101
FNUS76 KMFR 190304
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Upper Applegate Rd 2389...ODF SWO Medford Unit
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
804 PM PDT Wed Jun 18 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Expect slightly higher daytime humidities and
slightly cooler temperatures on Thursday compared to Wednesday.
Daytime upslope/upvalley flows will be gusty again Thursday
afternoon, with winds decoupling and weakening around 2000 local
time. A deep trough arrives Friday, and rain showers are expected
at the burn site Friday afternoon through Saturday evening, with
0.10 to 0.25 inches of rain possible. An isolated thunderstorm is
possible Friday afternoon/evening, but the better chances for
thunderstorms remain north of the burn site. Cooler temperatures
and higher humidities are expected through the weekend. A warming
and drying trend begins next week.

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........Around 25-30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 3-4 mph through the morning,
                    increasing to 7-9 mph with gusts to 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 5-6 mph through the morning, increasing
                    to 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5-7 mph in the evening
                    easing to 2 to 4 mph overnight .
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10-12 mph in the evening
                    easing to 5-7 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers (40-50%) in the late morning and early
                    afternoon. Rain showers likely (70-80%) and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms (10-15%) late in the afternoon.
Chance of lightning.13 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 3-5 mph through the morning, increasing to 8-10 mph
                    with gusts 15 to 20 in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 6-8 mph through the morning, increasing to 10 to 15
                    mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 17 mph.
CWR.................11 percent.

$$
Forecaster...FIRMIN
Requested by...Chelsie Stephens
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516225.0/MFR
.DELDT 06/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dispatch.medford1@odf.oregon.gov