850
FNUS76 KMFR 200332
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Monument Rock Rx...BLM
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
732 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PST on November 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Most of the precipitation will fall before the start
of the burn period with a few lingering showers through the day.
Early Thursday will still have the chance for snow before turning to
a rain and snow mix later in the morning. Less than an inch of snow
will fall with less than a tenth of an inch of rain. Winds at the
burn site will be difficult to predict, with flows along the
escarpment differing by up to 180 degrees and 10-15 mph from winds
over the ridgeline. This could result in variable gusts and eddies
at any time, especially Thursday while the front passes. Be
vigilant for quick direction changes and sporadic gusts.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Snow showers likely (60 to 80
                    percent) late in the morning, then slight chance
                    of rain and snow showers (20 to 30 percent) in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 39.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 2 mph. Occasional
southwest gusts up to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph. Occasional
                    southeast gusts up to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 7 mph.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 15 percent in the
                    afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 2 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Occasional gusts up to 4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Occasional gusts up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph.
CWR.................10 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds. Occasional gusts up to 4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Occasional gusts up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...HERMANSEN
Requested by...Matt Haskins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525898.3/MFR
.DELDT 11/20/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mhaskins@blm.gov,jludwig@blm.gov,sthames@blm.gov