120
FNUS76 KMFR 010607
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Sugarloaf Fire...USFD
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1107 PM PDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 PDT on September 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Warm and dry weather will continue to start the week.
Afternoon temperatures will be above normal for the interior and
are expected to trend warmer Tuesday and Wednesday. The forecast
for Tuesday afternoon and evening has a slight chance (5-10%)
of thunderstorms for the area. A cooling trend is possible to
end the week.


.LABOR DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Periods of smoke in the morning.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....77 to 80 degrees.
Min humidity........42 to 46 percent.
Eye level winds.....East at 1 to 2 mph becoming northwest at
1 to 3 mph with afternoon gusts up to 4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East at 1 to 3 mph becoming northwest at
6 to 8 mph with afternoon gusts up to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast at 2 to 4 mph becoming west at
7 to 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR     CLEAR
Weather cov.....AREAS     AREAS
Weather type....SMOKE     SMOKE     NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of ltng (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............54        64        75        78
RH..............74        60        48        45
20 FT wind......E 3G6     NW 2G5    W 5G9     W 6G14
Eye level wind..E 1G2     NW 1G2    W 2G3     W 2G4
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100    400       1200      1700
Transport wind..NE 3      NE 3      W 6       W 7

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Periods of smoke overnight.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....58 to 62 degrees.
Max humidity........74 to 78 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest at 1 to 2 mph with evening gusts up to
4 mph becoming southeast at 1 to 2 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest at 6 to 8 mph with evening gusts up to
12 mph becoming southeast at 2 to 4 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North at 7 to 9 mph becoming east at 3 to 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR     MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR
Weather cov.....                    AREAS     AREAS
Weather type....NONE      NONE      SMOKE     SMOKE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of ltng (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............72        58        60        61
RH..............49        71        66        56
20 FT wind......NW 6G12   N 4G8     E 5G7     E 2G5
Eye level wind..NW 2G4    N 1G2     E 2G3     E 1G2
Mix hgt (ft)....1400      BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
Transport wind..NW 8      N 7       E 6       E 5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of lightning.10 percent.
Max temperature.....86 to 89 degrees.
Min humidity........27 to 30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast at 1 to 2 mph becoming northwest at
1 to 3 mph with afternoon gusts up to 5 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast at 1 to 3 mph becoming northwest at
5 to 7 mph with afternoon gusts up to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast at 3 to 5 mph becoming southwest at
10 to 12 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............62  62  63  67  73  78  81  83  84  85  84  82
RH..............53  53  52  48  43  38  35  33  33  33  34  37
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   10  10  10  7
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   9   12  15  13

$$
Forecaster...DALDRUP
Requested by...Luke Talcott
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521051.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL luke.talcott@usda.gov