486
FNUS76 KMFR 191645
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Coyote Piles Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
845 AM PST Wed Nov 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PST on November 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... A front will approach the area today and move inland
across the area tonight and early Thursday. This will bring gusty
south to southwest winds today and into tonight.  Light rain and
snow is expected to develop tonight, then light snow is expected
Thursday morning. Snowfall accumulations of 0.5 to 1.5 inches are
possible. This front shifts east late Thursday morning with
some lingering light showers possible and cool conditions during the
day Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Eye level winds.....South to southeast winds 2 to 4 mph increasing
                      to south 4 to 6 mph with gusts to 10 mph in
                      the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southeast winds 5 to 9 mph increasing
                      to south 9 to 12 mph with gusts to 18 mph in
                      the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers
                    and snow showers in the evening, then rain
                    showers and snow showers overnight. Snow level
                    lowering to 5000 to 5500 late in the night.
Chance of lightning.2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....South to southwest 4 to 6 mph with gusts to 10 mph
                    becoming southwest 3 to 5 mph with gusts to 7 mph
                    overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southwest 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 18 mph
                    becoming southwest 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 90 percent.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Snow showers
                    likely in the morning, then chance of snow
                    showers and rain showers in the afternoon. Snow
                    level 4500 to 5000 feet in the morning, rising
                    to 5000 to 5500 feet by late afternoon.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 2 to 4 mph becoming
                    variable 2 to 3 mph in the late morning then
                    shifting to the north 2 to 4 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph becoming
                    variable 4 to 6 mph in the late morning then
                    shifting to the north 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 9 mph.
CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...CLARSTROM
Requested by...Katie Sauerbrey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526390.0/MFR
.DELDT 11/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL katie.sauerbrey@tnc.org