542
FNUS76 KMFR 141628
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Black Cap...ODF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
928 AM PDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 PDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...The spot location will have a low chance(15%) of
showers or thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. If storms do
form near the spot location, expect gusty and erratic winds as
these storms will be on the drier side. Otherwise, it will be
another hot day with temperatures pushing towards the mid 90`s,
which is about 10 degrees warmer than normal. Thunderstorms should
be to the east of the spot location on Tuesday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny with haze early in the
                    afternoon. 15% chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of lightning.15 percent.
Max temperature.....91-95.
Min humidity........16 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 2 to 3 mph mph shifting to
the northeast in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 to 8 mph mph becoming
north east in the evening around 10 to 12 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......12400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the west 6
                    to 12 mph late in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     MCLEAR    PCLDY
Weather cov.....          DEFNTE    S CHC
Weather type....NONE      HAZE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    S CHC
CWR.............0         0         0
Chc of ltng (%).0         10        15
Temp............78        87        90
RH..............30        19        16
20 FT wind......N 7G11    N 6G8     NW 8G10
Eye level wind..N 3G4     N 2G3     NW 3G5
Mix hgt (ft)....3200      10100     12400
Transport wind..NE 9      W 13       W 13

$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Jason Leeper
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517982.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jason.W.Leeper@odf.oregon.gov