396
FNUS76 KMFR 010904
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Dads Creek Fire...Douglas Forest Protective Association
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
204 AM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 PDT on September 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...Breezy to gusty northwest winds in the afternoon/evening today...

...Low chance for isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday evening...


.DISCUSSION...Dry weather is expected today with similar temperatures and
humidities as yesterday. Northwest winds will become breezy to gusty in the
mid to late afternoon, continuing into the evening. On Tuesday, expect
temperatures to trend hotter and daytime humidities will trend lower. Winds
will be variable in the morning, becoming southerly/upslope in the
late morning and early afternoon, then switching to northwest and becoming
breezy to gusty again in the late afternoon. Additionally, there is a low
chance (10%) for isolated thunderstorms to move up into the area from the
south Tuesday evening.  Gusty and erratic winds are possible near any
thunderstorms, if they develop on Tuesday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 1 to 2 mph, increasing to
                     3 to 5 mph with gusts to 8 mph in the mid
                     to late afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 2 to 4 mph increasing to
                     5 to 10 mph with gusts to 16 mph
                     in the mid to late afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph increasing to 9 mph in the
                      late afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 3 to 5 mph with gusts to 8 mph
                      lowering to 1 to 2 mph after sunset, becoming
                      light and variable 1 to 2 mph late in the night.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 16 mph
                      lowering to 2 to 5 mph after sunset, becoming
                      light and variable 1 to 3 mph late in the night.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 8-10 mph, lowering to 6 mph overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light and variable 0 to 2 mph, becoming upslope
                     1 to 2 mph late in the morning, then becoming
                     northwest 3 to 5 mph with gusts to 8 mph in the
                     mid to late afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable 1 to 4 mph, becoming upslope
                     2 to 5 mph late in the morning, then becoming
                     northwest 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 16 mph in the
                     mid to late afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast to east around 5 mph, becoming south
                      to southeast 5 to 8 mph late in the morning,
                      then becoming northwest 9 mph late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...CLARSTROM
Requested by...Paul Ritter
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521052.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.j.kerns@odf.oregon.gov,paul.ritter@odf.oregon.gov