307
FNUS76 KMFR 171850
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Incoming Helicopter #2 Toketee Airstrip...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1050 AM PST Mon Nov 17 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 PST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light rain will continue today with showers decreasing
in the late afternoon and evening. Some lingering showers are possible
tonight into Tuesday. Lower ceilings 800-1500 feet are expected today.
Guidance supports ceilings lifting some in the late afternoon and
early evening (around 3pm or later) to around 2000-2500 feet,  before
lowering again in the evening. Fog with very low ceilings (100-500 ft)
and visibilities (0.25-1.0 miles) is likely overnight.

A  break between systems is expected Tuesday with below normal
temperatures and light winds. Low clouds (200-600 feet ceilings)
and areas of fog are expected Tuesday morning,  lifting in the
early to mid afternoon (around 1-2pm).

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers through
                    the day.
Chance of lightning.3 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........95 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 1 to 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 3 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the north
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
CWR.................15 percent decreasing to 4 percent late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (PST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  45  45  46  46  44  44
RH..............99  97  97  97  97  100 100
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  W
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   8   9   8
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  W
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   2   3   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   3   4   5   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   6   7   7

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog through the night.
                    Chance of rain showers
                    early in the evening, then slight chance of
                    rain showers in the late evening and overnight.
                    Chance of rain showers after 3 am.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 1 to 3 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 3 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 7 mph.
CWR.................6 percent.

TIME (PST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  CDY MC  MC  CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH ARS SCH ARS     PTY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  FOG RNF FOG     FOG RNF RNF
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  41  40  39  39  39  39  38  37  37  37  36
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 98  100 99  100 100 100 99
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   4   3   4   3   1   2   1   3   2   1   1
20 FT wind gust.8   6   6   6   6   4   5   4   6   5   4   4
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   2   1   1   1   0   1   0   1   1   0   0
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny . Areas of fog
                    early in the morning, then patchy fog late in
                    the morning. Chance of rain showers early in
                    the morning. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the late morning and early afternoon.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........80 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 2 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 mph.
CWR.................6 percent.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............35  35  34  37  39  42  44  45  46  45  43  41
RH..............100 100 100 99  100 97  89  80  78  80  83  88
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   4   5   5   5   7   7   8   6   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.0   0   0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5

$$
Forecaster...CLARSTROM
Requested by...Brian Lester
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526158.0/MFR
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL orric@firenet.gov