Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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155
FWUS46 KMFR 101101
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100  100   95   95   55   55   45   45   50   60   55   35   30   30   25
TEMPERATURE        36   34   33   33   33   30   30   29   27   26   30   32   33   30   31   32   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  25                  34                  28
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         25   24   24   28   23   13   14    8   10   10   10   18   16   16   17   17   19
WIND GUST (MPH)                   47
PRECIP PROB (%)    80   90   80   80   80   80   30   30   20   20   20   20    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.51      0.52      0.19      0.01      0.01      0.03      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 2.0       2.8       1.3       0.1       0.1       0.2       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          4.8                 1.4                 0.3                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.9  7.3  6.9  7.0  7.4  6.6  6.1  5.6  5.2  5.0  5.6  6.3  6.5  6.2  5.9  5.6  5.4


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    95  100   95  100   95   95   55   55   40   40   50   60   55   35   30   30   25
TEMPERATURE        36   34   35   35   34   30   28   29   26   27   35   36   34   28   30   29   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           35                  25                  37                  28
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         19   18   18   21   17   10   10    5    8    6    8   13   12   12   12   12   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    80   90   80   80   80   80   30   30   20   20   10   10    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE         R    S    S    S    R    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.34      0.39      0.15      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.1       0.5       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.2                 0.6                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.8  7.3  6.8  6.9  7.3  6.6  6.1  5.6  5.3  5.1  5.5  6.2  6.5  6.2  6.0  5.6  5.4


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100   95  100   95   95   55   55   45   45   50   60   50   35   30   30   25
TEMPERATURE        37   35   32   33   33   31   30   29   28   26   29   31   33   30   31   31   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  25                  34                  29
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         25   24   23   28   23   14   14    8   10   10   10   18   16   16   17   17   19
WIND GUST (MPH)                   47
PRECIP PROB (%)    80   90   80   80   80   80   40   40   20   20   20   20    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.49      0.51      0.18      0.01      0.01      0.05      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 1.8       2.6       1.2       0.1       0.1       0.3       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          4.4                 1.3                 0.4                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.9  7.3  6.9  7.0  7.4  6.7  6.1  5.6  5.2  5.1  5.7  6.3  6.6  6.2  6.0  5.6  5.4


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    95  100  100  100   95   95   55   55   45   45   50   60   55   35   30   30   25
TEMPERATURE        27   25   24   24   25   22   21   19   16   16   19   22   23   22   23   24   24
MAX/MIN TEMP                           27                  16                  23                  22
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         46   46   43   48   35   25   24   13   16   18   19   31   31   32   32   27   29
WIND GUST (MPH)    94  103   93   93   59   55   49             40   41   61   67   74   69   48   49
PRECIP PROB (%)    80   90   80   80   80   80   30   30   20   20   20   20    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.45      0.58      0.23      0.02      0.01      0.05      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 2.9       5.5       2.4       0.2       0.1       0.3       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          8.4                 2.6                 0.4                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.0  7.4  6.9  7.0  7.4  6.6  6.0  5.6  5.2  4.9  5.6  6.4  6.5  6.2  6.0  5.6  5.4


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100   90  100  100  100   65   60   55   55   55   55   55   35   35   35   30
TEMPERATURE        37   35   32   34   34   33   32   32   30   29   31   34   34   32   31   32   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  29                  35                  30
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW    W    W   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W   NW
WIND (MPH)         19   19   18   23   19   11   12    6    6    8    6   14   12   11   12   12   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    80   80   70   80   80   80   40   40   30   30   30   30    5    5   10   10    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.30      0.36      0.17      0.02      0.00      0.02      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.3       0.9       0.5       0.1       0.0       0.1       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          1.2                 0.6                 0.1                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.9  7.2  6.8  7.0  7.3  6.7  6.2  5.8  5.4  5.2  5.7  6.3  6.5  6.3  6.0  5.5  5.3


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100  100   95   95   55   55   50   50   45   60   50   25   20   15   15
TEMPERATURE        43   44   40   41   40   37   37   36   34   36   40   43   42   36   36   35   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           44                  33                  45                  32
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SW    W    W    W   NW   NE    N   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         13   13   10    6    3    3    4    4    5    3    2    3    4    5    5    5    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    80   90   80   80   80   80   30   30   20   20   20   20    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.25      0.34      0.10      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.0  6.7  6.8  7.3  6.5  6.1  5.6  5.3  5.1  5.6  6.3  6.5  6.4  6.1  5.7  5.5


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    90  100  100  100   95   95   55   55   40   40   45   65   60   35   30   25   25
TEMPERATURE        38   40   36   37   36   33   32   31   30   33   35   37   38   32   32   32   32
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  28                  38                  29
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         18   17   17   19   12    9    8    5    8    6    8   11   11   11   12   13   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    70   80   90   90   80   80   30   30   20   20   20   20    5    5    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.19      0.30      0.09      0.01      0.00      0.02      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.2       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.3                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.0  6.8  6.8  7.2  6.5  6.0  5.5  5.3  5.0  5.6  6.3  6.5  6.4  6.1  5.6  5.4


