Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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612
FWUS46 KMFR 032221
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST WED DEC 3 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   25   45   55   35   30   15   30   45   40   40   40   35   45   30   45   55
TEMPERATURE        33   31   32   33   32   33   39   41   40   39   38   37   37   37   39   39   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  42                  35                  40
WIND DIR           NE   NE   NE   NE    N    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    N   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         13   11   11   14   16   20   23   26   26   28   32   29   25   19   16   18   21
WIND GUST (MPH)                                            43   47   51   47
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5    5   10   10    5    5   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.1  5.0  5.2  5.6  5.9  6.8  8.6  9.4  9.1  8.7  8.5  8.7  8.5  8.6  8.9  9.1  9.0


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   20   45   50   40   25   10   25   45   40   40   40   35   45   30   45   50
TEMPERATURE        29   25   25   26   25   26   39   41   40   36   34   33   33   33   39   39   36
MIN/MAX TEMP                           24                  43                  31                  40
WIND DIR           NE   NE   NE   NE   NE    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N   NW    N    N
WIND (MPH)         10    8    9   11   12   16   17   19   20   21   24   23   18   14   11   13   16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5    5   10   10    5    5   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.0  4.8  4.9  5.4  5.7  6.6  8.6  9.4  9.1  8.7  8.3  8.7  8.5  8.6  8.8  9.1  9.0


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   25   45   55   35   30   15   30   45   40   40   40   35   45   35   45   55
TEMPERATURE        32   31   31   32   31   33   38   40   40   38   37   37   37   36   38   39   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           30                  41                  35                  39
WIND DIR           NE   NE   NE   NE    N    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    N    N   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         13   11   11   14   16   20   23   25   26   28   32   29   24   19   16   18   21
WIND GUST (MPH)                                            43   47   51   47
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5    5   10   10    5    5   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.1  5.0  5.1  5.4  5.8  6.6  8.6  9.4  9.1  8.7  8.5  8.7  8.5  8.5  8.9  9.1  9.0


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   20   40   50   35   30   15   35   55   50   50   45   40   45   35   45   55
TEMPERATURE        26   24   24   25   24   27   32   33   32   30   29   29   29   29   30   30   29
MIN/MAX TEMP                           23                  34                  27                  30
WIND DIR            N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N    N   NW   NW   NW    N    N    N   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         25   26   25   28   33   39   42   46   46   50   52   49   39   34   32   31   39
WIND GUST (MPH)    57   72   65   65   78   85   93   95   89  102  102   95   69   71   74   62   81
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5    5   10   10    5    5   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.0  5.1  5.5  5.9  6.2  7.0  8.6  9.3  9.1  8.7  8.4  8.6  8.5  8.6  8.8  9.1  9.0


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   25   45   50   35   30   25   25   45   35   45   50   50   55   45   50   55
TEMPERATURE        32   30   30   31   30   32   36   40   39   38   37   37   37   36   37   39   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           30                  41                  36                  39
WIND DIR           NE   NE    E   NE   NE   NE    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         10    9    8   11   12   16   17   19   20   23   24   23   18   14   12   13   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5   10   10   10   10    5    5   20   20   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.6  4.1  4.0  4.2  5.1  6.0  7.7  9.2  9.0  8.7  8.3  8.5  8.4  8.4  8.8  9.0  8.9


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   10   40   40   40   30   20   25   50   45   40   40   35   45   25   35   45
TEMPERATURE        37   35   36   37   35   37   41   46   45   44   43   42   42   42   44   47   46
MIN/MAX TEMP                           35                  47                  41                  48
WIND DIR            N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    N    N    N   NW
WIND (MPH)          4    5    5    4    4    4    5    6    8    5    6    8    6    6    4    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5    5   10   10    5    5   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.7  4.2  4.1  4.8  5.2  6.5  8.5  9.5  9.2  8.9  8.4  8.6  8.6  8.7  8.9  9.2  9.0


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    40   20   45   40   35   30   25   30   45   45   50   50   40   50   30   40   45
TEMPERATURE        34   33   33   33   32   35   41   43   42   40   39   38   38   40   41   42   41
MIN/MAX TEMP                           31                  43                  37                  43
WIND DIR            N    N   NE   NE    N    N    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    N
WIND (MPH)          9    9    9   11   11   14   16   17   18   19   20   19   17   13   11   12   13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.6  4.3  4.3  4.9  5.4  6.5  8.5  9.4  9.1  8.8  8.3  8.5  8.5  8.7  8.9  9.1  9.0


