Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
567
FNUS76 KMFR 250433
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Castle...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
933 PM PDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 PDT on July 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A strong inversion will be in place tonight with very little
mixing in the lowest levels. Wind speeds overnight will be light
and variable. Expecting mixing to start around 9am Saturday
morning with clear skies through the day. Peak afternoon mixing
will end up around 5000 feet with an inversion above this layer.
Expecting little to no instability Saturday afternoon. Wind speeds
Saturday afternoon will end up around 10 mph with gusts near 20
mph.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy smoke.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  61  59  56  56  55
RH..............63  66  70  74  76  77
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   0   1
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.0   0   0   0   0   0
Eye lvl wnd gst.1   1   1   1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   5

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy smoke.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 7 to 10 mph by
                    the afternoon with gusts approaching 20 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 12
                    to 17 mph through the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  56  58  61  65  68  71  72  74  75  75  75
RH..............76  71  64  56  47  41  40  36  34  32  32  34
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.4   4   5   7   10  11  12  13  13  13  12  11
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 3.1 3.1 3.1 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.5   5   9   9   9   16  16  16  17  17  17  12

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy smoke.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds around 2 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph shifting to the north around 3
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............74  72  69  64  61  59  59  57  54  53  53  51
RH..............35  41  48  57  63  68  67  71  74  78  79  79
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   4   4   4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.11  11  10  10  10  4   4   4   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 5.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  12  8   8   8   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy smoke in the
                    morning.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west around 4 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 9 mph late in
                    the afternoon with gusts around 17 mph.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 12 mph early in the morning,
                    then shifting to the west late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  54  56  60  64  68  71  73  74  75  75  74
RH..............76  72  66  58  50  43  38  35  33  33  34  36
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   0   4   4   4   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.2   2   1   1   1   6   6   6   10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.1   1               2   2   2   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 6.6 6.6 6.6 5.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   5   5   9   9   9   12  12  12  10

$$
Forecaster...GUERRERO
Requested by...AFMO
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618187.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/24/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL olivia.dexter@usda.gov,marissa.duarte@usda.gov