553
FNUS76 KMFR 031205
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Honey Creek...ODF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
505 AM PDT Wed Sep 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on September 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Hot temperatures are expected today and Wednesday. An
upper level disturbance will move south to north across the area
late today and tonight, producing isolated to scattered afternoon
and evening thunderstorms, mainly from the Cascades east and
Siskiyous south. A few isolated storms could move into Josephine,
Jackson, and eastern/northern Douglas counties in the evening, and
there is a low chance that storms may drift into western Douglas and
eastern Coos counties this evening. Lingering isolated thunderstorms
are possible overnight. Then, Wednesday through late in the week,
thunderstorm chances continue in the afternoons/evenings, again from
the Cascades east. Showers and more seasonable temperatures are
expected this weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning and afternoon.
Chance of lightning.25 percent.
Max temperature.....82-84.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph, except for gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6-11 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy, then partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the evening, then dry.
Chance of lightning.25 percent until 9 pm, then 5 percent
Min temperature.....57-59.
Max humidity........56 percent.
Eye level winds.....South 1-3 mph
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 2-5 mph, except for gusty and erratic winds
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3-6 mph.
CWR.................7 percent.

$$
Forecaster...PETRUCELLI
Requested by...Incident Commander - Wagner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521169.1/MFR
.DELDT 09/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov