809
FNUS76 KMFR 030230
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for IRSC Unit 13,14,18...US Forest Service
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
630 PM PST Sun Nov 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PST on November 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A quick moving low will bring rain chances to the
burn site with more steady rain starting between 4 to 6 PM Monday.
Around 0.25"-0.50" is forecast through Monday night. A more potent
system arrives Tuesday into Wednesday which will bring more rain and
stronger south winds to the site. The heaviest rain is expected
to fall Tuesday night into Wednesday with 2.00"-2.25" expected. Keep
in mind the south exposure will bring the stronger winds
to the burn site with these systems and gusts could near 40 mph
later Tuesday into Tuesday night.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the
                    morning with increasing chances through the
                    day.
Chance of lightning.4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 6 mph. Gusts up to 8 mph
                    increasing to 11 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 13 to 19 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    increasing to 33 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 13-18 mph.
CWR.................37 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain.
Chance of lightning.4 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 8 mph. Gusts up to 12 mph in
                    the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 17 to 22 mph. Gusts up to 37 mph in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 12-18 mph.
CWR.................84 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain likely early in the morning with
                    increasing chances through the day.
Chance of lightning.4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........70-75 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph with gusts to around
                    9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 14 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 24 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 17-23 mph.
CWR.................78 percent.

$$
Forecaster...HERMANSEN
Requested by...Christopher SchlosserPrukop
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524803.0/MFR
.DELDT 11/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.schlosserprukop@usda.gov