557
FNUS76 KMFR 151209
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Elder Creek...ODF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
509 AM PDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Hot, dry conditions are expected through much of the
remainder of this week. Thunder/lightning probabilities are mostly
10% or less. Gusty afternoon and evening mainly W-NW winds
will give way to lighter overnight and early morning slope-driven
breezes. Overnight RH recoveries will be fair at best (40-55%) and
afternoon humidity will be typical (down around 15%). Guidance shows
a slight cooling trend this weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Haze and smoke in the afternoon.
Chance of lightning.6 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Eye level winds.....ESE 1-3 mph becoming NW 2-4 mph, the NE at
                    similar speeds this afternoon. Gusts to around
                    10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........ESE 2-6 mph with gusts to 10 mph becoming NNW
                    6-11 mph with gusts to 21 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....N 3-7 mph shifting to the WNW 10-20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    CLEAR     CLEAR     MCLEAR
Weather cov.....                    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      HAZE      HAZE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of ltng (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............53        65        79        84
RH..............61        42        26        20
20 FT wind......NE 2G5    NE 3G6    N 7G15    NE 9G20
Eye level wind..NE 1G2    NE 1G2    N 3G7     NE 4G8
Mix hgt (ft)....1100      3100      6600      9500
Transport wind..NE 7      N 3       W 8       W 10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy smoke and haze.
Chance of lightning.6 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Eye level winds.....NE 1-3 mph becoming SE.
Wind (20 ft)........N 5-8 mph in the evening with gusts to 18 mph
                    in the evening, becoming SE 2-5 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....N 10-20 mph, easing to 5-10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR     CLEAR
Weather cov.....PATCHY    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....SMOKE     HAZE      HAZE      HAZE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of ltng (%).10        0         0         0
Temp............83        71        62        53
RH..............19        29        40        54
20 FT wind......NE 6G10   NE 8G13   N 6G10    N 3G6
Eye level wind..NE 2G4    NE 3G5    N 2G4     N 1G2
Mix hgt (ft)....9100      2100      1200      1100
Transport wind..N 12      N 14      NE 13     NE 9

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Rob Wood
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518028.1/MFR
.DELDT 07/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov,robert.h.wood@odf.oregon.gov