280
FNUS76 KMFR 170331
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Mowitz Pile...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
731 PM PST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will bring intermittent rain to the burn
site Monday, but it will be mostly light. High pressure builds in Tuesday
and things dry out. Dry weather remains into Wednesday, then the next
weather system will move in Wedneasday night or Thursday with a chance of
precip, but confidence in the specifics (exact timing/amounts) is low at
this time.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Occasional rain.
                    Chance of rain: 70 percent.
                    Rain amounts: Trace-0.10".
Max temperature.....44-46.
Min humidity........72-82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........S 5-8 mph with gusts to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....S 10-15 mph.
CWR.................43 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........A 30% chance of rain in the evening, then
                    partial clearing.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........N 3-7 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....N 5-10 mph.
CWR.................16 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming partly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-6 mph becoming NW 3-8 mph.
                    Gusts to 16 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....NW 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........NNW 2-6 mph, becoming variable 1-4 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....N 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-4 mph becoming S 2-6 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Variable 5 mph becoming S 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Mitchell Murphy
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526039.0/MFR
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mitchell.murphy@usda.gov