875
FNUS76 KMFR 060706
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for SUGARLOAF...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1206 AM PDT Sat Sep 6 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 PDT on September 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected in
the vicinity of the fire tonight, though are currently occuring
just west of the site. Activity will wane by sunrise, then another
round of scattered showers/thunderstorms is expected Saturday
afternoon and evening. Typical diurnal northwest afternoon winds
are expected through the weekend, though gusty and erratic winds
are expected near thunderstorms. Afternoon breezes may trend a bit
stronger for Sunday as low pressure approaches the region. This
low pressure will move inland on Monday, bringing much cooler
temperatures and wetting rains through the early half of next
week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of lightning.20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light and variable.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable, though gusty and erratic winds
                    are possible near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    morning. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of lightning.25 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 3 to 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 8 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
CWR.................12 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of rain showers overnight.
Chance of lightning.25 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds up to 3 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
CWR.................12 percent.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning, then chance
                    of rain showers in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Chance of lightning.13 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest 3 to 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 8 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
CWR.................16 percent.

$$
Forecaster...FIRMIN
Requested by...Adam Armijo
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521438.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.armijo@usda.gov