 5 9 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 50 20 20 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.75 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 5.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.3 5.4 6.0 6.1 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.4
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 85 90 55 50 60 55 45 50 35 40 45 30 20 15 10
TEMPERATURE 30 28 30 32 30 25 27 26 26 26 32 35 32 27 26 25 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 24 35 23
WIND DIR SE SE SE E E NE NE N N N N N N N N N NE
WIND (MPH) 23 20 13 11 9 10 10 4 9 8 6 6 5 6 6 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 50 20 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.64 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.4
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 85 90 60 55 60 50 40 45 30 35 45 30 20 15 10
TEMPERATURE 32 31 28 30 29 28 29 30 30 29 31 32 31 29 29 30 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 27 33 27
WIND DIR S SE SE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 28 27 13 13 10 13 18 18 11 9 6 6 5 9 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 50 20 20 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.70 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.3 5.4 6.0 6.1 6.3 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.4
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 85 90 60 60 60 55 55 50 40 45 45 35 25 15 10
TEMPERATURE 22 22 20 21 20 18 20 21 21 20 23 24 23 20 20 20 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 18 24 19
WIND DIR S SE SE E SE E E E NE NE NE N N N NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 41 40 25 24 17 16 21 20 13 12 10 9 8 10 9 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 72 71 55 54 40 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 50 20 20 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.75 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 4.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 5.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.2 5.4 6.1 6.1 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.4
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 90 90 75 70 65 60 65 55 40 40 50 35 20 20 15
TEMPERATURE 31 31 29 30 30 30 29 30 30 30 31 33 33 30 28 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 29 34 27
WIND DIR S S SE SE E N N N N N NE NE N N N N SW
WIND (MPH) 24 24 14 11 8 11 10 6 12 10 8 8 8 9 9 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 50 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.39 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.9 6.2 6.3 5.9 5.7 5.4 5.3
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 85 85 65 50 50 45 40 45 30 30 35 20 15 15 10
TEMPERATURE 37 36 36 36 35 34 34 34 34 34 37 40 38 35 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 32 41 32
WIND DIR SE SE SE S NW W N E NW N N N N NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 13 11 9 8 4 4 6 4 8 6 5 4 6 9 6 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 60 30 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.62 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.2 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.8 6.1 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.6 5.4
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 85 85 75 55 60 65 60 70 50 45 35 30 25 20 10
TEMPERATURE 33 33 32 33 32 30 30 31 31 31 32 34 33 31 31 30 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 29 34 28
WIND DIR S SE SE S SE NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW N N S
WIND (MPH) 21 18 13 10 9 11 12 10 9 9 6 5 5 8 6 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 50 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.41 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.7 5.9 6.1 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.4
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 80 75 70 70 60 65 65 55 55 50 45 25 15 10
TEMPERATURE 33 32 32 33 33 31 30 30 29 28 32 34 33 29 28 27 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 27 35 25
WIND DIR S S SE S E E E NW NE E N NW NW NE E E E
WIND (MPH) 13 12 13 12 9 8 6 8 5 4 4 5 5 3 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 70 50 40 30 20 20 20 20 30 30 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.4 5.1 5.4 5.7 5.7 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.9
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 85 70 70 65 60 60 65 55 55 50 45 25 15 10
TEMPERATURE 32 31 32 33 32 30 29 29 28 27 31 34 33 28 26 26 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 26 35 24
WIND DIR S S SE S E NE NE NW N NE NW NW NW N NE E E
WIND (MPH) 13 14 14 12 9 6 6 8 5 5 3 4 5 4 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 70 50 30 20 10 10 10 10 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.4 5.2 5.5 5.8 5.8 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.8
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK BK BK SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 85 75 85 80 75 70 75 75 60 60 55 50 40 20 20
TEMPERATURE 35 34 33 36 36 33 33 32 31 30 31 36 35 31 29 28 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 29 37 25
WIND DIR SE E E SE W W W NW N NE NE NW NW N NE E E
WIND (MPH) 9 8 8 4 3 5 4 3 5 4 4 5 4 4 4 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 90 60 60 30 20 10 10 10 10 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 5.7 5.6 5.8 5.9 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.4 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.3 5.1 4.9
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 90 90 80 80 90 80 70 80 70 60 60 50 45 30 15 15
TEMPERATURE 34 33 33 33 32 31 31 32 31 29 31 32 32 29 28 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 29 33 27
WIND DIR S SE SE SE N N N NW N NE NE NW N NE E E SE
WIND (MPH) 17 13 13 10 8 9 6 8 5 4 4 5 5 4 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH) 31
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 50 80 40 40 40 20 20 30 30 30 30 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S R S R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.5 5.2 5.1 4.9 4.8
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 95 85 85 90 80 65 75 70 60 60 50 40 25 15 10
TEMPERATURE 34 33 33 33 33 32 31 32 31 29 31 33 32 28 28 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 29 33 27
WIND DIR S S S S N N N NW N E N NW N NE E E SE
WIND (MPH) 17 12 13 9 8 9 6 9 4 3 3 4 4 3 5 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 50 80 40 40 40 20 20 30 30 30 30 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.2 5.0 5.1 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.8
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 85 80 85 85 80 85 80 70 60 50 45 40 20 25
TEMPERATURE 33 33 31 32 32 31 31 32 32 32 31 31 30 29 29 30 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 30 32 28
WIND DIR S SE E E N N N N N N N NW N N NE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 21 18 8 8 8 9 6 5 10 9 8 6 8 6 6 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 30 20 20 10 5 0 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN