Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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217
FWUS46 KMFR 081101
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT WED OCT 8 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    0    5   55   80   85   85   90   80   65   75   80   90   90   90   80
TEMPERATURE        44   43   49   51   49   44   43   41   40   38   36   37   37   35   38   39   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           53                  36                  39                  33
WIND DIR           NW    W   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          6    8   10   12   12   17   20   24   23   20   21   21    9    8   10   12   16
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                35
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   40   40   40   40   30   30   10   10   20   20   30   30   50
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    S    S              S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.22      0.56      0.50      0.00      0.01      0.12
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.5  9.0  9.4  9.7  9.7  9.6  9.0  8.6  8.2  7.9  7.8  7.4  7.6  7.7  6.9  6.4


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    0   10   55   75   80   80   85   75   65   75   80   90   90   85   80
TEMPERATURE        39   40   53   54   51   42   41   39   37   36   38   39   38   34   36   35   35
MAX/MIN TEMP                           56                  36                  41                  33
WIND DIR            E    E    S   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          5    5    9   11   10   12   16   17   17   16   17   16    9    6    8   10   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   40   40   40   40   30   30   10   10   10   10   40   40   40
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    R                        R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.13      0.38      0.39      0.00      0.01      0.13
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.5  8.9  9.4  9.6  9.6  9.5  9.0  8.6  8.2  7.9  7.7  7.5  7.7  7.7  6.8  6.4


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    0    5   55   80   85   85   90   85   70   75   80   90   95   90   85
TEMPERATURE        45   44   48   50   49   44   42   41   39   38   36   37   37   35   38   39   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           53                  36                  40                  32
WIND DIR            W    W   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          6    6    9   11   11   17   21   24   23   21   23   21    9    8    9   12   16
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                35
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   40   40   40   40   30   30   10   10   20   20   30   30   50
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    S    S              S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.19      0.52      0.49      0.00      0.01      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.5  8.9  9.4  9.6  9.7  9.6  9.0  8.6  8.1  7.9  7.8  7.4  7.5  7.7  6.8  6.4


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    0    5   60   75   80   80   85   70   65   75   80   90   90   85   80
TEMPERATURE        33   33   38   39   37   33   33   31   30   29   28   29   28   26   28   29   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  28                  30                  24
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          8   10   12   14   13   29   34   37   37   36   37   37   10    9   11   14   18
WIND GUST (MPH)                             61   69   73   79   77   80   84   85
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   40   40   40   40   30   30   10   10   20   20   40   40   50
PRECIP TYPE                             S    S    S    S    S    S              S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.23      0.53      0.36      0.00      0.02      0.14
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       1.1       3.0       2.8       0.5       0.1       1.3
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 4.1                 3.3                 1.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.4  9.0  9.4  9.7  9.7  9.6  9.0  8.6  8.2  8.0  7.8  7.5  7.7  7.7  6.9  6.4


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    0    0    0   50   50   65   80   90   80   70   60   70   90   90   85   85
TEMPERATURE        43   42   49   53   52   46   43   42   39   38   36   38   39   38   38   39   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           54                  36                  40                  32
WIND DIR            S   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          8   10   13   16   14   14   19   21   19   20   21   20   11   11   13   17   18
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                32
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   30   30   30   30   30   30   10   10   10   10   30   30   40
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R              R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.03      0.20      0.27      0.02      0.00      0.06
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.4  8.9  9.3  9.6  9.5  9.5  8.9  8.4  8.0  7.8  7.8  7.4  7.4  7.5  6.9  6.5


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    0    0   10   50   65   75   80   90   80   70   75   80   90   90   90   85
TEMPERATURE        51   51   59   62   60   51   49   47   46   46   44   45   45   42   44   43   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           64                  44                  47                  40
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    S    S    S   SE    S    S
WIND (MPH)          2    2    5    8    9    9    9    9   10   11   11   10    5    5    4    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   30   30   30   30   30   30   10   10   20   20   40   40   50
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    R              R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.07      0.25      0.30      0.00      0.02      0.19
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.5  8.9  9.3  9.6  9.7  9.5  9.0  8.6  8.2  7.9  7.6  7.6  7.8  7.7  6.8  6.3


