142
FNUS76 KMFR 080231
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Rickey Burn...Shasta Valley RCD
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
731 PM PDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on October 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A dry front will approach from the west on Wednesday and winds will
increase out of the south, becoming breezy Wednesday afternoon.
Expect a slight chance for rain Wednesday night, then increasing
chances Thursday as an upper level low nears the region.  Winds
will trend stronger on Thursday afternoon as well. Temperatures
will trend lower and humidities higher on Thursday. Then, a wet,
cool and breezy to gusty pattern is expected Friday into the
weekend as an upper level low moves into the area.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable winds 1 to 3 becoming southwest
                      4 to 6 mph with gusts to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 3 to 5 becoming southwest
                      8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 increasing to 20-25 mph
                      in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am.
Chance of lightning.3 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 4 to 5 mph with gusts to 10 mph
                      becoming north to northwest 1 to 2 mph after
                      sunset.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph with gusts to 18 mph
                      becoming north to northwest 2 to 5 mph after
                      sunset.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15, becoming west to northwest 6-8 mph
                     around sunset.
CWR.................0 percent.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of lightning.6 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 1 to 2 becoming southeast around 3 mph
                     in the mid morning, then south 3 to 6 mph
                     with gusts to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 2 to 5 becoming southeast around 5 mph
                     in the mid morning, then south 6 to 12 mph
                     with gusts to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph  increasing to south 15 mph in
                     the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...CLARSTROM
Requested by...Sam Commarto
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523146.0/MFR
.DELDT 10/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scommarto@gmail.com