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   45   60   55   40   65   65   75   85   90   90   85   85   85   95   95   95
TEMPERATURE        33   29   29   29   29   31   35   35   35   33   34   34   34   35   35   35   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           28                  36                  33                  36
WIND DIR            S   NW   SE   SE    W   NW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          6    8   10   16   16   14   21   23   24   24   20   17   17   14   16   19   23
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    5    0    5   10   20   40   40   80   80   80   80   70   70   90   90   90
PRECIP TYPE                                  S    R    R    R    S    S    S    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.05      0.11      0.10      0.12      0.24
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.9  4.6  4.8  5.6  6.2  7.2  8.7  9.1  8.8  8.3  7.9  7.8  8.2  8.4  8.6  8.5  8.4


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   45   60   55   40   55   60   75   80   80   85   85   80   80   95   95   90
TEMPERATURE        32   28   28   27   28   30   35   35   35   33   33   33   34   34   34   35   34
MIN/MAX TEMP                           27                  36                  32                  35
WIND DIR           SE   NW   SE    W    W   NW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          6    8   10   14   16   14   21   23   24   24   20   18   17   14   14   18   23
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    5   10   20   40   30   70   70   70   70   60   60   90   90   90
PRECIP TYPE                                  S    R    R    R    S    S    S    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02      0.09      0.06      0.08      0.21
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.9  4.7  4.9  5.6  6.2  7.1  8.6  9.1  8.8  8.3  7.9  7.9  8.2  8.3  8.7  8.5  8.4


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   30   50   40   40   50   55   65   70   70   80   80   85   85   85   85   85
TEMPERATURE        35   29   28   29   28   30   35   39   39   35   35   36   36   36   37   38   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           28                  41                  34                  39
WIND DIR           NE   NE   NE   NE    E    E    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          4    4    4    4    4    4    3    5    5    2    2    3    4    4    4    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    5    5   10   30   20   50   50   50   50   40   40   80   80   80
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.05      0.02      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.8  4.3  4.3  4.8  5.8  6.9  8.6  9.2  8.9  8.4  7.9  8.0  8.3  8.4  8.7  8.7  8.7


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   BK   SC   SC   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   45   60   50   45   65   65   75   85   85   90   90   90   85   95   95   95
TEMPERATURE        33   30   31   32   30   32   35   35   35   35   35   36   36   36   35   36   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           30                  36                  34                  37
WIND DIR            S    W   SE    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          8    8   11   16   14   14   21   21   23   23   19   17   16   14   14   18   23
WIND GUST (MPH)                                  40        40   41   40   34
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    5    0    5   10   30   40   50   90   90   90   90   80   80  100  100   90
PRECIP TYPE                                  S    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.14      0.09      0.13      0.21
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.8  4.4  4.6  5.3  6.1  7.1  8.6  9.1  8.8  8.3  7.9  8.0  8.2  8.3  8.6  8.5  8.4


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   50   65   50   45   75   75   85   90   95   95   90   90   90  100  100   95
TEMPERATURE        34   30   30   32   30   32   34   34   35   35   35   36   36   36   35   36   35
MIN/MAX TEMP                           30                  35                  34                  36
WIND DIR            S    W    S    S   SW    W   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          8    8   11   16   14   14   21   23   23   23   19   16   16   14   16   19   24
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    0    5   10   30   40   50   90   90   90   90   80   80  100  100   90
PRECIP TYPE                                  S    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.08      0.16      0.11      0.17      0.24
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.8  4.4  4.6  5.4  6.2  7.2  8.6  9.0  8.7  8.2  7.9  8.0  8.2  8.3  8.5  8.4  8.2


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                                        THURSDAY 12/04/25                       FRIDAY 12/05/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   20   50   50   45   45   40   65   75   65   85   75   80   75   70   75   75
TEMPERATURE        34   32   32   34   33   35   39   39   39   38   38   38   39   39   38   38   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           32                  40                  37                  40
WIND DIR           SE    E    E    E   NE    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)          9    9   12   14   16   17   21   20   19   21   23   20   18   16   14   17   19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5   10   10   10   30   30   20   20   20   20   50   50   60
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.08      0.03      0.00      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  4.6  4.4  4.6  5.1  6.3  7.6  9.1  9.2  9.0  8.6  8.1  8.5  8.6  8.8  9.0  8.9  8.8

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN