177
FNUS76 KMFR 170405
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Cottonwood Piles Rx...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
805 PM PST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will bring intermittent rain/snow to
the burn site Monday, but it will be mostly light (little or no
snow accumulation). High pressure builds in Tuesday and things dry
out. Dry weather remains into Wednesday, then the next weather
system will move in Wednesday night or Thursday with a chance of
precip, but confidence in the specifics (exact timing/amounts) is
low at this time.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Intermittent light rain and snow
                    through the day. Chance of precip: 70 percent.
                    Rain amount: Trace-0.10".
                    Snow amount: Trace.
Chance of lightning.4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........73-83 percent.
Eye level winds.....S 2-4 mph. Gusts to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........S 5-11 mph with gusts to 22 mph in the morning
                    easing to 3-8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....S 10-15 mph.
CWR.................42 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........A 20% chance of rain or snow in the evening, then
                    partial clearing.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....29-34.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable becoming N 1-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable becoming N 3-5 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....N 5-8 mph.
CWR.................2 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....44-47.
Min humidity........64-74 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable or N 0-2 mph becoming N 1-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable or N 3-5 mph becoming N 3-7 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5-10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Jose J. Castillo Jr.
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526081.0/MFR
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jose.castillo@usda.gov