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   85   85   85   85   85   90   95   85   80
TEMPERATURE        38   37   35   35   35   33   32   32   31   30   31   32   32   32   33   33   30
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  29                  34                  28
WIND DIR            S   SW    S    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         16   11   18   13   11   11   10    8    8    8   10   11   12   16   13   18   18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    80   90  100   80   80   80   50   50   70   70   80   80   70   70   50   50   30
PRECIP TYPE         R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.18      0.18      0.07      0.04      0.05      0.16      0.09      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.1       0.2       0.3       0.4       0.5       0.5       0.2
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.1                 0.5                 0.9                 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.0  7.3  6.6  6.4  6.6  6.1  5.9  5.3  5.1  5.1  5.5  5.8  6.1  6.0  5.9  5.4  5.2


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    80  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   85   85   80   85   80   90   85   85   75
TEMPERATURE        37   35   34   35   34   33   31   31   30   29   31   32   32   32   33   32   30
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  29                  34                  28
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W   SW    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         17   13   18   13   11   11   10    8    8    8   10   11   13   16   13   18   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    60   90  100   80   80   80   50   50   60   60   70   70   60   60   50   50   20
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.16      0.17      0.06      0.03      0.03      0.12      0.07      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.2       0.2       0.2       0.2       0.5       0.4       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.2                 0.4                 0.7                 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.1  7.4  6.7  6.5  6.7  6.1  5.8  5.3  5.0  5.0  5.5  5.9  6.1  6.0  5.9  5.5  5.2


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   95  100  100  100  100   65   60   80   80   75   80   80   75   90   85   75
TEMPERATURE        40   38   38   38   38   37   36   35   34   33   36   37   36   36   37   36   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           42                  33                  38                  31
WIND DIR            S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S   SE   SE    S   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)          9    9    9    9    8    3    3    2    2    3    6    8    6    6    6    6    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   70  100   90   80   80   40   40   60   60   60   60   40   40   40   40   10
PRECIP TYPE         R    S    S    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.10      0.23      0.07      0.02      0.03      0.13      0.04      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.2       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.2                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.9  7.2  6.5  6.5  6.7  6.1  5.7  5.3  5.1  5.0  5.5  5.8  6.2  6.2  6.0  5.6  5.2


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90  100  100  100  100  100   70   70   85   85   85   85   85   90   95   90   85
TEMPERATURE        38   37   34   35   34   32   33   32   31   30   31   32   31   31   33   33   31
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  30                  34                  28
WIND DIR            S    W   SW    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         14   11   19   13   12   10   10    9    6    8   10   10   12   16   13   19   18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)   100   90  100   80   90   90   60   60   70   70   80   80   80   80   70   70   50
PRECIP TYPE         R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.17      0.19      0.05      0.03      0.04      0.15      0.09      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.2       0.1       0.2       0.2       0.5       0.5       0.2
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.3                 0.3                 0.7                 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.9  7.1  6.5  6.4  6.6  6.0  5.8  5.4  5.1  5.1  5.4  5.7  6.1  6.1  6.0  5.4  5.2


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100  100  100  100   75   75   90   90   90   90   90   95   95   90   85
TEMPERATURE        38   37   35   35   34   32   33   32   31   30   31   32   32   31   33   33   30
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  30                  34                  28
WIND DIR           SW    W   SW    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         13   10   19   14   12   10   10    9    6    8   10    9   12   17   13   19   18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)   100   90  100   80   90   90   60   60   70   70   80   80   80   80   70   70   50
PRECIP TYPE         R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.19      0.16      0.04      0.02      0.03      0.15      0.11      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.1       0.2       0.2       0.5       0.6       0.3
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.3                 0.7                 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.9  7.1  6.4  6.4  6.6  6.0  5.8  5.4  5.1  5.1  5.4  5.7  6.1  6.1  5.9  5.4  5.2


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 10/10/25                         SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    65  100  100  100  100  100   55   55   70   70   70   70   65   70   75   75   65
TEMPERATURE        38   36   34   35   34   32   33   31   31   30   32   35   34   32   34   35   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  30                  36                  31
WIND DIR            W    S    S   SW   SW   SW    W   SW   SW    S   SW   SW    W    W    W   NW   NW
WIND (MPH)         12   19   13   13   14   10    8    6    8    8    9   12   11   13   12   18   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   80   90   80   80   80   40   40   50   50   40   40   40   40   30   30    5
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.20      0.18      0.05      0.01      0.03      0.12      0.02      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.2       0.2       0.1       0.2       0.3       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.3                 0.3                 0.5                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  6.7  6.1  6.4  6.6  6.0  5.8  5.3  5.2  5.0  5.6  6.2  6.4  6.3  6.0  5.6  5.3

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN