811
FNUS76 KMFR 170516
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for JC Fair...JC EM
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1016 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 PDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Very warm afternoon temperatures are expected through
Friday with highs in the upper 90s. In the afternoon and evening
Thursday, some cloud build ups are possible east and south of the area.
However, no thunderstorms are expected to move into the Rogue Valley
area. Smoke from area  wildfires will remain in place through at
least Thursday afternoon. Models indicate smoke may decrease
Thursday evening as northwest winds increase. Expect haze and a
some air quality impacts through at least Thursday afternoon then
periods of haze and patchy smoke are likely Thursday evening and Friday.

Breezy to gusty winds are expected each afternoon and  evening. There
is a high chance (70-90%) for winds to gust to around 15 to 20 mph
Thursday and Friday. Strongest wind gusts are expected from from 4pm to
8pm each day.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Haze in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Heat index..........increasing to 96 in the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west 8 to 13 mph and gusts
                    15 to 20 mph in the mid to late afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (PDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1
Temp............74  81  84  87  90  94  96  97  99
RH..............51  43  37  35  30  26  24  22  20
Surface wnd dir.VRB VRB NW  NW  W   W   W   W   NW
Surface wnd spd.3   3   5   5   6   8   10  11  13
Surface wnd gst.5   6   8   8   9   13  14  17  20

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Haze late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Heat index..........90-96 in the evening.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 6 to 13 mph becoming light.
                    Gusts 12 to 20 mph, lowering around sunset.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....                    DEF
Weather type....                    HAZ
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............97  94  91  84  81  78  76  74  71  68  66  64
RH..............22  23  26  31  34  37  40  44  47  51  55  56
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   VRB
Surface wnd spd.13  11  8   6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   1
Surface wnd gst.20  16  12  9   8   6   6   6   5   5   5   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Heat index..........increasing to 94 in the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northwest 8 to 11 mph
                    in the mid to late afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  64  68  73  78  83  87  91  93  96  97  98
RH..............57  57  50  44  39  34  29  25  21  18  17  17
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   NW
Surface wnd spd.1   1   3   3   3   4   4   5   8   9   10  11
Surface wnd gst.3   3   5   5   6   7   7   7   13  14  15  18

$$
Forecaster...CLARSTROM
Requested by...Laurel Lewis
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2518118.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lewislc@jacksoncountyor.gov