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    0   10   50   70   70   70   80   75   60   75   80   95   90   85   75
TEMPERATURE        46   48   54   57   55   47   45   43   42   43   39   41   41   39   40   40   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           57                  38                  43                  35
WIND DIR           SW   SW    S   SW    S   SE    S    S   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          5    5    6    8    6   13   14   14   16   16   17   17    5    5    6    9   10
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                24
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   30   30   30   30   30   30   10   10   20   20   40   40   40
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    R              R    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.09      0.20      0.12      0.00      0.03      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  8.5  8.9  9.3  9.5  9.6  9.4  9.0  8.6  8.2  7.9  7.7  7.6  7.8  7.7  6.8  6.4


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5    5    0   45   45   65   80   90   70   70   75   80   95   90   85   80
TEMPERATURE        42   41   50   52   51   44   41   40   38   37   40   44   45   41   40   39   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           53                  36                  45                  36
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE    S    S   SW    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          6    6    9   10    8   18   16   14   16   14   13   14    4    2    3    5    8
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                24
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   20   20   40   40   50   50   40   40   20   20   40   40   50
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    S    R    R    R    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.11      0.05      0.01      0.01      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.2  7.7  7.8  8.4  8.8  8.7  8.8  8.6  8.0  7.9  8.0  8.2  7.7  7.6  7.5  6.9  6.6


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    0    5    0   40   45   60   85   90   75   70   80   80   95   90   90   80
TEMPERATURE        40   38   48   51   50   43   40   39   37   35   38   43   43   40   39   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           52                  35                  45                  35
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S   SW   SE   SE    S    S    S   SW    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          6    6    9   10    9   17   16   14   14   14   14   14    5    3    4    6    9
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                24
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   20   20   30   30   50   50   30   30   10   10   40   40   50
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    S    R    R    R    R    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.16      0.07      0.03      0.01      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  7.7  7.9  8.5  8.8  8.9  8.9  8.7  8.1  8.0  8.1  8.3  7.7  7.6  7.5  6.9  6.6


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5   10   40   65   65   80   85   70   65   80   80   90   90   85   75
TEMPERATURE        42   40   53   57   56   49   44   42   40   38   43   47   48   44   42   40   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           59                  38                  49                  37
WIND DIR           SW    S   SW   SW    W   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          4    5    5    6    5    4    5    4    4    6   10   10    4    2    3    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   20   20   30   30   40   40   20   20   20   20   40   40   50
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.12      0.05      0.00      0.01      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  7.8  8.2  8.9  9.1  9.0  9.0  8.7  8.2  8.0  8.0  8.2  7.8  7.6  7.4  6.8  6.5


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5    0    5   45   55   55   80   90   65   70   75   80   95   90   80   75
TEMPERATURE        42   41   49   51   49   43   41   40   38   38   40   43   43   40   40   40   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           52                  37                  44                  37
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S   SW   SE   SE   SE    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S
WIND (MPH)          6    6    8    9    8   16   17   14   14   14   13   10    4    3    4    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                24
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   20   20   40   40   50   50   40   40   30   30   50   50   60
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    S    S    S    R    R    R    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.05      0.02      0.01      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.1  7.7  7.8  8.4  8.8  8.6  8.7  8.4  7.9  7.8  7.9  8.2  7.8  7.6  7.4  6.8  6.5


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    5    0    5   50   50   55   80   90   65   70   75   80   95   90   80   75
TEMPERATURE        42   41   49   51   50   43   40   39   38   37   40   43   44   41   41   40   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           52                  37                  45                  37
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S
WIND (MPH)          6    6    8    9    6   18   18   16   16   14   12   10    3    2    3    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                                24
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   20   20   40   40   50   50   40   40   30   30   50   50   60
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.04      0.05      0.03      0.01      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.0  7.7  7.6  8.2  8.7  8.5  8.5  8.3  7.8  7.7  7.9  8.2  7.9  7.6  7.5  6.8  6.6


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 10/08/25                      THURSDAY 10/09/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    0   10   30   75   80   65   70   65   65   80   80   95   90   75   70
TEMPERATURE        47   45   51   54   53   46   43   41   40   38   40   43   42   39   41   40   40
MAX/MIN TEMP                           55                  38                  44                  38
WIND DIR           SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   NW   NW    N    N   SE   SE    S   SW    W    W   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)          8    9    5    9    8   13   16   14   14   14   14   12    3    3    3    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   10   10   30   30   30   30   20   20   20   20   50   50   60
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.05      0.03      0.05      0.10
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.0  7.9  8.4  8.9  9.0  8.9  8.6  8.2  7.8  7.7  7.7  7.9  7.8  7.6  7.0  6.5  6.3

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN